B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$15.08
+54.0% vs current
RILY
B Riley FinancialBNasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$7.54
-23.0% vs current
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$3.77
-61.5% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-01-15
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+18.4
Positive
Company
+23.6
Positive
Macro
+18.6
Positive
Pulse
-32.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+33.2
Score
AI commentary
Market commentary is mixed: some outlets show steeply reduced targets (e.g., $4) while other aggregator feeds list much higher numbers, producing dispersion in public estimates [#SERP-1] [#SERP-5]. Recent filings and earnings-window estimates have created short-term attention around results and credit exposures [#SERP-4]. Overall tone is cautious-to-neutral with pockets of bearish re-rating calls.
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-01-15
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-01-14catalystSEC 8-K / recent financial results disclosure (filed)Medium impact
Company 8-K/financial-results report filed on 2026-01-14; this is already public and likely partially priced into the market [#4].
2026-03-17eventEstimated Q4 / FY-end earnings release (windowed estimate)High impact
Aggregators estimate the next earnings announcement in a window; MarketChameleon shows an estimated window ending 2026-03-17 — using the window end as a conservative date assumption [#1].
2027-01-15catalystRecovery in credit/asset-management valuations (macro-driven)High impact
If broader credit and M&A markets normalize over the next year, B. Riley's asset-management and advisory valuations could re-rate; date set conservatively one year out to reflect macro timing assumptions.
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-01-15 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology