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RILY

B Riley FinancialA
Nasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 core operating profitability and debt reduction provide evidence of recovery, while Sangoma could add recurring communications revenue if the acquisition closes and integrates successfully. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06] BRC acquisition release
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +17.2.
What can break
BRC's investment gains and episodic fees may not recur; Q2 operating performance needs further confirmation. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
Momentum
5
Value
65
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.10 · Bull $7.00 · Bear $2.70Analysis 2026-09-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum5 · Δ7d -0.1
Value65 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment68 · Δ7d +17.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +17.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • BRC's investment gains and episodic fees may not recur; Q2 operating performance needs further confirmation. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
  • • Sangoma shareholder, court or regulatory approval could delay or prevent closing. [#PR-2026-09-28]
  • • The acquisition adds funding and integration demands soon after a material debt redemption.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-15

Confirmation of 2026 note redemption

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
5
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+1.5
Value
65
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.2
Sentiment
68
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+17.2
Δ21d
+13.0
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 5.1 / Value 64.8 / Sentiment 68.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$5.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$2.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$162.01M
Beta
1.25
Shares Out
40.2M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
0.5
P/S (TTM)
0.22
P/FCF (TTM)
1.92
Rev YoY
+5.2%
EPS YoY
-80.7%
Gross Margin
+77.3%
Op Margin
+38.2%
Net Debt
$792.52M
Current Ratio
2.63
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data