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RILY

B Riley FinancialC
Nasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 operating EBITDA, revenue growth, capital-markets activity, producer recruiting, and substantial net-debt reduction provide a credible operating-improvement case. A sustained improvement could support rerating from the current low market capitalization, but this remains an inference rather than consensus-supported upside.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.8.
What can break
Capital-markets activity, wealth-management results, and investment portfolio values may be cyclical or volatile.
Momentum
21
Value
64
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $7.00 · Bull $10.00 · Bear $4.50Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum21 · Δ7d +0.6
Value64 · Δ7d +0.7
Sentiment64 · Δ7d +0.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Capital-markets activity, wealth-management results, and investment portfolio values may be cyclical or volatile.
  • • Earnings quality and repeatability remain uncertain because investment gains contributed materially to year-to-date results.
  • • The quarter's net income was much lower year over year, and the company indicates that six-month results were driven substantially by investment gains.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-06

Mixed Q2 operating readout

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
21
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
-4.8
Value
64
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.7
Δ21d
+0.9
Sentiment
64
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.8
Δ21d
+4.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 21.1 / Value 64.4 / Sentiment 63.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$10.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$7.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$4.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$285.82M
Beta
1.25
Shares Out
40.2M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
0.9
P/S (TTM)
0.22
P/FCF (TTM)
1.92
Rev YoY
+5.2%
EPS YoY
-80.7%
Gross Margin
+77.3%
Op Margin
+38.2%
Net Debt
$792.52M
Current Ratio
2.63
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data