B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$137.55
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
RHP
Ryman Hospitality PropertiesCNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull case assumes sustained convention and leisure demand recovery, favorable rate/cap-ex trends at Gaylord resorts, and a multiple re-rating toward the analyst high driven by stronger-than-expected EBITDA and dividend support [#SERP-1].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Rising rates or cap-rate expansion compressing NAV/dividend
Momentum
83
Value
54
Sentiment
41
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $112.00 · Bull $137.55 · Bear $88.00Analysis 2026-02-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $140.14
Why
Momentum83 · Δ7d +7.5
Value54 · Δ7d -
Sentiment41 · Δ7d -0.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Rising rates or cap-rate expansion compressing NAV/dividend
- • Slower-than-expected group/convention recovery
- • Bear case assumes slower group/convention demand, higher financing costs and cap-rate pressure that compress NAV and dividends, pushing the stock toward the low analyst targets [#SERP-3].
Catalyst clock
2026-05-25
Capital Allocation / Dividend Update or Investor Day
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
83
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+7.5
Δ21d
+21.8
Value
54
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
41
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-13.0
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 83.4 / Value 53.9 / Sentiment 40.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-24. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$112.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$88.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$8.89B
Beta
1.21
Shares Out
68.22M
P/E (TTM)
25.6
P/S (TTM)
2.38
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
22.48
Rev YoY
+13.6%
EPS YoY
+26.4%
Gross Margin
+21.6%
Op Margin
+19.9%
Net Debt
$3.64B
Current Ratio
0.98
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data