B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$195.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
RH
RHCNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
If the June 11 release shows demand stabilization and management keeps the brand-expansion and membership model intact, RH can still rerate from a depressed base because the packet's median target is above the June 9 anchor price.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
RH's 2026 10-K says international and new-market expansion add tariff, sourcing, compliance, and execution risk [#10-K-2026-04-01].
Momentum
18
Value
57
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $145.00 · Bull $195.00 · Bear $110.00Analysis 2026-06-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $172.31
Why
Momentum18 · Δ7d +3.9
Value57 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment60 · Δ7d +10.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bearish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-10.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • RH's 2026 10-K says international and new-market expansion add tariff, sourcing, compliance, and execution risk [#10-K-2026-04-01].
- • RH's 2026 10-K says quarterly growth can be volatile and is exposed to housing activity, high interest rates, and mortgage rates [#10-K-2026-04-01].
- • This is still effectively a pre-print monitoring setup: no verified Q1 numbers, no confirmed guidance revision, and no post-release analyst changes were available at the time of this run, while the deterministic prior remains negative across 5d to 120d horizons.
Catalyst clock
2026-06-11
Q1 fiscal 2026 earnings release is the immediate swing factor
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
18
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.9
Δ21d
-60.4
Value
57
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-1.1
Sentiment
60
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.0
Δ21d
+23.3
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 18.4 / Value 57.0 / Sentiment 60.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-06-11. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$110.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$3.32B
Beta
2.11
Shares Out
18.9M
P/E (TTM)
35.6
P/S (TTM)
1.09
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
15.49
Rev YoY
-1.7%
EPS YoY
-280.0%
Gross Margin
+43.6%
Op Margin
+11.7%
Net Debt
$3.93B
Current Ratio
1.11
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data