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Earnings documents stored for REPX.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-165 Insightful Analyst Questions From Riley Exploration Permian’s Q1 Earnings Call
StockStory
5 Insightful Analyst Questions From Riley Exploration Permian’s Q1 Earnings Call
Riley Exploration Permian’s first quarter results were characterized by robust production and disciplined capital allocation, driving a positive market response. Management attributed the outperformance to higher well productivity, particularly in Texas, and operational efficiencies that allowed the company to exceed production guidance while spending less than planned. CEO Bobby Riley highlighted that these results were achieved with “minimal downtime,” even as weather events disrupted the broader Permian region. Additionally, the company’s focus on capital efficiency and the successful implementation of cost-saving initiatives, such as chemical program changes in New Mexico, helped offset inflationary pressures and support margin resilience. Is now the time to buy REPX? Find out in our full research report (it’s free). Revenue: $113.9 million vs analyst estimates of $109.1 million (11.2% year-on-year growth, 4.4% beat) Adjusted EPS: $1.02 vs analyst expectations of $1.10 (7.3% miss) Adjusted EBITDA: $59.97 million vs analyst estimates of $67 million (52.7% margin, 10.5% miss) Operating Margin: 38.3%, down from 48.3% in the same quarter last year Market Capitalization: $788.6 million While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention. Derrick Whitfield (Texas Capital) asked if current activity levels could be further increased amidst favorable market conditions. CEO Bobby Riley responded that, given current efficiencies and sustained pricing, the company could add more wells, but would only adjust if prices dropped significantly. Derrick Whitfield (Texas Capital) inquired about the timing and likelihood of achieving midstream earn-out payments. CFO Philip Riley stated they have “line of sight” for the first payment in early 2027, contingent on New Mexico well completions and steady production. Neal Dingmann (William Blair) questioned how negative gas and NGL prices influence growth decisions. Riley answered that, despite frustration with gas prices, oil returns remain strong enough to sustain current growth plans, and infrastructure is sufficient for near-term needs. Jeffrey Robertson (Water Tower Research) sought clar...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-14REPX After Q1 Earnings: Is This Permian Play Worth Buying?
Zacks
REPX After Q1 Earnings: Is This Permian Play Worth Buying?
Riley Exploration Permian REPX has become an interesting Permian Basin oil and gas idea after its reported first-quarter results. The company delivered an earnings beat, higher year-over-year production and positive free cash flow, even as weak natural gas and NGL realizations weighed on results. For investors looking at Permian-focused exploration and production names, REPX offers a different profile from larger peers such as Diamondback Energy FANG and Permian Resources PR: it is smaller, more growth-oriented and trading at a discounted valuation. Diamondback Energy and Permian Resources also posted solid Q1 updates, but REPX’s production growth and improving estimates make the stock worth a closer look. REPX reported first-quarter 2026 adjusted earnings of $1.02 per share, topping the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 99 cents by 3%. Revenues of $114 million rose 11.1% from the year-ago period but came in slightly below expectations. The bigger story was production. Total equivalent production averaged 35.6 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (MBOE/d), up from 24.4 MBOE/d a year earlier, while oil production averaged 20.2 thousand barrels per day. Management said production exceeded the high end of guidance, while capital spending came in below the low end of its guided range. Like Diamondback Energy and Permian Resources, REPX benefited from strong Permian activity. However, the quarter also showed the basin’s biggest near-term challenge: gas takeaway constraints. Riley Exploration Permian’s natural gas and NGL revenues after fees were negative, reducing total net revenue. Diamondback Energy and Permian Resources also faced weak gas realizations, showing that this is not just a REPX issue but a broader Permian theme. REPX’s oil-heavy output mix helped soften the impact. Riley Exploration Permian shares have gained more than 30% in three months, outperforming other Permian-focused E&Ps such as Diamondback Energy, which is up 19%, and Permian Resources, which has advanced 17%. That relative strength suggests investors are recognizing the company’s growth story. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Still, the stock does not look expensive. From a valuation standpoint, REPX trades at a discount to the Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States subindustry on a forward price-to-earnings basis. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research The earn...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-09Riley Exploration Permian Inc (REPX) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Surpassing Production ...
GuruFocus.com
Riley Exploration Permian Inc (REPX) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Surpassing Production ...
This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Release Date: May 07, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Riley Exploration Permian Inc (REPX) exceeded production expectations, delivering results above the high end of guidance while spending less than the low end of capital guidance. The company reduced debt by $8 million and returned $12 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Riley Exploration Permian Inc (REPX) forecasts a 30% production growth for the full year, with a potential 10% year-over-year growth in 2027 with only a 5% increase in CapEx. The company is making significant progress on infrastructure projects, including the high-pressure trunk line in New Mexico, which is on track for a Q3 commercial operations date. Operational efficiencies have been achieved, with drilling and completion execution improving, helping to offset service cost inflation. Gas and NGL revenues were negative, reducing total net revenue by 9% due to structural gas egress constraints and seasonal midstream maintenance. The company reported a net loss of $70 million on a GAAP basis, driven by a $127 million loss on derivatives, most of which was unrealized. Operating costs and production taxes increased by $2 million, contributing to a decline in adjusted EBITDACs by $5 million quarter-over-quarter. There is a risk of timing issues around the completion of the Targa Gas Pipeline project, which could impact production outlook in the second half of 2026. Despite improvements, LOE per BOE increased slightly quarter-over-quarter due to elective workovers and inflationary pressures on service prices. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Signs with REPX. Is REPX fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Q: How would you characterize your desire to further lean into this favorable environment from a workover perspective, and is this level of activity a good run rate for the efficiency of your operations into 2027? A: Bobby Riley, CEO, mentioned that even at a $60 price level, they were not developing at the current pace. With efficiencies in drilling and completions, they could add another 5 to 10 wells. John Suter, COO, added that with their fast cycle times, they can drill 50+ wells a year with one rig, and a frack crew can handle up to 90 to 100 wells per year, indic...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-07Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. Q1 2026 Earnings Call Summary
Moby
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. Q1 2026 Earnings Call Summary
Our analysts just identified a stock with the potential to be the next Nvidia. Tell us how you invest and we'll show you why it's our #1 pick. Tap here. Management is accelerating 2026 growth based on multiyear inventory expansion and infrastructure readiness, noting that the plan remains highly accretive even at $60 WTI price levels. First quarter production exceeded the high end of guidance while capital expenditure remained below the low end, driven by strong well productivity and disciplined timing of infrastructure spend. The company is prioritizing development in Texas where infrastructure is mature, while sequencing New Mexico activity to align with the Targa gas pipeline completion scheduled for Q3 2026. Operational outperformance in Q1 was attributed to well productivity rather than just timing, with new wells in the Champions field reaching peak oil cuts faster than parent wells. Management highlighted the ERCOT power project and behind-the-meter initiatives as strategic hedges against weak regional natural gas pricing in the Permian Basin. The company maintains a flexible capital allocation strategy, prepared to adjust activity levels if macroeconomic conditions or industry dynamics shift materially. Full-year 2026 production guidance was raised by 5%, targeting 30% year-over-year growth supported by a back-half weighted production ramp. Management provided a preliminary 2027 scenario suggesting 10% production growth could be achieved with only a 5% increase in capital expenditure due to 2026 momentum. The New Mexico strategy involves releasing a rig in Q3 to manage gas takeaway constraints, with a planned return to activity later in the year to ensure wells are ready to turn in line immediately upon the pipeline's completion. Financial projections assume a 65% to 70% reinvestment rate of operating cash flow, with excess free cash flow prioritized for debt reduction and opportunistic share repurchases. The company anticipates reaching the first $30 million earn-out payment from its midstream sales agreement in the first half of 2027 based on current New Mexico development timelines. A $127 million GAAP loss on derivatives was reported, though management emphasized 91% is unrealized and serves to protect the 2026 capital program. Negative natural gas and NGL revenues reduced total net revenue by 9% due to structural egress constraints and seasonal...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-07Riley Permian Reports First Quarter 2026 Results
PR Newswire
Riley Permian Reports First Quarter 2026 Results
OKLAHOMA CITY, May 6, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (NYSE American: REPX) ("Riley Permian" or the "Company"), today reported financial and operating results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. FIRST QUARTER 2026 HIGHLIGHTS Reported 35.6 MBoe/d of total equivalent production (oil production of 20.2 MBbls/d) Generated $47 million of operating cash flow or $55 million before changes in working capital(1) and $24 million of Total Free Cash Flow(1) Incurred total accrual (activity-based) capital expenditures before acquisitions of $47 million and cash capital expenditures before acquisitions of $31 million Reduced debt by $8 million with a quarter-end debt-to-Adjusted EBITDAX(1) ratio of 1.0x(2) Repurchased 152 thousand shares of stock for $4 million Bobby Riley, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board commented, "Our first quarter results reflect strong operational execution, with production exceeding guidance and capital spending below expectations. Gas and NGL realizations were negatively impacted by regional gas egress constraints, which tempered cash flow results. Despite these regional pricing pressures, the broader operating environment remains constructive, and we remain confident in our outlook for meaningful year-over-year production growth and value creation throughout 2026." OPERATIONS AND DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITY UPDATE The tables below provide a summary of our operated well activity and production by state: Average Daily Production by State FIRST QUARTER 2026 FINANCIAL RESULTS Revenues totaled $114 million, operating income was $44 million, operating cash flow was $47 million and net loss was $70 million, or $(3.38) per diluted share. On a non-GAAP basis, Adjusted EBITDAX(1) was $61 million, cash flow from operations before changes in working capital(1) was $55 million, Total Free Cash Flow(1) was $24 million and Adjusted Net Income(1) was $21 million, or $1.02 per diluted share. Average realized prices, before derivative settlements, were $68.89 per barrel of oil, $(1.68) per Mcf of natural gas and $(6.22) per barrel of natural gas liquids ("NGL"). Realized natural gas prices before gathering, processing and transportation costs ("GP&T costs") were negatively impacted by Waha pricing and wider differentials to Henry Hub driven by ongoing regional pipeline constraints, despite higher benchmark Henry Hub prices. R...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-07Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) Q1 Earnings Surpass Estimates
Zacks
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) Q1 Earnings Surpass Estimates
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.02 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.99 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.62 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +3.03%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $0.83 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.35, delivering a surprise of +62.65%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. Riley Exploration Permian, which belongs to the Zacks Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States industry, posted revenues of $113.88 million for the quarter ended March 2026, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.54%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $102.46 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates two times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. Riley Exploration Permian shares have added about 39.6% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 6%. While Riley Exploration Permian has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Riley Exploration Permian was favorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to out...
TranscriptFY2026 Q12026-05-07FY2026 Q1 earnings call transcript
Earnings source - 96 paragraphs
FY2026 Q1 earnings call transcript
Good day, welcome to Riley Exploration Permian First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Following the formal presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, please press star one. Please note that this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Philip Riley, our Chief Financial Officer. Sir, you may begin.
Good morning. Welcome to our conference call covering our first quarter 2026 results. I'm Philip Riley, CFO. Joining me today are Bobby Riley, Chairman and CEO, and John Suter, COO. Yesterday, we published a variety of materials which can be found on our website under the Investors section. These materials and today's conference call contain certain projections and other forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. We'll also reference certain non-GAAP measures. The reconciliations to the appropriate GAAP measures can be found in our supplemental disclosure on our website. I'll turn the call over to Bobby.
Thank you, Philip. In March, we announced that Riley Permian would accelerate growth in 2026, which was a natural result from our multi-year positioning, including deliberate inventory expansion and infrastructure readiness. Our 2026 development plan was designed when the WTI spot price and one-year forward price were in the $60 range, and we saw meaningful value creation potential at those price levels. Since then, the oil supply picture and price outlook have changed completely. We have increased confidence in achieving our planned targets, and the corresponding value creation potential has increased significantly. Our first quarter results provide an initial round of momentum for the year ahead. We executed well, delivering production exceeding the high end of guidance while spending less than the low end of our capital guidance range.
With our excess capital, we reduced debt by $8 million and returned $12 million to shareholders through our dividend and share repurchases. Our first quarter activity levels increased materially over fourth quarter 2025 levels, and second quarter activity will surpass first quarter, setting up for an accelerated growth. We forecast production growth continuing for each quarter through the year, culminating with full year growth of 30% at our new midpoints guidance levels. As we look further out to next year, we see the potential to grow production 10% year-over-year with only a 5% increase in CapEx, at least as one scenario being considered. We believe this could be achieved given the wave of second half 2026 volumes being generated. We have confidence in achieving this growth through accelerated development of both of our assets.
In New Mexico, Targa has progressed on the engineering and design for the high-pressure trunk line to their processing plants, which will begin construction upon final regulatory approval. The project timing remains on track with a scheduled commercial operations date in Q3. We will be ready from the upstream side, with wells ready to turn in line immediately following the pipeline coming into service, which gets us closer to achieving our first earnout payment. All of this activity is exciting, as is the potential to unlock value from this asset. In the meantime, and in parallel, we will continue to push forward with drilling and completions within our Texas assets, where we continue to drive efficiencies and where infrastructure is in a more mature stage of development. Texas will comprise the bulk of our volume growth in 2026, and New Mexico should contribute more growth thereafter.
Briefly, on our ERCOT power project within our RPC joint venture, our first site, a 10 MW facility located in Ward County, Texas, is in the final commissioning stage with ERCOT. During the commissioning stage, we've been generating power into the real-time market and collecting a modest amount of revenue. We have a forecasted commercial operational date for later this month, after which we can begin regularly participating in the day-ahead markets. Our second site is fully constructed and is in the early commissioning stage. Our final two sites are scheduled for late summer. Over at our behind the meter project at Champions, we're saving approximately $200,000 per month or more on avoided negative gas sales at recent prices.
Between these two power projects, our thesis remains intact here, and we see this as one small way to counter the weak regional gas pricing that we're realizing on our upstream assets. As always in our capital allocation process, we plan for optionality. As the year progresses, we will monitor the macroeconomic backdrop and industry conditions, and we will maintain flexibility to speed up further or slow down should conditions deteriorate materially. Keep in mind the original accelerated plan was contemplated at a $60 price. These strong financial and operational results, along with the opportunities on the power side, as well as additional new opportunities we continue to evaluate, are the product of our exceptional operational planning and technical teams. To our employees and our investors, we believe Riley Permian is well positioned for an exciting 2026 and beyond, supported by our high quality asset base and strong financial position.
I'll now turn the call over to John Suter, our COO.
Thank you, Bobby. Good morning. I'll briefly cover our first quarter operational results and how activity progressed through the quarter. Then I'll touch on how we're positioned as we move through the balance of the year. Safety remains foundational at Riley Permian. To start the year, our operations reported a zero total recordable incident rate, and we delivered 96% safe days. Turning to operations, development activity ramped meaningfully in the first quarter and was concentrated primarily in Texas. On a net basis, we drilled 15.6 wells, started completions on 12.8 wells, and turned eight wells to sales. Importantly, we delivered this increased level of activity with strong capital discipline.
Total capital spend was $47 million, which was below the guidance range, driven primarily by normal timing dynamics, including selective deferrals and infrastructure timing and a small amount of activity mix changes that reduced spend without impacting our plan. From a production standpoint, net oil averaged 20.2 Mbpd, and total equivalent production averaged 35.6 MBOE per day, exceeding the high end of guidance. Volumes were essentially flat quarter-over-quarter as strong development well contributions offset normal base decline. Winter Storm Fern caused disruptions across the Permian among midstream providers and producers alike in late January and into early February. We, on the other hand, experienced minimal downtime with little to no impact on quarterly volumes. Within the quarter, development well performance was particularly strong. Initial oil volumes exceeded forecasts, and the outperformance was driven more by well productivity than simply timing.
As we look ahead, we'll continue executing the plan with a focus on safe, reliable operations and disciplined capital allocation. In the second quarter, activity is expected to increase from the first quarter, with two rigs running full-time and 16-18 planned completions by quarter end, 30% more than in Q1. This level of completion activity will contribute to a production ramp that we will see later in Q2 and drive strong full-year growth. Completions are expected to remain focused in Texas while we work through gas takeaway sequencing in New Mexico, including the progress of the Targa gas pipeline project, which Bobby alluded to earlier.
Looking into the back half of the year, our current plan contemplates releasing the New Mexico rig in the third quarter and continuing to drill in Texas with a return to New Mexico activity later in the year to align our completion cadence with infrastructure readiness and set up the broader New Mexico program. Now let's move on to operational performance in Q1. Lateral drilling performance continued its multi-year upward trajectory. A higher median lateral feet per day in combination with a tighter distribution demonstrates repeatable, scalable execution. Consistent use of multi-well pads and zipper fracturing materially reduce downtime and per well costs while improving overall operational consistency. We drilled a record spud to TD well for a 1.5 mi Yoakum County San Andres well in Champions at 4.28 days, and a separate spud to rig release record at 5.79 days.
We also successfully executed drilling and completing two more 2-mi laterals, delivering the fastest drilled wells in the field at 1,456 lateral feet per day, validating the efficacy of longer reach designs. Well costs as it relates to drilling and completions year-to-date have been relatively stable despite inflationary pressure on service prices, primarily driven by efficiency in our operations. Diesel costs have obviously come up substantially in the last couple of months, driving many service companies to adjust pricing accordingly. Our ability to drill faster and complete more efficiently has allowed us to mostly outpace this increase thus far.
LOE has gone up slightly quarter-over-quarter in Q1 when compared to Q4 2025, in part due to some elective workovers that were deferred from Q4. Bigger picture, it should also be noted that despite being up quarter-over-quarter on an LOE per BOE basis, we're still seeing a downward trend year-over-year with a 10% reduction in cost when compared with Q1 of 2025. The elective work I previously mentioned was primarily in our Red Lake asset, where many of our older wells have found new life following mechanical interventions. These workovers have resulted in nearly 500 net barrels oil per day of relatively flat production, with some recent wells continuing to increase in oil count. This is some of the most capitally efficient $ we've spent, with economic metrics comparable to new drilled wells in the area.
We estimate that to date, we've only realized 30% of the possible uplift of these older wells, and between the sizable inventory in our New Mexico asset and the combination of higher commodity pricing, the magnitude of unrealized production growth could be even greater. We'd also mentioned in past calls our expectation of chemical costs coming down in New Mexico as part of a change in program we implemented in January. I'm happy to report that in just a few months, we've seen costs nearly cut in half on a per barrel basis compared to our 2025 monthly average spend. While we're starting to see that creep back up due to a increase in petrochemicals costs across the board, we're confident that the changes we've made will help minimize the effect going forward. Stepping back, the message is straightforward with several key takeaways.
We're executing safely and efficiently while scaling activity with discipline. We delivered strong first quarter volumes and capital performance. We're seeing continued gains in drilling and completion execution that help offset service cost inflation. Finally, we're prioritizing Texas, where infrastructure is ready, while sequencing New Mexico activity around the Targa takeaway build-out to protect returns and preserve flexibility as we move through 2026. I'll now turn the call to Philip.
Thank you, John. I'll cover first quarter financial results and provide an updated company outlook. Unhedged revenue increased by $17 million or 17% quarter-over-quarter, driven by 18% higher oil revenue and partially offset by weaker natural gas and NGL revenues. Gas and NGL revenues after fees were -$11 million and reduced our total net revenue by 9%. Structural gas egress constraints, combined with seasonal midstream maintenance programs, negatively affected gas pricing for producers across the Permian. Our revenue net of derivative settlements declined by $3 million or 3% to $102 million, driven by gas and NGLs as hedged oil revenue was flat. Operating cash flow was $47 million or $55 million before changes in working capital.
Analyzing quarter-over-quarter variances this cycle may be less relevant given some unusual impacts in fourth quarter 2025 related to the midstream gain and corresponding income tax impacts. Adjusted EBITDAX declined by $5 million or 8% quarter-over-quarter to $61 million, driven by $3 million of lower gas and NGL hedge revenue, combined with $2 million of higher operating costs and production taxes. We're reporting a net loss on a GAAP basis of $70 million, driven by a $127 million loss on derivatives, 91% of which was unrealized. We entered the year materially hedged to protect the 2026 capital program. The bottom line net impact should reverse over time as the mark-to-market loss is offset by increased revenues from corresponding production over the same contract periods.
GAAP mark-to-market accounting can introduce significant period-to-period volatility that does not reflect underlying operating results or long-term cash generating capacity. Most energy investors are familiar with these limitations and will evaluate performance accordingly. Our business continues to generate meaningful cash flow, which should increase materially in the coming quarters if oil prices remain elevated, as we're only about 67% hedged for the balance of the year. Here's one anecdote on hedging to consider. We underwrote the acquisition of Silverback a year ago when the spot oil price was in the $60 range and the 12-month forward price was in the high 50s. We financed the acquisition using 100% debt with 0 dilutive equity. Many of the hedges we have today are a result of that financing.
Since then, in this new price environment, and assuming closer to a $70 long-term price, the value of that asset and undeveloped locations have increased materially, which is not reflected in our reported financials. For example, consider the value of an undeveloped location. Incorporating an oil price of $70 versus $60 increases the net present value at a 20% discount rate by 60% to over 100%, depending on the type of well. Moving on to our investments. First quarter 2026 total accrual-based CapEx was $47 million, while cash CapEx was $31 million. Only 2/3 of the accrual amount, which is not unusual in a cycle when you're increasing activity rapidly given the time lag of payables. We had several smaller acquisitions and divestiture deals for a net benefit of $5 million based on selling some small non-operated assets.
With remaining cash, we invested $4 million in the power JV or $2.5 million net of a small distribution, paid $8.4 million of dividends, reduced debt by $8 million, and bought back $4 million of stock. Let's discuss our outlook. We have a big second quarter of development activity, and we're guiding to $80 million of accrual CapEx. For the full year, we're increasing our full year guidance range by $10 million, representing a 5% increase at the midpoint of $210 million, driven by a mix of operated and non-operated incremental activity and partially offset by some savings achieved. With our own operations, we're likely to have about five more wells drilled and one to two more completed as compared to the March outlook.
We're also seeing a modest pickup in non-operated proposals from adjacent producers. Incorporating these updates and based on confidence with the assets and optionality inherent with the development program, we're raising full-year production volume guidance ranges by 5% to 22.5 Mbpd at the midpoint, corresponding with the 30% year-over-year growth that Bobby mentioned at the start. We see that growth beginning modestly in the second quarter, followed by the largest gain in the third quarter and another gain in the fourth quarter. Accrual CapEx looks to be weighted 60/40 between the first half and the second half of the year. Our production volumes will have a lag effect given the nature of development and turning wells to sales. The less free cash flow in the second quarter with stronger free cash flow in the fourth quarter.
This is dependent on execution, timing dynamics, and market pricing. For the full year, we forecast a reasonable CapEx reinvestment rate of approximately 65% to 70% of operating cash flow before working capital and midpoint guidance and based on current forward oil prices. We anticipate the majority of excess free cash flow after the dividend will be allocated to debt paydown to further solidify our balance sheet and to provide future optionality with a smaller amount possibly allocated to stock buybacks, depending on market conditions. Our measure of capital efficiency may differ from some larger companies looking to prioritize and maximize free cash flow, which implicitly calls for restrained investment. We're excited to invest meaningfully this year in our high returning assets, which we believe will yield this differentiated growth profile that we've described today. Thank you all for your attention and interest in our company.
Operator, you may now turn it over to questions.
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question-and-answer session. Our first question comes from the line of Derrick Whitfield from Texas Capital. Please go ahead.
Good morning, guys, and congrats on a strong 1Q and 2026 update broadly.
Thank you.
First, I wanted to focus on your activity plan because we're clearly in a very fluid situation in the Middle East. With today's revised activity plan and workovers and recognizing the strength of your and the growth of your program as it stands, how would you characterize your desire to further lean into this favorable environment from a workover perspective, if nothing more? As you look out to 2027, is this level of activity a good run rate for the efficiency of your operations?
Yeah, Derrick, this is Bobby Riley. Let me start. You know, like I mentioned in our deal, when we looked at our activity level this year, we were faced with about a $60 current price and $60 outlook. We thought at those numbers, we warranted developing at the pace that we are. I mean, like we talked about the last couple of years, we've been in the acquisition mode to build inventory, and now we're sitting on a significant amount of long-term drilling inventory and the ability to capitalize on that value even at $60. You know, I we would have to see a significant drop to adjust the direction we're going now.
With the efficiencies that we're seeing in drilling and completions, with sustained price in this level, you know, we could actually add another five or 10 wells for the mid. I mean, we're a growth company. I think you're gonna receive long-term share value the bigger we get organically, so highest rate of return.
Yeah, Derrick, to follow up on one of your other questions, you know, can this efficiently move into 2027? You know, I think this year we're running two rigs really just to Hold a few things in New Mexico with some permits we had expiring and some lease obligations. Really just the fact of with our fast cycle times, when we can drill, you know, 50+ wells a year with one rig, you know, we can, we can easily do that. Certainly a frack crew can, you know, frack up to, I don't know, gosh, 90 to 100 wells per year. I mean, it's that efficient. It doesn't take a lot of extra service company action, you know, for us to be able to stay at a pace that provides tremendous growth if we, if we plan to just keep it going all year long.
It's really not a matter of how much we add, it's just how much we use what we have for how long during the year. Hope that helps.
It does. Makes sense. Then just based on your current 2026 upstream capital plan, how should we think about the potential earn-out of contingent payments from your midstream sales agreement, and when could you start to recognize that benefit?
Yeah, Derrick, good morning. This is Philip. I think we have line of sight on that for early next year. The wells that John and Bobby are talking about in New Mexico, we've got a slug of those that'll come on. There's a threshold that we cover for a period of days, and then there's a little timing, but we feel pretty confident about hitting the first earn-out, which is $30 million in the first half of 2027 with subsequent ones probably one year after each.
Great update, guys. Thanks for your time.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Neal Dingmann from William Blair. Please go ahead.
Morning, guys. Sticking with the production question. My question is on your growth. I know, Bobby, for you or Philip, I know operationally, financially, you certainly have the ability to materially increase production if you choose. I'm just wondering how much is, you know, the decision and kind of the guide you talked about, how much is that influenced by, you know, you've had negative natural gas and NGL prices and you know, how much do other things like, I don't know, incremental takeaway or power fit into this growth decision?
Sure, Neal, I can start. Yeah, look, the gas, it's frustrating, we do see it getting better. I think what we and other producers experienced in the first quarter was a combination of just the structural constraints I mentioned in prepared remarks and then, you know, some of that seasonality. You look at the strip, it is getting better each month. We've got about 5 BCF a day coming on among those projects that are widely discussed. GCX, Blackcomb, then Hugh Brinson towards the end of the year. That should help. Then at the same time, I think you typically find the correlation between gas price or the Waha price even, and oil price with most of the growth in our domestic gas coming from associated Permian.
As the oil price is moving down here, I think the Waha price will become less negative. Like I said, it's, you know, it's frustrating not to be making more, but it still does, margins and returns look very good at $70-$80 oil. We'll continue with that. You know, as far as there being a physical constraint, we've got the items we need lined up. John referenced some of that, and power doesn't seem to be a problem right now. We've got both what we need, what we've built out, you know, solidly, but then you've also got the short-term type of generators and such that can even run on natural gas, which is quite economic these days.
Great. Philip, just a second question on maybe for Bobby on the M&A. Just wondering, much like organic growth, you certainly have the balance sheet now to support, you know, really an active M&A program if you choose. Just wondering, you know, are there active deals out there? You know, how do they look in this environment? You know, maybe just with that same vein, you know, where does your current inventory depth sit?
Yeah. I'll start on the M&A first. You know, typically what we find in our industry is that M&A is tough in periods of high volatility. High prices themselves are not a deterrence, but it's hard to underwrite when prices move around so much. When the prices were quite low, sellers were on the sidelines. I think we'll see a few more packages come to market at the high prices for people to, you know, so-called test the markets. It can be tough to underwrite them though, both with the volatility and even some steep backwardation. You know, we wanna be careful. You're right, we do have a stronger balance sheet, and we have flexibility to do that should something come together. We wanna be mindful of how we're both underwriting deals and where in cycles we're buying them.
We felt great about buying Silverback last year at $60, as I mentioned before. We feel good about that. We've done three deals in three years. We've got quite a bit of inventory. We've held back on the CapEx for a while as we digested those and got the infrastructure ready. At this point, we're focused primarily on the organic development. I think that's, you know, how you should think about it is it's primarily organic. If something should come together on M&A, we'll feel fortunate, but not holding our breath.
Thanks, Phil.
Thank you.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Jeff Robertson from Water Tower Research. Please go ahead.
Thank you. Good morning. Bobby or John, can you talk about the guidance of the production uplift in the sense of how much of the increase is due to timing versus performance-related issues with the wells that you're bringing on?
Let me start, John, you can finish. The acceleration is something to do about timing. You know, we currently have two rigs running with a frac crew right behind one of them, we're bringing things on a little bit quicker. Also performance so far that what we're seeing this year, I think all the wells we've completed this year exceed our pre-drill forecast. Some of them significantly. John, you might add to that, I mean.
Yeah.
A combination of working a little faster and the wells are meeting or exceeding our production expectations.
Absolutely. Just to follow that up with a little bit more specifics, we've drilled a number of 2 mi laterals this quarter, which have just been fantastic. You know, you hope a lot of times 2 mi will keep things flatter, but we've actually seen some uplift in pressure and rate from these, so we're excited about that. Also, we've In Champions, the vast majority of our wells are child wells. These wells we've been finding out, you know, tend to cut oil faster and reach a higher oil peak sooner than our parent wells, you know, which ends up delivering superior early time performance. That's a lot of what we've seen this quarter, you know, to hopefully answer your question.
Let me say one final thing, Jeff, on timing, as far as how it all comes together for the company and in the quarters, is we do have quite a bit of back-end-weighted growth. The first quarter we've gone through that was roughly flat with the fourth quarter. We've got some modest growth here, 4% in the second quarter at the midpoint. It really starts to take off, you know, you can back into the math between what we've done so far and what we're guiding to full year, but you can see that the back half of the year is basically between, you know, 24,000-25,000 bpd, which suggests pretty material growth from where we are now and what we're guiding to.
Well, if there's any risk on with respect to the production outlook in the second half of 2026, is there much risk or much cushion built in for timing issues around Targa completing the projects?
Yeah. I think we're in a good shape. As Bobby said earlier, we'll be doing Texas primarily. We've got some optionality built into the plan. John was describing how he's gonna have some DUCs ready. We've got a plan basically to hit this, so we believe should the timing work out either way. John, you wanna add anything there?
Yeah, no. I mean, I think our Champions development is gonna carry the day all throughout the year. You know, we expect a permit for Targa for the high-pressure line to come any day, which, you know, then will be a several-month period of construction and, you know, that's why we've said in Q3. It could happen slightly faster. Even if there's a delay in that, the high interest, you know, Champions wells where we already have infrastructure, you know, that's gonna solidify that second half, I think. The New Mexico stuff will be kind of gravy on top of that.
John, with plans to drill 42 to 48, excuse me, net wells this year, can you talk about how your ground game is working to replace inventory?
Well, we are drilling some wells on the east side of Champions, that is, we're just now completing them. We've been buying some extra acreage out there, we're really excited to see where that could lead us, on the east side. You know, in New Mexico, really we have, you know, very few PUDs booked, you know. There's gonna be, as we drill some of these wells, we add PUD reserves and certainly as we test various edges of the fairway, you know, that's gonna lead us to have the potential for additional leasing.
What I love about New Mexico is that it's a forced pooling state, and we probably have 500 gross sticks, maybe, you know, a few hundred net, but with an active rig in that field, you can oftentimes pick up a lot of interest from other people. You know, that all just depends, as we know. We're excited to be an aggressive player out there in the Northwest Shelf and to hopefully be rewarded with picking up interest.
Lastly, LOE for BOE was $7.51 in the quarter, which was well below your $8-$9 per BOE guidance. Can you talk about the drivers for that, first quarter performance?
Yeah. As I mentioned in my remarks, we've just in the first quarter capitalized on some rebidding and some realignment of vendors. In New Mexico, I think we've cut our per barrel chemical. It's actually working. That's less tubing strings you have to replace, less ESPs to replace when you have to replace the tubing. That really starts having a cumulative effect. On the other side, you know, the productivity of these wells has also have helped us with, I'd say some volume expansion, you know, has helped us on the divisor side of that per BOE metrics. You know, look, we're proud of what we're accomplishing. I think we're one of the, you know, best operators on the Northwest Shelf.
Put our team up against anybody as far as being able to get the most out of the wells that we purchase and the acres that we exploit. No, we hope to make continued improvement.
Thank you.
Thank you. Again, should you have a question, please press star one. Our next question comes from the line of Nicholas Pope from ROTH Capital. Sir, your line is open.
Hey, good morning, everyone.
Morning.
Good morning.
Curious as you kinda look at the differences between Champions and the Red Lake area, you know, with 1 rig kinda running in each, what's the difference, I guess, in kinda total drill and complete costs between the two assets? I think there's a lot of mix going on between these two, and it seems like it's shifting a little bit throughout the year. Just wanna make sure I kinda pinpoint kind of the spend differences between the two assets.
Typically we drill 1.5 mi wells in Champions, just because that's the, that's how it was set up. In New Mexico, we're pretty well, generally limited to 1 mi laterals. Again, that's not impossible that if things line up right, that we can drill more. Remember that New Mexico is at about 3,500 ft TVD, so 2 mi wells are possible. You really can't do a whole lot of kickout, and then drill 2 mi when you've got that little bit, you know, that small of a vertical segment. Cost-wise, it ends up being about, I'd say, $1 million more in New Mexico per lateral than it does in Texas. I'll say that's at the moment. We are doing a ton of testing. We've done spacing tests.
We're doing frack tests. The thing that makes New Mexico a bit more expensive is that in Texas, we do crosslink fracs there in San Andres. In New Mexico, in the Paddock and Blinebry, we primarily do or slick water fracs. The slick water fracs take a lot more fluid, more pump time. We are looking, and have already, performed one crosslink frac on a recent test. Are really encouraged about that. There's more to come on that in the future. I mean, that in itself could be a, you know, a half-million-dollar-plus savings per well. Again, we also wanna see what is the most oil recovered and, you know, be efficient in recovering our resources too.
A lot of testing going on there in New Mexico, and I feel comfortable that our costs will be coming down over time. That's kind of the primary difference between the, you know, the two assets at the moment cost-wise.
Yeah. That's extremely helpful.
Let me add that.
Sure.
Let me add one thing to that. In Texas Champions, we own roughly closer to 100% of each one of those wells that we drill. In New Mexico, it's significantly less, so we have to drill a lot more wells to get the same net impact. You know, make sure everybody understands that it's not one for one. You know, we could have 50%-60% working interest in New Mexico, where we have 100% in Texas.
Don't be alarmed by the well count, because on a net basis it, you know, it seems more reasonable.
Got it. Kinda digging a little bit deeper into kind of the rig cadence that y'all are talking about with the Targa plant kinda scheduled startup. Sounds like I'm just curious what stage you're getting the New Mexico wells to. Is it just purely drilling, saving the completion for once the Targa plant comes online? I guess how many, I guess, wells are y'all anticipating kinda having ready to go upon startup of that Targa plant? It sounds like things are gonna be held back until kinda you can let the sale breathe a little bit.
Yeah. In New Mexico, we started up a, you know, a rig at the end of the first quarter, I believe. You're correct. We are drilling and getting these wells ready for completion. Just in sake of capital efficiency, there's no use completing them and letting them sit there until late Q3. You know, we'll take a look at that as far as whether we, you know, start a little bit early fracking these wells. Kinda depends on what the oil price is at the time and a number of other things. You know, we should have 20-plus wells. You know, again, these drill so fast that you're drilling a well a week, you know, and skidding over and, you know, knocking a whole pad out that way.
should be 20-plus wells plus, you know, the, a substantial amount of volume that we have from existing PDP that's already there flowing to another processor. when we get all of those wells that we're drilling in 20, you know, in 2026 now ready to go, we'll be a long way towards getting that volume to meet that first earnout. We do have to produce it, you know, steadily like that for over a quarter or for a quarter to get that earnout. Like Philip said, maybe the end of the first half of 2027.
Got it. That's all great. Great job, guys. That's all I have. Thanks for the time.
Thank you. Our last question comes from the line of Noel Parks from Tuohy Brothers. Please go ahead.
Hi. Good morning. I did hear you mention earlier that you had seen some modest pickup in non-op participation, I think, from adjacent partners. I was just interested in that. I had heard something similar, I think, from another operator and just thinking maybe the decision-making is a little different compared to, you know, with in the current price environment compared to, you know, how public operators are approaching the environment.
Yeah, I'll start. Yeah, I think you said the right word, public. This is in New Mexico. ups of ownership, overlapping ownership, and it's not uncommon to participate in each other's wells out here. We got the majors, the largest oil companies in the world participating in our wells, to be honest. Yeah, we've got a couple proposals from some private operators. Whether that's a coincidence or not relating to, you know, their desire to increase activity, it may just be this was somewhat on the plans. We weren't sure exactly when to come, now they're here. Yeah, we've got a few proposals. Those are coming now. We're happy to do it. These are great returns. You know, no reason not to participate in this.
Okay, great. Actually, I guess, like, it goes for both New Mexico that we're talking about, but also interesting, thinking about Champion. How many operators are also actively drilling in your vicinity for each area?
Yeah, I'll take that. I would say in, you know, just every now and then. In Champions, we are by far the leading driller there. I think there is another company that might drill, I don't know, four or five wells a year. Yeah, two at most, they really don't compete with us in the direct area.
Okay. Not so much thinking about, you know, large scale M&A, but just from an A&D perspective, is there, I mean, I guess if the burden of, you know, the land work and so forth is going on, is there considerable extra inventory just from, you know, I don't know if it's abandoned properties, which is since especially Champions is such an old field, is there much else to do if the ownership could be, you know, I guess concentrated, bought out there?
I'll attempt to answer that. Champions, I'd say it's mostly blocked up and spoken for. All of this, I think whether it's where we are in Texas or New Mexico or most likely throughout the Midland and Delaware, you have few areas where there's just available unleased land, right?
Sure.
People have discovered where the resource is and have gone to try to capture that. There's always some work to be done to get that, and we give our thanks to our land teams to get that done. I think that's some of just the magic that happens with producers is getting that ready for drill and development. But it's a function of kind of piecing those together and getting them ready, finding whether it's old records or title or what have you. But it's not so much that it's just available and somebody hadn't thought to get it yet.
Yeah.
Sure.
I'll add on to that one thing to bring up in Champions that, Yeah, we do control that, and we'll be drilling almost all of that. As Bobby always mentions, there's a lot of upside left in Champions, even once that, once that thing is fully developed. I mean, we only recover, you know, 8% of the oil, typically on primary. It's a field where I think you'll find, a lot more oil to recover once we deflate the pressure down a little bit, where other techniques will benefit getting more oil out. Certainly in New Mexico, you know, Bobby said we may have, you know, 60%, 70% of a lot of that acreage.
There's always people willing to sell in the right situation or to trade. There is upside there too from either acquisition or just some good land work.
Also, we look at adding inventory when we're analyzing different benches. It's not so much in Texas, but in New Mexico, there is some work being done in one of the upper benches that could significantly add inventory.
Oh, great. Just for, to clarify, is that, when you talk about alternate benches, are those things that have sort of similar deposition to the benches you're producing, or are they more intermittent up there?
It's pretty much the same. It's just adding another, a zone that's been tested and produced vertically. Adding it into the mix. You know, we're looking real hard at the number of wells per section that we'll be drilling in Texas, including, you know, the Based on our spacing tests. You know, we could be adding an additional Blinebry or maybe an additional Paddock and then additional uphole zone. We're still actively I would not be concerned about the ground game. There's plenty of opportunity for us to add sticks in addition to the numerous other organic projects that we have announced.
Terrific. Thanks a lot.
Thank you, everyone. That concludes our conference call for today. You may now disconnect.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-29Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher?
Zacks
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher?
The market expects Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended March 2026. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on May 6. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower. While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise. This company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $1.02 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -37%. Revenues are expected to be $114.43 million, up 11.7% from the year-ago quarter. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 43.42% higher over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period. Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise Estimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction). The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier. Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the m...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-27Look Beyond Earnings, Bet on 4 Stocks With Rising Cash Flows
Zacks
Look Beyond Earnings, Bet on 4 Stocks With Rising Cash Flows
During the peak week of this reporting cycle, investing your hard-earned money in stocks showing strong profits and earnings surprises may seem fashionable. However, it can be far more rewarding to look beyond profits and assess whether those gains are being efficiently added to a company’s reserves. While profit remains a key company objective, cash is the lifeblood that sustains operations and reflects a company’s financial resilience. In this regard, stocks like H World Group Limited HTHT, BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. BTSG, Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. REPX and Mistras Group, Inc. MG emerge as compelling picks, supported by improving cash flow trends. A company may report profits, yet still struggle with weak cash flow, leaving it vulnerable to bankruptcy while trying to meet its obligations. By contrast, a business with strong cash reserves has greater flexibility to make strategic decisions, pursue promising investments and support growth. It is also better positioned to withstand market turbulence. Assessing a company’s ability to generate cash is essential not only for growing your money but also for protecting it. Assessing a company’s cash-generating efficiency has become increasingly important amid global economic uncertainty, market disruptions, dislocations and liquidity concerns driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions. To figure out this efficiency, one needs to consider a company’s net cash flow. While in any business, cash moves in and out, it is net cash flow that explains how much money a company is actually generating. If a company is experiencing a positive cash flow, it denotes an increase in its liquid assets, which gives it the means to meet debt obligations, shell out for expenses, reinvest in the business, endure downturns and finally return wealth to shareholders. On the other hand, a negative cash flow indicates a decline in the company’s liquidity, which in turn lowers its flexibility to support these moves. However, having a positive cash flow merely does not secure a company’s future growth. To ride on the growth curve, a company must have its cash flow increasing because that indicates management’s efficiency in regulating its cash movements and less dependency on outside financing for running its business. Therefore, keep yourself abreast with the following screen to bet on stocks with rising cash flows. To find stocks...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-16Riley Permian Declares Quarterly Dividend and Schedules First Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call
PR Newswire
Riley Permian Declares Quarterly Dividend and Schedules First Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call
OKLAHOMA CITY, April 15, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (NYSE American: REPX) ("Riley Permian" or the "Company") today announced that its Board of Directors has approved a cash dividend on the Company's common stock in the amount of $0.40 per share. The dividend is payable on May 13, 2026 to stockholders of record as of the close of business on April 29, 2026. Additionally, the Company plans to release financial and operating results for its first quarter on May 6, 2026 after the U.S. financial markets close. In connection with the earnings release, Riley Permian management will host a conference call for investors and analysts on May 7, 2026 at 9:00 a.m. CT to discuss the Company's results and to host a Q&A session. Interested parties are invited to participate by calling: Toll Free Dial-In, 1 (888) 596-4144 Toll Dial-In, 1 (646) 968-2525 Conference ID number 1303008 An updated company presentation, which will include certain items to be discussed on the call, will be posted prior to the call on the Company's website (www.rileypermian.com). A replay of the call will be available until May 21, 2026 by calling: Toll Free Dial-in, 1 (800) 770-2030 Toll Dial-in, 1 (609) 800-9909 Conference ID Number 1303008 About Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. Riley Permian is a growth-oriented upstream oil and gas company operating in Texas and New Mexico with infrastructure projects that complement our operations. For more information, please visit www.rileypermian.com. Investor Contact: Ben McQueen 405-438-0126 [email protected] View original content:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/riley-permian-declares-quarterly-dividend-and-schedules-first-quarter-2026-earnings-release-and-conference-call-302743484.html
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-10Reflecting On U.S. Shale E&P Stocks’ Q4 Earnings: Riley Exploration Permian (NYSE:REPX)
StockStory
Reflecting On U.S. Shale E&P Stocks’ Q4 Earnings: Riley Exploration Permian (NYSE:REPX)
Wrapping up Q4 earnings, we look at the numbers and key takeaways for the U.S. shale E&P stocks, including Riley Exploration Permian (NYSE:REPX) and its peers. US shale oil producers extract crude from tight rock formations using horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing (fracking) techniques, primarily in basins like the Permian, Bakken, and Eagle Ford. Tailwinds include short-cycle investment flexibility allowing rapid production adjustments, technological improvements enhancing well productivity, and proximity to refining and export infrastructure. Capital discipline has improved financial returns. Headwinds include commodity price sensitivity affecting drilling economics, accelerating well decline rates requiring continuous capital investment, and increasing regulatory and ESG scrutiny. Water usage, induced seismicity concerns, and evolving environmental regulations present ongoing operational challenges. The 11 U.S. shale E&P stocks we track reported a satisfactory Q4. As a group, revenues beat analysts’ consensus estimates by 2.2%. Luckily, U.S. shale E&P stocks have performed well with share prices up 10.6% on average since the latest earnings results. Operating in counties where legacy oil fields have been producing since the early 1900s, Riley Exploration Permian (NYSE:REPX) drills for and produces oil and natural gas from horizontal wells in the Permian Basin of West Texas and New Mexico. Riley Exploration Permian reported revenues of $97.28 million, down 5.3% year on year. This print fell short of analysts’ expectations by 8.4%, but it was still a strong quarter for the company with a beat of analysts’ EPS and EBITDA estimates. Bobby Riley, Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer commented, "2025 was a transformational year for Riley Permian, as we made significant progress across key strategic initiatives, including inventory expansion, infrastructure build‑out, and balance sheet improvement. The groundwork laid in 2025 positions the company for a more active and value‑enhancing development program in 2026 and beyond." Riley Exploration Permian delivered the weakest performance against analyst estimates of the whole group. Interestingly, the stock is up 32.3% since reporting and currently trades at $39.22. We think Riley Exploration Permian is a good business, but is it a buy today? Read our full report here, it’s free. Operating pri...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-03-09Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) Reports 2025 Results and Provides 2026 Guidance
Insider Monkey
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) Reports 2025 Results and Provides 2026 Guidance
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (NYSEAM:REPX) is one of the best oil stocks with highest upside potential. Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (NYSEAM:REPX) reported financial and operating results for fiscal Q4 and full year 2025 on March 4, reporting that it averaged 35.5 MBoe/d of total equivalent production (oil production of 20.1 MBbls/d) in the quarter. The company also generated $65 million of operating cash flow, $85 million of net income, $66 million of Adjusted EBITDAX, $1 million of Total Free Cash Flow, and $17 million of Upstream Free Cash Flow in the quarter. Results for the full year 2025 showed that Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (NYSEAM:REPX) averaged 29.2 MBoe/d of total equivalent production (oil production of 17.3 MBbls/d), and generated $213 million of operating cash flow and $161 million of net income. The company also delivered full-year 2026 guidance for total production of 35.0 - 37.0 MBoe/d (oil production of 21.0 - 22.0 MBbls/d), along with full-year 2026 guidance for activity-based capital expenditures before acquisitions of $190 - 210 million. Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (NYSEAM:REPX) is an independent oil and natural gas company that focuses on the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in Texas and New Mexico. While we acknowledge the potential of REPX as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you’re looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. READ NEXT: The Best and Worst Dow Stocks for the Next 12 Months and 10 Unstoppable Stocks That Could Double Your Money. Disclosure: None. Follow Insider Monkey on Google News.

