B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$86.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
REG
Regency CentersCNasdaq / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The bullish read is that grocery-anchored fundamentals remain healthy: same-property NOI grew 4.4%, leasing spreads stayed strong at 12.1% cash and 24.3% straight-line, commenced occupancy improved year over year, and the $635 million pipeline offers visible embedded growth [#8-K-2026-04-29]. Against direct shopping-center REIT peers such as KIM, BRX, and FRT, the most relevant watch items are rent spreads, leased-to-commenced occupancy conversion, redevelopment yield, and same-property NOI rather than broad REIT market-cap comparisons.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.8.
What can break
Development and redevelopment spend guidance increased to approximately $350 million from $325 million, raising execution and capital-allocation risk if project timing, leasing, or yields slip [#8-K-2026-04-29].
Momentum
37
Value
57
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $81.00 · Bull $86.00 · Bear $74.00Analysis 2026-04-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $86.94
Why
Momentum37 · Δ7d -2.3
Value57 · Δ7d -
Sentiment56 · Δ7d +6.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Development and redevelopment spend guidance increased to approximately $350 million from $325 million, raising execution and capital-allocation risk if project timing, leasing, or yields slip [#8-K-2026-04-29].
- • Immediate post-earnings analyst revision data was unavailable from the sources checked, so conviction on whether estimates move meaningfully higher after the print remains limited.
- • The bearish read is that the quarter looked good but not thesis-changing: same-property leased occupancy was flat year over year, FFO and core operating earnings guidance were reaffirmed rather than raised, and no confirmed T+1 analyst target or estimate revision was available from the sources checked, which keeps the setup closer to a monitoring view than a fresh upside rerating.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-29
Q1 2026 earnings showed solid property-level execution but limited near-term surprise
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
37
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-2.3
Δ21d
+2.6
Value
57
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
56
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.8
Δ21d
+2.5
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 36.5 / Value 56.6 / Sentiment 56.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$81.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$74.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$13.98B
Beta
0.96
Shares Out
183.12M
P/E (TTM)
31.4
P/S (TTM)
8.24
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-107.99
Rev YoY
+8.6%
EPS YoY
+8.7%
Gross Margin
+44.3%
Op Margin
+37.3%
Net Debt
$5.22B
Current Ratio
1.91
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data