B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$18.03
-3.2% vs current
RDW
RedwireCNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
At close
2026-06-03
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$12.40
-33.4% vs current
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$7.01
-62.4% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-01-25
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-
Unavailable
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+14.1
Score
AI commentary
Analyst coverage is limited but shows a narrow median (~$12.4) and a wide high/low dispersion, reflecting mixed views on upside [#SERP-9], [#SERP-2]. Market tone appears neutral-to-cautious given modest analyst upside vs current price and execution risk on contracts [#SERP-1].
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-01-25
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-04-25catalystNear-term analyst revisions / earnings surpriseHigh impact
Quarterly results or near-term analyst estimate changes could move the stock; analyst consensus shows a tight median near $12.4 which can amplify reactions to beats/misses [#SERP-1], [#SERP-2].
2026-12-31eventGovernment/commercial contract awards or mission milestonesHigh impact
Contract awards or mission milestones (e.g., mission deliveries or procurement wins) can trigger outsized moves; date assumed at year-end window (conservative end-of-window assumption) if no firm public date is available [#SERP-3].
2027-01-25catalystSecular growth in space infrastructure and commercial demandHigh impact
Long-term adoption of commercial space infrastructure and increased mission cadence could materially expand revenue opportunities over the next year [#SERP-6], [#SERP-1].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-01-25 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology