RDW

RedwireD

NYSE / Capital Goods

At close

2026-07-20

Current thesis

Bull case assumes successful contract awards and mission deliveries, improving revenue visibility and multiple expansion toward peers.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +19.4.

What can break

High customer concentration in government contracts

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $12.40 · Bull $18.03 · Bear $7.01

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-20

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-01-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-20

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $15.71

Why

Momentum4 · Δ7d -0.1

Value34 · Δ7d 0.0

Sentiment88 · Δ7d +19.4

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.1

Δ21d

-53.9

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

0.0

Δ21d

-0.0

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+19.4

Δ21d

+30.5

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 4.1 / Value 33.9 / Sentiment 87.5

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$2.02B

Beta

2.44

Shares Out

238.83M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

-3.7

P/S (TTM)

5.72

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

-5.97

Rev YoY

+57.9%

EPS YoY

+342.6%

Gross Margin

+9.2%

Op Margin

-56.4%

Net Debt

$105.65M

Current Ratio

1.75

As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology