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RDVT

Red VioletD
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bull case is that RDVT has entered a stronger operating-leverage phase: Q1 2026 set records for revenue, profitability, cash flow, and customer onboarding, while management framed its AI-embedded identity graph as additive rather than disruptive in regulated workflows [#SEC-8K-2026-05-07] [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-05-07].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.4.
What can break
Customer-add momentum at IDI and user growth at FOREWARN are key; any slowdown would pressure the current high-teen growth narrative.
Momentum
77
Value
53
Sentiment
36
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $60.00 · Bull $66.00 · Bear $45.00Analysis 2026-06-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $82.67
Why
Momentum77 · Δ7d +7.0
Value53 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment36 · Δ7d +5.4
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Customer-add momentum at IDI and user growth at FOREWARN are key; any slowdown would pressure the current high-teen growth narrative.
  • • Low external coverage and sparse visible revision data can amplify volatility around filings because fewer third-party checkpoints exist.
  • • The bear case is that forward visibility is still limited because coverage is thin, formal guidance is absent in the packet, and investors may hesitate to underwrite sustained upside until another quarter confirms that customer additions, FOREWARN expansion, and elevated margins are repeatable rather than peak-quarter outcomes.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-07

Q1 2026 earnings print confirmed record growth and margin expansion

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
77
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.0
Δ21d
-9.3
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.8
Sentiment
36
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.4
Δ21d
-7.4
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 77.3 / Value 52.7 / Sentiment 36.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-06-11. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$66.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$45.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.09B
Beta
1.66
Shares Out
16.05M
P/E (TTM)
69.0
P/S (TTM)
8.69
P/FCF (TTM)
50.89
Rev YoY
+22.7%
EPS YoY
+85.8%
Gross Margin
+73.5%
Op Margin
+17.9%
Net Debt
-$40.77M
Current Ratio
10.88
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data