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RDCM

RADCOMA
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bull case rests on delayed rather than canceled deployments, three post-quarter contracts including a competitive displacement, $109.7 million of cash with no debt, and potential buyback support. Normalized deployments and 2027 double-digit growth could improve sentiment.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.
What can break
ADM and the AI roadmap lack disclosed adoption or revenue contribution evidence.
Momentum
13
Value
63
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $11.50 · Bull $15.00 · Bear $8.00Analysis 2026-08-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $14.00
Why
Momentum13 · Δ7d +1.7
Value63 · Δ7d +0.4
Sentiment67 · Δ7d +0.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • ADM and the AI roadmap lack disclosed adoption or revenue contribution evidence.
  • • Analyst revisions, options data, short interest, and social coverage are unavailable.
  • • Q2 revenue and profitability deteriorated sharply, infrastructure constraints may prolong delays, and the FY2026 outlook remains materially lower than the prior growth trajectory.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-12

Q2 2026 results reset near-term expectations

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
13
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+1.7
Δ21d
+6.0
Value
63
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
+1.3
Sentiment
67
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
-7.7
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 13.1 / Value 62.8 / Sentiment 67.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-17. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$15.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$170.23M
Beta
0.56
Shares Out
16.74M
P/E (TTM)
20.5
P/S (TTM)
3.02
P/FCF (TTM)
19.01
Rev YoY
-33.4%
EPS YoY
-226.7%
Gross Margin
+75.9%
Op Margin
+5.2%
Net Debt
-$106.69M
Current Ratio
6.20
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data