B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
+25.4% vs current
RAL
RalliantANYSE / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
At close
2026-07-31
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+1Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$73.00
+11.7% vs current
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$55.00
-15.9% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-07-31
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-14.5
Negative
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-14.5
Negative
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+54.0
Score
AI commentary
Primary-source news tone is constructive following the Q2 beat, guidance raise, and dated DPA-funded capacity announcement, but the packet does not provide a reliably confirmed post-release price reaction, analyst revision data, options positioning, short interest, or social coverage. Confidence is therefore positive but monitoring-oriented.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-07-31
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
report lacks a dated company-specific catalyst beyond generic cadence for its sector profile
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-18catalystPacSci EMC DPA-funded capacity expansionMedium impact
On May 18, 2026, Ralliant reported that a $27.3 million Defense Production Act investment would support PacSci EMC expansion of production capacity for universal Arm Fire Devices used in solid rocket motor programs. The release describes a company-specific defense capacity milestone, but does not quantify timing or earnings contribution. [Ralliant IR release](https://investors.ralliant.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/126/ralliant-spotlights-award-of-27-3m-investment-from-the-defense-production-act-to-scale-production-at-its-pacsci-emc-operating-company)
2026-07-30eventQ2 beat and FY2026 guidance raiseMedium impact
Ralliant reported Q2 revenue of $568 million, up 13% year over year, adjusted EPS of $0.68, and said results exceeded the high end of guidance. Updated FY2026 outlook is $2.250-$2.300 billion revenue and $2.76-$2.90 adjusted EPS. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30] [Ralliant IR release](https://investors.ralliant.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/128/ralliant-reports-second-quarter-2026-results-and-raises-full-year-guidance)
2026-10-29catalystNear-term execution against Q3 outlookMedium impact
The company provided Q3 revenue guidance of $570-$590 million, adjusted EBITDA margin of 20.5%-21.5%, and adjusted EPS of $0.72-$0.78. Follow-through depends on volume, pricing, productivity savings, and demand recovery in Test & Measurement. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-07-31 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology