QXO

QXOD

NYSE / Capital Goods

At close

2026-07-20

Current thesis

The long-term scale thesis is still alive: QXO has already closed Kodiak, retains significant liquidity, and is still pursuing a transformative TopBuild combination that could materially expand revenue and purchasing scale if approvals and integration hold. Primary support remains the company filing set [#8-K-2026-05-12] [#10-Q-2026-05-12].

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.

What can break

Execution risk is elevated because management is trying to integrate acquisitions while also investing in technology and sales capacity.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $18.50 · Bull $22.50 · Bear $14.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-20

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-20

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $29.62

Why

Momentum12 · Δ7d -1.1

Value44 · Δ7d +0.1

Sentiment79 · Δ7d +0.0

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-1.1

Δ21d

+1.9

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.1

Δ21d

-0.6

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.0

Δ21d

+21.7

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 11.6 / Value 43.8 / Sentiment 78.8

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-20

Market Cap

$14.05B

Beta

2.52

Shares Out

1.04B

P/E (TTM) · Derived

-21.4

P/S (TTM)

3.37

P/FCF (TTM)

447.28

Rev YoY

+12708.7%

EPS YoY

+1037.8%

Gross Margin

+16.2%

Op Margin

-5.5%

Net Debt

$1.55B

Current Ratio

3.33

As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology