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QXO

QXOC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
QXO is building substantial scale through Kodiak and TopBuild, with Q2 adjusted EBITDA improving year over year and management targeting major long-term revenue and EBITDA growth [#SEC-8K-2026-08-13].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -28.4.
What can break
Broad capital-goods peers are only loose comparables; direct peer evidence is limited.
Momentum
16
Value
45
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.50 · Bull $16.50 · Bear $9.00Analysis 2026-09-10; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $28.47
Why
Momentum16 · Δ7d -1.8
Value45 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment63 · Δ7d -28.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -28.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Broad capital-goods peers are only loose comparables; direct peer evidence is limited.
  • • Integration of TopBuild, Kodiak, and other acquired businesses may fail to deliver expected synergies.
  • • The company remains loss-making, six-month adjusted EPS is negative, and the market must underwrite substantial integration, technology, financing, and execution risk.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-13

Q2 2026 results and TopBuild integration reset

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
16
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.8
Δ21d
+7.4
Value
45
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+1.6
Sentiment
63
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-28.4
Δ21d
-27.7
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 16.2 / Value 45.2 / Sentiment 63.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-10. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$16.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$9.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$14.5B
Beta
2.52
Shares Out
1.04B
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-22.1
P/S (TTM)
3.37
P/FCF (TTM)
447.28
Rev YoY
+70.3%
EPS YoY
-4.6%
Gross Margin
+17.2%
Op Margin
-1.4%
Net Debt
$1.55B
Current Ratio
4.11
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data