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QXO

QXOA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
QXO is building a substantially larger North American building-products platform through Beacon, Kodiak, and TopBuild. Q2 showed higher revenue and adjusted EBITDA, and management continues to target significant long-term EBITDA and revenue expansion.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.6.
What can break
Adjusted diluted EPS of $0.08 declined from $0.11 year over year and trailed the stored pre-release expectation of $0.09. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-13] [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-06]
Momentum
17
Value
45
Sentiment
98
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $16.00 · Bull $23.00 · Bear $11.25Analysis 2026-08-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $28.47
Why
Momentum17 · Δ7d -1.8
Value45 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment98 · Δ7d +3.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adjusted diluted EPS of $0.08 declined from $0.11 year over year and trailed the stored pre-release expectation of $0.09. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-13] [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-06]
  • • GAAP net loss remained $55 million despite higher revenue and adjusted EBITDA.
  • • The Q2 adjusted EPS result was below the stored pre-release expectation and below the prior-year quarter, while GAAP net loss remained $55 million.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-01

TopBuild acquisition completion and platform expansion

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
17
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.8
Δ21d
+8.3
Value
45
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.6
Sentiment
98
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.6
Δ21d
+4.8
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 17.4 / Value 45.2 / Sentiment 97.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-14. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$23.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$11.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$14.5B
Beta
2.52
Shares Out
1.04B
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-22.1
P/S (TTM)
3.37
P/FCF (TTM)
447.28
Rev YoY
+70.3%
EPS YoY
-4.6%
Gross Margin
+17.2%
Op Margin
-1.4%
Net Debt
$1.55B
Current Ratio
4.11
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data