B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$52.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
QSR
Restaurant Brands InternationalFNYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Execution of buybacks, steady same-store sales growth across KFC/Popeyes/Tim Hortons, and margin recovery could drive multiples higher and realize meaningful upside to the base case.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
What can break
Sustained commodity/wage inflation, slowing consumer traffic, or franchisee-level weakness could compress margins and lead to multiple contraction below current levels.
Momentum
73
Value
47
Sentiment
11
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $44.02 · Bull $52.40 · Bear $35.63Analysis 2025-12-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-12-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $86.21
Why
Momentum73 · Δ7d +10.4
Value47 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment11 · Δ7d +3.3
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Sustained commodity/wage inflation, slowing consumer traffic, or franchisee-level weakness could compress margins and lead to multiple contraction below current levels.
- • Mixed signals. Wait for cleaner trend confirmation.
Catalyst clock
No dated catalyst is available.
Quarterly earnings release (next reported quarter)
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
73
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.4
Δ21d
+26.1
Value
47
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.8
Sentiment
11
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.3
Δ21d
+1.8
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 72.8 / Value 46.7 / Sentiment 10.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-12-07. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$44.02
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$35.63
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$35.07B
Beta
0.60
Shares Out
454.51M
P/E (TTM)
23.7
P/S (TTM)
2.36
P/FCF (TTM)
125.02
Rev YoY
+4.6%
EPS YoY
+151.2%
Gross Margin
+48.6%
Op Margin
+27.2%
Net Debt
$14.52B
Current Ratio
1.01
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data