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QSR

Restaurant Brands InternationalF
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Execution of buybacks, steady same-store sales growth across KFC/Popeyes/Tim Hortons, and margin recovery could drive multiples higher and realize meaningful upside to the base case.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
What can break
Sustained commodity/wage inflation, slowing consumer traffic, or franchisee-level weakness could compress margins and lead to multiple contraction below current levels.
Momentum
50
Value
46
Sentiment
11
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $44.02 · Bull $52.40 · Bear $35.63Analysis 2025-12-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-12-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $86.07
Why
Momentum50 · Δ7d -1.5
Value46 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment11 · Δ7d +0.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Sustained commodity/wage inflation, slowing consumer traffic, or franchisee-level weakness could compress margins and lead to multiple contraction below current levels.
  • • Mixed signals. Wait for cleaner trend confirmation.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · BMO

Quarterly earnings release (next reported quarter)

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
50
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.5
Δ21d
-17.3
Value
46
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
11
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
-7.2
Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 49.8 / Value 46.1 / Sentiment 10.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-12-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$52.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$44.02
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$35.63
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$34.24B
Beta
0.60
Shares Out
454.51M
P/E (TTM)
23.7
P/S (TTM)
2.36
P/FCF (TTM)
125.02
Rev YoY
+4.6%
EPS YoY
+151.2%
Gross Margin
+48.6%
Op Margin
+27.2%
Net Debt
$14.52B
Current Ratio
1.01
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data