B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
QS
QuantumScapeCNasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Higher Eagle Line output, customer validation and progress under the Honda and PowerCo arrangements could make commercial scale-up more credible. The company reported $859.0 million of quarter-end liquidity.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.3.
What can break
Continued losses and R&D spending create cash-consumption and potential future financing risk despite reported Q2 liquidity. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-22]
Momentum
10
Value
36
Sentiment
75
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.80 · Bull $6.50 · Bear $2.80Analysis 2026-09-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $5.00
Why
Momentum10 · Δ7d -0.1
Value36 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment75 · Δ7d -3.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Continued losses and R&D spending create cash-consumption and potential future financing risk despite reported Q2 liquidity. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-22]
- • Failure to reach the stated second-half Eagle Line output and sample-shipment goals could undermine manufacturing credibility. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-22]
- • Scale-up and customer conversion remain unproven.
Catalyst clock
2026-12-31
Eagle Line output and customer samples
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
10
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-1.8
Value
36
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
75
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.3
Δ21d
+5.2
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 10.2 / Value 35.8 / Sentiment 74.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$4.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$2.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-26
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$2.41B
Beta
2.53
Shares Out
619.03M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-5.2
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-8.64
Rev YoY
-
EPS YoY
-22.0%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
-
Net Debt
-$899.81M
Current Ratio
18.42
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data