B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
QMCO
QuantumDNasdaq / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The earnings print materially improved the operating narrative: revenue exceeded guidance, adjusted profitability arrived earlier than expected, backlog reached a record, and debt was eliminated. Continued backlog conversion could support upside toward the packet's $24 reference target and beyond.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
Large one-time restructuring charges complicate earnings-quality comparisons.
Momentum
100
Value
39
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $24.00 · Bull $28.00 · Bear $16.00Analysis 2026-08-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $24.00
Why
Momentum100 · Δ7d 0.0
Value39 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment52 · Δ7d +4.4
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Large one-time restructuring charges complicate earnings-quality comparisons.
- • Low analyst coverage leaves post-earnings estimate and target revisions unverified.
- • The thesis remains execution-sensitive because supply constraints can prevent backlog conversion.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-10
Q1 FY2027 earnings beat and first adjusted-profit quarter [#SEC-8K-2026-08-10]
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
100
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.3
Value
39
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+4.4
Sentiment
52
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.4
Δ21d
-2.9
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 99.9 / Value 38.6 / Sentiment 51.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-13. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$982.1M
Beta
2.66
Shares Out
39.41M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-3.1
P/S (TTM)
0.41
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-15.87
Rev YoY
+25.7%
EPS YoY
+277.1%
Gross Margin
+37.8%
Op Margin
-0.4%
Net Debt
$137.58M
Current Ratio
0.93
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data