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QLYS

QualysA
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 revenue rose 11%, margins expanded, and management raised full-year revenue guidance. The stored Zacks recap also reports non-GAAP EPS beating its consensus by 11.24% and revenue beating by 1.8%, with improving expansion, partner-led growth, broader product bookings, and strong free cash flow supporting a durable growth-and-profitability profile [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04] [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-09-03].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.5.
What can break
AI-native Risk Operations Center, QFlex, and newer modules lack quantified forward adoption commitments in the available primary-source excerpt.
Momentum
89
Value
57
Sentiment
83
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $170.00 · Bull $190.00 · Bear $125.00Analysis 2026-09-12; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-12 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $179.75
Why
Momentum89 · Δ7d -1.8
Value57 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment83 · Δ7d +10.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • AI-native Risk Operations Center, QFlex, and newer modules lack quantified forward adoption commitments in the available primary-source excerpt.
  • • Analyst-target breadth and post-earnings estimate revisions are unavailable, limiting confidence in valuation and revision signals.
  • • The shares remained about 6.8% below their post-earnings level one month after the report despite the beat-and-raise, suggesting investors still question growth reacceleration or its durability.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Raised 2026 revenue outlook is the key execution benchmark

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
89
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.8
Δ21d
-9.0
Value
57
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
0.0
Sentiment
83
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.5
Δ21d
+20.6
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 89.1 / Value 56.5 / Sentiment 82.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-12. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$190.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$170.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$125.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$6.34B
Beta
0.53
Shares Out
34.6M
P/E (TTM)
25.4
P/S (TTM)
7.19
P/FCF (TTM)
17.31
Rev YoY
+11.9%
EPS YoY
+15.5%
Gross Margin
+83.6%
Op Margin
+35.0%
Net Debt
-$393.67M
Current Ratio
1.38
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data