B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
QDEL
QuidelOrthoBNasdaq / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 showed resilient ex-China performance, 16% Point of Care growth, and improved adjusted EBITDA margin. If respiratory demand stabilizes, China pricing uncertainty clears, and cash conversion improves, the low share price and approximately $14.67 median target imply modest recovery potential.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -28.0.
What can break
A softer respiratory environment could weaken seasonal demand and product adoption.
Momentum
8
Value
53
Sentiment
77
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $15.00 · Bull $19.00 · Bear $10.00Analysis 2026-09-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $14.67
Why
Momentum8 · Δ7d -1.4
Value53 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment77 · Δ7d -28.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -28.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • A softer respiratory environment could weaken seasonal demand and product adoption.
- • Analyst coverage and revision data are limited, reducing confidence in valuation signals.
- • The company materially reduced 2026 revenue, EBITDA, and adjusted EPS guidance and withdrew free-cash-flow guidance.
Catalyst clock
2026-09-30
China and respiratory weakness remain downside triggers
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
8
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.4
Δ21d
-2.9
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-1.6
Sentiment
77
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-28.0
Δ21d
-28.0
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 8.2 / Value 52.6 / Sentiment 77.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-03. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$15.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$10.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$999.83M
Beta
0.68
Shares Out
68.58M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.9
P/S (TTM)
0.75
P/FCF (TTM)
106.34
Rev YoY
+2.5%
EPS YoY
-63.9%
Gross Margin
+37.7%
Op Margin
-1.2%
Net Debt
$2.66B
Current Ratio
1.39
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data