B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$204.31
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-10-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
QCOM
QUALCOMMCNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Qualcomm converts automotive and premium handset design wins; QCT growth outpaces expectations and licensing remains stable, pushing shares toward the bull target.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-11.
What can break
Adverse licensing or antitrust rulings
Momentum
69
Value
66
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $171.62 · Bull $204.31 · Bear $138.93Analysis 2025-10-19; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-10-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $202.52
Why
Momentum69 · Δ7d +15.2
Value66 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment50 · Δ7d -8.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-11.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -8.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adverse licensing or antitrust rulings
- • Faster competitive erosion in modem/SoC segments
- • A weaker handset cycle, delayed automotive ramp, or adverse licensing/regulatory rulings compress revenue and margins, driving the stock toward the bear target.
Catalyst clock
No dated catalyst is available.
Licensing / regulatory downside
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
69
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+15.2
Δ21d
+56.9
Value
66
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-2.8
Sentiment
50
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.0
Δ21d
-12.1
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 68.9 / Value 65.7 / Sentiment 50.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-10-19. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$171.62
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-10-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$138.93
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-10-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$170.33B
Beta
1.22
Shares Out
1.05B
P/E (TTM)
36.1
P/S (TTM)
4.26
P/FCF (TTM)
20.91
Rev YoY
-4.0%
EPS YoY
-22.8%
Gross Margin
+54.2%
Op Margin
+23.5%
Net Debt
$3.17B
Current Ratio
2.02
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data