B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$204.31
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-10-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
QCOM
QUALCOMMBNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Qualcomm converts automotive and premium handset design wins; QCT growth outpaces expectations and licensing remains stable, pushing shares toward the bull target.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Adverse licensing or antitrust rulings
Momentum
68
Value
64
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $171.62 · Bull $204.31 · Bear $138.93Analysis 2025-10-19; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-10-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $198.58
Why
Momentum68 · Δ7d -13.1
Value64 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -2.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adverse licensing or antitrust rulings
- • Faster competitive erosion in modem/SoC segments
- • A weaker handset cycle, delayed automotive ramp, or adverse licensing/regulatory rulings compress revenue and margins, driving the stock toward the bear target.
Catalyst clock
No dated catalyst is available.
Licensing / regulatory downside
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
68
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-13.1
Δ21d
-19.7
Value
64
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-0.8
Sentiment
54
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.1
Δ21d
-0.8
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 67.7 / Value 63.7 / Sentiment 53.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-10-19. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$171.62
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-10-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$138.93
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-10-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$187.84B
Beta
1.22
Shares Out
1.07B
P/E (TTM)
36.1
P/S (TTM)
4.26
P/FCF (TTM)
20.91
Rev YoY
-4.0%
EPS YoY
-22.8%
Gross Margin
+54.2%
Op Margin
+23.5%
Net Debt
$3.17B
Current Ratio
2.02
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data