PZZA
Papa John's InternationalDNasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-20
Current thesis
The constructive case is mostly self-help: international comps stayed positive, 279 restaurants opened in 2025, free cash flow improved to $61.3 million, and management outlined identifiable cost and supply-chain savings that could rebuild margins even if revenue stays soft [#8-K-2026-02-26] [#10-K-2026-02-26].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA fell to $201.1 million in 2025 from $227.3 million, with incremental marketing and incentive compensation weighing on profit recovery [#8-K-2026-02-26].
Momentum
27
Value
55
Sentiment
49
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $36.00 · Bull $41.00 · Bear $29.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-20
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-20
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $37.36
Why
Momentum27 · Δ7d -8.8
Value55 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment49 · Δ7d -1.9
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
27
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-8.8
Δ21d
-14.5
Value
55
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
49
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.9
Δ21d
+9.3
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 27.4 / Value 55.1 / Sentiment 49.0
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$1.08B
Beta
1.19
Shares Out
32.9M
P/E (TTM)
5.3
P/S (TTM)
0.57
P/FCF (TTM)
71.56
Rev YoY
-7.7%
EPS YoY
-23.2%
Gross Margin
+15.9%
Op Margin
+13.3%
Net Debt
$899.42M
Current Ratio
0.84
As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology