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PZZA

Papa John's InternationalD
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
View Chart
Current thesis
The constructive case is mostly self-help: international comps stayed positive, 279 restaurants opened in 2025, free cash flow improved to $61.3 million, and management outlined identifiable cost and supply-chain savings that could rebuild margins even if revenue stays soft [#8-K-2026-02-26] [#10-K-2026-02-26].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA fell to $201.1 million in 2025 from $227.3 million, with incremental marketing and incentive compensation weighing on profit recovery [#8-K-2026-02-26].
Momentum
28
Value
55
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $36.00 · Bull $41.00 · Bear $29.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $37.36
Why
Momentum28 · Δ7d -5.0
Value55 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment52 · Δ7d -1.1
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
28
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-5.0
Δ21d
-2.5
Value
55
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
52
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
+10.0
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 27.7 / Value 55.1 / Sentiment 52.1

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$1.08B
Beta
1.19
Shares Out
32.9M
P/E (TTM)
5.3
P/S (TTM)
0.57
P/FCF (TTM)
71.56
Rev YoY
-7.7%
EPS YoY
-23.2%
Gross Margin
+15.9%
Op Margin
+13.3%
Net Debt
$899.42M
Current Ratio
0.84
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology