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PZZA

Papa John's InternationalA
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
International momentum, continued unit openings, rewards engagement, supply-chain savings, and AI-enabled ordering could support a multi-quarter recovery if North America comparable sales stabilize.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
Analyst target, estimate-revision, and post-print consensus coverage is limited.
Momentum
4
Value
51
Sentiment
88
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $25.00 · Bull $32.00 · Bear $18.00Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $30.82
Why
Momentum4 · Δ7d +0.6
Value51 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment88 · Δ7d +4.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst target, estimate-revision, and post-print consensus coverage is limited.
  • • Fiscal 2026 outlook was updated, but the packet does not provide the revised numerical ranges.
  • • The Q2 print showed severe North America weakness, lower order volumes, elevated promotion, reduced revenue, and a dividend suspension.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-15

Post-earnings estimate and rating digestion

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
4
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
+1.0
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-4.9
Sentiment
88
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.1
Δ21d
+10.7
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 4.3 / Value 50.8 / Sentiment 88.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$32.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$25.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$764.77M
Beta
1.19
Shares Out
32.92M
P/E (TTM)
5.3
P/S (TTM)
0.57
P/FCF (TTM)
71.56
Rev YoY
-8.8%
EPS YoY
-13.0%
Gross Margin
+15.7%
Op Margin
+4.7%
Net Debt
$899.42M
Current Ratio
0.83
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data