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PWP

Perella Weinberg PartnersA
Nasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 beat, accelerating announced transactions, expanding backlog, continued senior hiring, debt-free balance sheet, and $73 million returned to equity holders support a cautiously positive medium-term setup. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-31]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
Backlog may convert slowly or not at expected fee levels because deal completion timing is difficult to predict.
Momentum
23
Value
49
Sentiment
85
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $19.50 · Bull $23.50 · Bear $13.50Analysis 2026-09-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $22.25
Why
Momentum23 · Δ7d -5.5
Value49 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment85 · Δ7d +15.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-10.
  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +15.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Backlog may convert slowly or not at expected fee levels because deal completion timing is difficult to predict.
  • Buyer-seller valuation disconnects may constrain M&A volume.
  • The first-half revenue decline, lower operating margin, uncertain deal completion timing, and exposure to buyer-seller valuation gaps could delay backlog conversion.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-10

Q2 earnings beat and transaction momentum

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
23
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.5
Δ21d
-17.9
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
85
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+15.9
Δ21d
-1.3
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 23.2 / Value 48.6 / Sentiment 84.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$23.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$19.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$13.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.58B
Beta
1.63
Shares Out
74.02M
P/E (TTM)
24.5
P/S (TTM)
2.22
P/FCF (TTM)
40.54
Rev YoY
+0.8%
EPS YoY
+52.2%
Gross Margin
+96.7%
Op Margin
+2.8%
Net Debt
-$70.98M
Current Ratio
1.94
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data