B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$195.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
PSMT
PriceSmartDNasdaq / Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Continued membership growth, better traffic retention and pricing/mix improvements drive margin expansion; FY2027 results exceed consensus, supporting materially higher multiples.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-26 · AMC.
What can break
Commodity/wholesale inflation compressing gross margins
Momentum
40
Value
44
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $165.00 · Bull $195.00 · Bear $120.00Analysis 2026-04-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-26 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $181.50
Why
Momentum40 · Δ7d +7.9
Value44 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment53 · Δ7d -0.4
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-26 · AMC.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Commodity/wholesale inflation compressing gross margins
- • Execution risk on assortment and pricing initiatives
- • Slower consumer demand in core Latin American markets, FX headwinds, or membership churn compresses margins and revenue growth, pulling the stock below historical trading multiples.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-26 · AMC
Q2 FY2026 SEC filings and earnings disclosure (filed 2026-04-08)
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
40
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.9
Δ21d
+3.3
Value
44
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+1.0
Sentiment
53
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-6.6
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 39.5 / Value 44.2 / Sentiment 52.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-09. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$165.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$120.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$5.28B
Beta
0.75
Shares Out
30.86M
P/E (TTM)
26.4
P/S (TTM)
0.75
P/FCF (TTM)
46.86
Rev YoY
+12.5%
EPS YoY
+12.2%
Gross Margin
+17.6%
Op Margin
+4.6%
Net Debt
$3.79M
Current Ratio
1.28
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data