B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$195.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
PSMT
PriceSmartDNasdaq / Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Continued membership growth, better traffic retention and pricing/mix improvements drive margin expansion; FY2027 results exceed consensus, supporting materially higher multiples.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.5.
What can break
Commodity/wholesale inflation compressing gross margins
Momentum
45
Value
44
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $165.00 · Bull $195.00 · Bear $120.00Analysis 2026-04-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $181.50
Why
Momentum45 · Δ7d +20.7
Value44 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment58 · Δ7d +3.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Commodity/wholesale inflation compressing gross margins
- • Execution risk on assortment and pricing initiatives
- • Slower consumer demand in core Latin American markets, FX headwinds, or membership churn compresses margins and revenue growth, pulling the stock below historical trading multiples.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-08
Q2 FY2026 SEC filings and earnings disclosure (filed 2026-04-08)
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
45
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+20.7
Δ21d
+13.8
Value
44
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-1.5
Sentiment
58
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.5
Δ21d
+2.8
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 44.9 / Value 43.7 / Sentiment 57.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-09. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$165.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$120.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.55B
Beta
0.75
Shares Out
30.86M
P/E (TTM)
26.4
P/S (TTM)
0.75
P/FCF (TTM)
46.86
Rev YoY
+12.5%
EPS YoY
+12.2%
Gross Margin
+17.6%
Op Margin
+4.6%
Net Debt
$3.79M
Current Ratio
1.28
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data