B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
PRVA
Privia Health GroupCNasdaq / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Provider and attributed-life growth, higher platform contribution, and raised 2026 expectations support a constructive operating view [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]. The deterministic score has a positive directional prior, but its catalyst-density score is only 0.5.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-05 · BMO.
What can break
Available peers are loose business-model matches, limiting comparative valuation confidence.
Momentum
57
Value
54
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $21.00 · Bull $27.00 · Bear $14.00Analysis 2026-09-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-11-05 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-30 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-30 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-30
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-30
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-30. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $31.47
Why
Momentum57 · Δ7d +11.6
Value54 · Δ7d +0.5
Sentiment48 · Δ7d +7.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-05 · BMO.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Available peers are loose business-model matches, limiting comparative valuation confidence.
- • Gross profit rose 14.3% versus 21.4% revenue growth in Q2; persistent margin compression could offset network growth [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
- • Revenue grew faster than gross profit in Q2, implying gross-margin pressure.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-05 · BMO
Delivery against raised 2026 outlook
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
57
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.6
Δ21d
+44.3
Value
54
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
48
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.5
Δ21d
-5.4
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 56.5 / Value 54.4 / Sentiment 48.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-28. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$21.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$14.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-30
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-30
Market Cap
$2.74B
Beta
0.83
Shares Out
127.73M
P/E (TTM)
169.9
P/S (TTM)
1.45
P/FCF (TTM)
26.82
Rev YoY
+21.4%
EPS YoY
+228.2%
Gross Margin
+9.5%
Op Margin
+1.9%
Net Debt
-$470.15M
Current Ratio
1.62
As of 2026-10-30 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data