B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$75.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
PRLB
Proto LabsDNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The post-earnings bull case is that PRLB is showing real operating leverage: record revenue, 46.2% non-GAAP gross margin, 16.3% adjusted EBITDA margin, $17.5 million of operating cash flow, and $158.0 million of cash and investments, with CNC machining up 19.7% and Q2 guidance holding the company near record revenue levels [#8-K-2026-05-01].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.6.
What can break
After a strong Q1, the company still only guided full-year 2026 revenue growth to 6%-8%, leaving limited room for disappointment if macro or order timing softens [#8-K-2026-05-01].
Momentum
83
Value
51
Sentiment
44
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $69.00 · Bull $75.00 · Bear $57.00Analysis 2026-05-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $95.50
Why
Momentum83 · Δ7d -4.7
Value51 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment44 · Δ7d +1.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • After a strong Q1, the company still only guided full-year 2026 revenue growth to 6%-8%, leaving limited room for disappointment if macro or order timing softens [#8-K-2026-05-01].
- • Customer-contact volume fell to 19,826 from 21,627 in Q1 even though revenue rose, raising the risk that current growth is being driven more by order mix and spend concentration than by broader demand expansion [#10-Q-2026-05-01].
- • The bear case is that expectations have moved up faster than breadth of demand: customer contacts declined year over year, Europe was negative on an organic basis, and Q2 guidance plus full-year 6%-8% growth may not be enough if investors were looking for a sharper acceleration after a record Q1 [#10-Q-2026-05-01].
Catalyst clock
2026-08-02
Breadth of demand is the next key checkpoint
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
83
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.7
Δ21d
-3.3
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.2
Sentiment
44
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.6
Δ21d
+7.0
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 82.6 / Value 50.9 / Sentiment 43.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$69.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$57.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.17B
Beta
1.24
Shares Out
23.92M
P/E (TTM)
86.5
P/S (TTM)
2.42
P/FCF (TTM)
18.53
Rev YoY
+10.6%
EPS YoY
+104.0%
Gross Margin
+45.4%
Op Margin
+7.3%
Net Debt
-$125.08M
Current Ratio
3.64
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data