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PRKS

United Parks ResortsB
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record second-quarter in-park spending and stronger advance bookings for Discovery Cove and groups could support recovery if they convert to attendance and margins. First-half repurchases totaled $217.7 million, but continuation is not assured.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.4.
What can break
Advance bookings cover selected businesses, not consolidated park attendance. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
Momentum
14
Value
67
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $29.00 · Bull $39.00 · Bear $22.00Analysis 2026-10-22; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $47.09
Why
Momentum14 · Δ7d +0.8
Value67 · Δ7d +0.4
Sentiment53 · Δ7d -9.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Advance bookings cover selected businesses, not consolidated park attendance. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
  • • Attendance and admission per guest may remain weak even if in-park spending grows. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
  • • Second-quarter attendance fell 2.9%, revenue fell 1.4%, and adjusted EBITDA fell 5.2%; international visitation, admission mix, and operating costs remain obstacles.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-05

November 5 third-quarter results

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
14
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+0.8
Δ21d
+2.8
Value
67
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
53
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.7
Δ21d
-17.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 14.2 / Value 67.5 / Sentiment 53.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-22. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$39.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$29.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.37B
Beta
1.27
Shares Out
45.34M
P/E (TTM)
10.8
P/S (TTM)
1.15
P/FCF (TTM)
8.70
Rev YoY
-1.4%
EPS YoY
-7.2%
Gross Margin
+34.9%
Op Margin
+20.7%
Net Debt
$2.25B
Current Ratio
0.48
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data