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PRG

PROGB
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 execution exceeded outlook across the ecosystem, Progressive Leasing returned to positive GMV growth, balance-sheet deleveraging continued, and repurchases resumed.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.8.
What can break
Consumer weakness could pressure leasing demand and customer behavior.
Momentum
20
Value
59
Sentiment
75
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $44.00 · Bull $52.00 · Bear $32.00Analysis 2026-08-21; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $53.43
Why
Momentum20 · Δ7d -7.9
Value59 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment75 · Δ7d +7.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Consumer weakness could pressure leasing demand and customer behavior.
  • • Detailed analyst estimate, rating, and target revisions are unavailable.
  • • Progressive Leasing revenue declined 3.4% year over year and consumer pressure remains a risk; growth at Four and Purchasing Power may prove difficult to sustain, while detailed analyst revisions are unavailable.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-29

Q2 beat and raised 2026 outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
20
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.9
Δ21d
-30.6
Value
59
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-7.8
Sentiment
75
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.8
Δ21d
+0.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 20.4 / Value 58.9 / Sentiment 75.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-21. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$44.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$32.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.68B
Beta
1.73
Shares Out
39.83M
P/E (TTM)
7.6
P/S (TTM)
0.47
P/FCF (TTM)
4.29
Rev YoY
+22.3%
EPS YoY
-4.2%
Gross Margin
+35.6%
Op Margin
+8.5%
Net Debt
$293.35M
Current Ratio
7.48
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data