PRCH
Porch GroupBNasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-20
Current thesis
The bull case is that Porch is showing an insurance-led compounding model with strong gross margins, higher surplus capacity, faster agency expansion, and a raised full-year outlook; if quote conversion and underwriting remain favorable, the market can keep re-rating the stock toward the upper end of the target range.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.0.
What can break
Early Porch Insurance and Home Factors rollouts are expected to contribute only modest revenue in 2026, so near-term breadth of growth is limited.
Momentum
98
Value
56
Sentiment
33
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $11.00 · Bull $14.75 · Bear $7.25
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-20
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-20
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $16.75
Why
Momentum98 · Δ7d +2.0
Value56 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment33 · Δ7d +4.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
98
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.0
Δ21d
+3.7
Value
56
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+1.3
Sentiment
33
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.0
Δ21d
-0.4
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 98.4 / Value 56.0 / Sentiment 33.3
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-20
Market Cap
$1.41B
Beta
3.06
Shares Out
109.4M
P/E (TTM)
32.1
P/S (TTM)
2.66
P/FCF (TTM)
49.28
Rev YoY
+15.6%
EPS YoY
-159.9%
Gross Margin
+63.6%
Op Margin
+12.7%
Net Debt
$205.32M
Current Ratio
0.27
As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

