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Permian ResourcesC
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 release supports a constructive operating thesis: strong free cash flow, higher oil guidance, lower leverage, increased working interest, and continued acquisition-led inventory growth. The packet's pre-print Zacks context cited a $0.56 EPS consensus, $1.64 billion revenue consensus, and a 0.77% positive Earnings ESP, but actual-versus-consensus Q2 results are unavailable.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-07.
What can break
Actual Q2 EPS and revenue versus consensus, post-print estimate revisions, and post-print target changes remain unavailable.
Momentum
78
Value
61
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
9 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $21.50 · Bull $26.00 · Bear $17.00Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $26.41
Why
Momentum78 · Δ7d +5.0
Value61 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment59 · Δ7d +6.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-07.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Actual Q2 EPS and revenue versus consensus, post-print estimate revisions, and post-print target changes remain unavailable.
  • • Higher 2026 capex and approximately $1.05 billion of Q2 acreage acquisitions raise capital-allocation and integration risk.
  • • The quarter also exposed material commodity and execution sensitivities: negative Waha gas pricing, production curtailments, lower total production than Q1, higher capex, and more than $1 billion of year-to-date acquisition spending.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-05

Strong Q2 results and higher full-year oil guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
78
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.0
Δ21d
-2.3
Value
61
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+7.2
Sentiment
59
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.0
Δ21d
-4.7
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 78.5 / Value 60.9 / Sentiment 59.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
23%
Probability
Target price
$26.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
52%
Probability
Target price
$21.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$17.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$18.58B
Beta
0.75
Shares Out
837.56M
P/E (TTM)
12.6
P/S (TTM)
2.21
P/FCF (TTM)
10.07
Rev YoY
+55.1%
EPS YoY
+231.6%
Gross Margin
+39.2%
Op Margin
+36.0%
Net Debt
$3.54B
Current Ratio
0.62
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data