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POWL

Powell IndustriesB
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record orders, 3.0x book-to-bill, a $2.4 billion backlog, and strength in commercial/industrial and utility markets support a constructive medium-term operating case [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -19.4.
What can break
Backlog conversion and planned capacity expansion could pressure execution or margins.
Momentum
14
Value
53
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $195.00 · Bull $240.00 · Bear $145.00Analysis 2026-09-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $288.00
Why
Momentum14 · Δ7d +7.7
Value53 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment74 · Δ7d -19.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -19.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Backlog conversion and planned capacity expansion could pressure execution or margins.
  • • Earnings and revenue missed stored consensus estimates.
  • • The latest quarter missed stored consensus estimates, petrochemical revenue fell 49%, and project timing and capacity execution could create volatility [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-09-02] [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].

Catalyst clock

2026-12-07

Record orders and backlog improve forward visibility

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
14
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.7
Δ21d
+4.8
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.3
Sentiment
74
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-19.4
Δ21d
-27.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 14.0 / Value 52.8 / Sentiment 73.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$240.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$195.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$7.97B
Beta
0.84
Shares Out
36.43M
P/E (TTM)
24.3
P/S (TTM)
3.96
P/FCF (TTM)
30.79
Rev YoY
+8.9%
EPS YoY
+7.9%
Gross Margin
+30.0%
Op Margin
+19.8%
Net Debt
-$473.86M
Current Ratio
1.97
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data