B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$38.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
PNTG
Pennant GroupDNasdaq / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Pennant enters 2026 with strong recent operating momentum, explicit EBITDA and EPS guidance, and a broader footprint after 2025 expansion. If integration stays clean and former UnitedHealth/Amedisys assets ramp as planned, earnings power can keep compounding from here.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
What can break
Acquisition pacing that outruns local operating bandwidth or balance-sheet flexibility
Momentum
70
Value
52
Sentiment
33
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $33.00 · Bull $38.00 · Bear $25.50Analysis 2026-04-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $46.83
Why
Momentum70 · Δ7d -0.2
Value52 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment33 · Δ7d -0.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Acquisition pacing that outruns local operating bandwidth or balance-sheet flexibility
- • Higher-than-expected transition-services or conversion costs tied to former UnitedHealth/Amedisys assets
- • This is still an execution-heavy story.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-15
First 2026 quarter check against the February guide
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
70
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-12.8
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
33
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-11.7
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 70.5 / Value 52.1 / Sentiment 32.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-15. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$33.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$25.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-26
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$1.49B
Beta
1.27
Shares Out
34.93M
P/E (TTM)
37.6
P/S (TTM)
1.16
P/FCF (TTM)
35.28
Rev YoY
+35.8%
EPS YoY
+26.1%
Gross Margin
+13.1%
Op Margin
+6.3%
Net Debt
$442.8M
Current Ratio
1.20
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data