B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$38.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
PNTG
Pennant GroupDNasdaq / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Pennant enters 2026 with strong recent operating momentum, explicit EBITDA and EPS guidance, and a broader footprint after 2025 expansion. If integration stays clean and former UnitedHealth/Amedisys assets ramp as planned, earnings power can keep compounding from here.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.6.
What can break
Acquisition pacing that outruns local operating bandwidth or balance-sheet flexibility
Momentum
33
Value
53
Sentiment
41
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $33.00 · Bull $38.00 · Bear $25.50Analysis 2026-04-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $46.67
Why
Momentum33 · Δ7d +6.4
Value53 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment41 · Δ7d +0.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Acquisition pacing that outruns local operating bandwidth or balance-sheet flexibility
- • Higher-than-expected transition-services or conversion costs tied to former UnitedHealth/Amedisys assets
- • This is still an execution-heavy story.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-15
First 2026 quarter check against the February guide
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
33
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.4
Δ21d
-30.6
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
41
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
+2.4
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 32.8 / Value 53.3 / Sentiment 41.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-15. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$33.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$25.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.37B
Beta
1.27
Shares Out
34.93M
P/E (TTM)
37.6
P/S (TTM)
1.16
P/FCF (TTM)
35.28
Rev YoY
+35.8%
EPS YoY
+26.1%
Gross Margin
+13.1%
Op Margin
+6.3%
Net Debt
$442.8M
Current Ratio
1.20
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data