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Douglas DynamicsB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Stronger-than-expected winter demand, margin recovery, and positive guide raise multiple expansion; contractor and municipal replacement cycles exceed seasonal norms.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.7.
What can break
Analyst downgrades following weak seasonal results
Momentum
47
Value
59
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $42.66 · Bull $56.13 · Bear $31.43Analysis 2026-02-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $54.00
Why
Momentum47 · Δ7d +33.9
Value59 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment74 · Δ7d +4.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst downgrades following weak seasonal results
  • • Below-normal snowfall or delayed municipal procurement reducing demand
  • • Weaker winter activity or margin compression from raw-material/logistics pressures, combined with delayed municipal procurement, leads to prolonged earnings misses and multiple contraction.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-25

Analyst estimate revisions following results

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
47
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+33.9
Δ21d
+30.6
Value
59
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-2.3
Sentiment
74
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.7
Δ21d
+0.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 47.0 / Value 58.6 / Sentiment 73.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$56.13
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$42.66
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
15%
Probability
Target price
$31.43
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$968.77M
Beta
1.27
Shares Out
23.08M
P/E (TTM)
19.2
P/S (TTM)
1.26
P/FCF (TTM)
58.04
Rev YoY
+10.5%
EPS YoY
-1.8%
Gross Margin
+26.4%
Op Margin
+11.3%
Net Debt
$210.75M
Current Ratio
2.16
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data