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Douglas DynamicsB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 sales rose 10% to $214.6 million and adjusted diluted EPS rose to $1.22 from $1.14. Strong Attachments demand and higher full-year guidance support upside if projected Q3 shipments and Solutions cost actions hold.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.7.
What can break
Higher inventory and receivables increased first-half operating cash use; conversion into cash warrants monitoring. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03]
Momentum
52
Value
57
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $43.00 · Bull $50.00 · Bear $31.00Analysis 2026-10-18; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $54.00
Why
Momentum52 · Δ7d -19.1
Value57 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment61 · Δ7d -0.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Higher inventory and receivables increased first-half operating cash use; conversion into cash warrants monitoring. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03]
  • • Snowfall-dependent demand and the timing of preseason shipments can make Attachments results volatile. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03]
  • • Solutions adjusted EBITDA fell despite approximately flat sales, consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin declined to 20.8% from 21.9%, and first-half operating cash use increased with inventory and receivables.

Catalyst clock

2027-01-16

Third-quarter Attachments preseason shipment test

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
52
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-19.1
Δ21d
-14.0
Value
57
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-0.6
Sentiment
61
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
-13.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 52.4 / Value 57.2 / Sentiment 60.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-18. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$50.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$43.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$918.47M
Beta
1.27
Shares Out
23.08M
P/E (TTM)
19.2
P/S (TTM)
1.26
P/FCF (TTM)
58.04
Rev YoY
+10.5%
EPS YoY
-1.8%
Gross Margin
+26.4%
Op Margin
+11.3%
Net Debt
$210.75M
Current Ratio
2.16
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data