B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1.60
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
PLBY
PlayboyCNasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 growth, positive adjusted EBITDA, and Honey Birdette comparable-store gains provide evidence of operating improvement. Contractual licensing guarantees add some revenue visibility [#SEC-8K-2026-08-10].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
August Form 4 filings report sales by 10% holders; they do not establish a deterioration in operations [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-25].
Momentum
91
Value
42
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1.12 · Bull $1.60 · Bear $0.62Analysis 2026-09-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $2.75
Why
Momentum91 · Δ7d -
Value42 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment57 · Δ7d -
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • August Form 4 filings report sales by 10% holders; they do not establish a deterioration in operations [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-25].
- • Honey Birdette growth and licensing guarantees may not translate into sustained free cash flow [#SEC-8K-2026-08-10].
- • One quarter does not establish durable cash generation.
Catalyst clock
2026-12-31
Share-repurchase execution
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
91
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
42
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
57
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 90.9 / Value 41.7 / Sentiment 57.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-28. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$1.12
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$0.62
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$130.59M
Beta
2.68
Shares Out
119.81M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-8.6
P/S (TTM)
1.14
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
113.54
Rev YoY
+10.9%
EPS YoY
-102.1%
Gross Margin
+72.7%
Op Margin
+4.8%
Net Debt
$158.44M
Current Ratio
0.79
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data