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PH

Parker-HannifinC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Primary-source evidence improved after earnings: PH delivered a beat-and-raise quarter with record cash flow, positive orders across all reported businesses, and record backlog, which supports a constructive medium-term monitoring view despite the weak immediate tape. The packet's median target of about $1,050.55 implies upside versus the $882.23 anchor, but analyst target count and post-print revision detail are unavailable in the packet.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Diversified Industrial margins were softer year over year in both North America and International on a GAAP basis, and Latin America organic sales were down 7.5% in Q3, indicating not all end markets are equally strong [#10-Q-2026-05-01].
Momentum
72
Value
52
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $945.00 · Bull $1,035.00 · Bear $780.00Analysis 2026-05-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $1,182.82
Why
Momentum72 · Δ7d -8.3
Value52 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment61 · Δ7d +5.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Diversified Industrial margins were softer year over year in both North America and International on a GAAP basis, and Latin America organic sales were down 7.5% in Q3, indicating not all end markets are equally strong [#10-Q-2026-05-01].
  • • Post-earnings price action was negative despite the beat, with shares dropping from $947.50 on 2026-04-29 to $909.42 on 2026-04-30 and $882.23 on 2026-05-01, signaling fragile near-term sentiment.
  • • The T+3 market verdict is still mixed: shares fell sharply after the print even though adjusted results were strong, suggesting valuation, sell-the-news behavior, or concern that the guidance lift was not large enough versus expectations.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-15

Q3 earnings digestion after beat-and-raise but weak tape reaction

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
72
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.3
Δ21d
+2.1
Value
52
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.7
Sentiment
61
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.4
Δ21d
+12.4
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 71.9 / Value 51.5 / Sentiment 61.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$1,035.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$945.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$780.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$132.86B
Beta
1.25
Shares Out
126.09M
P/E (TTM)
32.3
P/S (TTM)
5.71
P/FCF (TTM)
45.66
Rev YoY
+9.8%
EPS YoY
+19.3%
Gross Margin
+37.9%
Op Margin
+21.9%
Net Debt
$8.23B
Current Ratio
1.26
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data