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PagayaA
Nasdaq / Software & Services
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2026-08-20
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Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-20

Pagaya (PGY) Stock May Be Undervalued As Earnings Support The Case

Simply Wall St.
Track your investments for FREE with Simply Wall St, the portfolio command center trusted by over 7 million individual investors worldwide. Pagaya Technologies stock has had a difficult five year run, with long term shareholders facing a large decline, yet current valuation checks still suggest the shares screen as cheap on several metrics. Over the past five years, Pagaya Technologies has declined about 82%, which means long term holders have absorbed a steep capital loss that colors how attractive any current valuation signal may look. The key upside driver now is whether Pagaya Technologies can translate its business model into more consistent cash generation. The main risk is that any ongoing execution issues or funding needs limit how much value shareholders can reasonably expect to recoup. The broader checks lean cheap, with Pagaya Technologies screening as undervalued on 5 of 6 valuation measures, giving it a high value score of 5. The issue now is whether that high value score is pointing to a genuine opportunity in Pagaya Technologies or simply reflecting the damage already done to long term returns. Find out why Pagaya Technologies' -32.4% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers. The P/E ratio is a useful starting point for Pagaya Technologies because it is now producing earnings that give you a clearer anchor for the share price. Pagaya Technologies currently trades on a P/E of 13.9x. This sits well below the Software industry average of 31.4x and also below a peer group average of 38.9x. In addition, the modelled fair P/E for Pagaya Technologies, which blends its growth profile, margins, size and risk, is 43.8x. That is a large gap to where the stock is currently priced. Such a wide spread between the present P/E and both the industry norms and the fair ratio indicates the market is applying a heavy discount to Pagaya Technologies despite its positive earnings base. On the P/E multiple alone, Pagaya Technologies stock appears inexpensive compared with both its peers and the fair ratio implied by its fundamentals. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. Simply Wall St Narratives for Pagaya Technologies sit on the Community page and pick up where this valuation puzzle leaves off by spelling out what growth, margin and earnings paths would need to hold for the stock to be worth materially more o…Read full document

Track your investments for FREE with Simply Wall St, the portfolio command center trusted by over 7 million individual investors worldwide. Pagaya Technologies stock has had a difficult five year run, with long term shareholders facing a large decline, yet current valuation checks still suggest the shares screen as cheap on several metrics. Over the past five years, Pagaya Technologies has declined about 82%, which means long term holders have absorbed a steep capital loss that colors how attractive any current valuation signal may look. The key upside driver now is whether Pagaya Technologies can translate its business model into more consistent cash generation. The main risk is that any ongoing execution issues or funding needs limit how much value shareholders can reasonably expect to recoup. The broader checks lean cheap, with Pagaya Technologies screening as undervalued on 5 of 6 valuation measures, giving it a high value score of 5. The issue now is whether that high value score is pointing to a genuine opportunity in Pagaya Technologies or simply reflecting the damage already done to long term returns. Find out why Pagaya Technologies' -32.4% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers. The P/E ratio is a useful starting point for Pagaya Technologies because it is now producing earnings that give you a clearer anchor for the share price. Pagaya Technologies currently trades on a P/E of 13.9x. This sits well below the Software industry average of 31.4x and also below a peer group average of 38.9x. In addition, the modelled fair P/E for Pagaya Technologies, which blends its growth profile, margins, size and risk, is 43.8x. That is a large gap to where the stock is currently priced. Such a wide spread between the present P/E and both the industry norms and the fair ratio indicates the market is applying a heavy discount to Pagaya Technologies despite its positive earnings base. On the P/E multiple alone, Pagaya Technologies stock appears inexpensive compared with both its peers and the fair ratio implied by its fundamentals. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. Simply Wall St Narratives for Pagaya Technologies sit on the Community page and pick up where this valuation puzzle leaves off by spelling out what growth, margin and earnings paths would need to hold for the stock to be worth materially more or less than today’s price. Each scenario links Pagaya Technologies' potential catalysts and risks to a specific fair value estimate so you can later compare which story aligns most closely with what actually happens. Community views on Pagaya Technologies are sharply split, with one side seeing a discounted AI infrastructure play and the other flagging valuation and structural risks. Bull case: 68% undervalued Read the full Bull Case to see why Pagaya Technologies could be undervalued Bear case: 71% overvalued Read the full Bear Case to see why Pagaya Technologies could be overvalued Do you think there's more to the story for Pagaya Technologies? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! Pagaya Technologies screens as undervalued on market multiples, with a P/E that sits well below both sector and peer averages and a fair ratio that is materially higher than where the stock trades today. That discount only matters if Pagaya Technologies can keep turning its model into reliable earnings and cash generation instead of requiring repeated funding support. The key question for you is whether the current gap to peer valuations reflects an overly cautious market or a rational price for execution and credit cycle risks that remain front and centre in the bull versus bear debate. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Companies discussed in this article include PGY. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email [email protected]

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-11

Pagaya's Q2 Earnings Beat and Higher Guidance Strengthen Growth Case

Zacks
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. PGY delivered a stronger-than-expected second quarter. Record network volume, revenues and GAAP net income, together with higher full-year guidance, raise the bar for the company’s 2026 performance.The key event-driven question is whether Pagaya can sustain the operating leverage behind the latest results while managing funding-cost and credit risks. Pagaya reported adjusted earnings of $1.07 per share in the second quarter, comfortably above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 71 cents. GAAP net income attributable to Pagaya reached a record $45.3 million, up from $16.7 million a year earlier.The beat was not isolated. PGY topped earnings expectations in each of the trailing four quarters, with an average positive surprise of 43.5%. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Total revenue and other income reached a record $387 million, up 18.6% year over year, and exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $358.2 million. The company also reported record adjusted EBITDA of $124 million, up 43% year over year.Network volume reached a record $3.54 billion, increasing 33.5% year over year. Growth was driven by the auto vertical while Pagaya maintained its focus on prudent underwriting. Revenue from fees less production costs, or FRLPC, reached a record $146.9 million, up 16.4% year over year.The figures show that Pagaya is scaling across its lending network, with auto providing a major source of incremental volume while personal loans and point-of-sale financing remain part of the broader product strategy. The company’s investor presentation also highlighted 33% year-over-year total network-volume growth and 140% auto network-volume growth in the second quarter.Supported by robust performance and strength in fundamentals, the company’s shares have gained 3.3% year to date, outperforming the industry’s 9.4% decline. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Pagaya raised a record $3.7 billion of ABS funding across six transactions in the second quarter and added 11 investors. The final three transactions were upsized, and the company also added an Auto Forward Flow agreement. The funding activity points to continued demand for assets across the platform.A broader funding base can support network-volume growth by giving Pagaya more flexibility across ABS, forward-flow and revolving structures. The company has also been expanding the number of insti…Read full document

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. PGY delivered a stronger-than-expected second quarter. Record network volume, revenues and GAAP net income, together with higher full-year guidance, raise the bar for the company’s 2026 performance.The key event-driven question is whether Pagaya can sustain the operating leverage behind the latest results while managing funding-cost and credit risks. Pagaya reported adjusted earnings of $1.07 per share in the second quarter, comfortably above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 71 cents. GAAP net income attributable to Pagaya reached a record $45.3 million, up from $16.7 million a year earlier.The beat was not isolated. PGY topped earnings expectations in each of the trailing four quarters, with an average positive surprise of 43.5%. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Total revenue and other income reached a record $387 million, up 18.6% year over year, and exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $358.2 million. The company also reported record adjusted EBITDA of $124 million, up 43% year over year.Network volume reached a record $3.54 billion, increasing 33.5% year over year. Growth was driven by the auto vertical while Pagaya maintained its focus on prudent underwriting. Revenue from fees less production costs, or FRLPC, reached a record $146.9 million, up 16.4% year over year.The figures show that Pagaya is scaling across its lending network, with auto providing a major source of incremental volume while personal loans and point-of-sale financing remain part of the broader product strategy. The company’s investor presentation also highlighted 33% year-over-year total network-volume growth and 140% auto network-volume growth in the second quarter.Supported by robust performance and strength in fundamentals, the company’s shares have gained 3.3% year to date, outperforming the industry’s 9.4% decline. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Pagaya raised a record $3.7 billion of ABS funding across six transactions in the second quarter and added 11 investors. The final three transactions were upsized, and the company also added an Auto Forward Flow agreement. The funding activity points to continued demand for assets across the platform.A broader funding base can support network-volume growth by giving Pagaya more flexibility across ABS, forward-flow and revolving structures. The company has also been expanding the number of institutional funding partners and diversifying funding channels. That matters because the ability to fund growing network volume is a key part of converting partner and product expansion into revenue.PGY’s 40% of funding comes through non-prefunded ABS products, alongside forward-flow and revolving structures. Amongst PGY’s key peers, Affirm Holdings, Inc. AFRM uses technology, proprietary underwriting and third-party capital to support its pay-over-time platform, while Enova International, Inc. ENVA operates an online lending platform powered by analytics and machine learning. Both AFRM and ENVA provide context for technology-driven consumer finance. Management now expects full-year 2026 network volume of $12.5-$13.25 billion, compared with the previous $11.45-$13 billion range. Total revenue and other income is projected at $1.425-$1.525 billion, versus the prior $1.4-$1.575 billion outlook.The company also raised its full-year GAAP net income guidance to $155-$180 million from $110-$160 million and its adjusted EBITDA outlook to $460-$490 million from $420-$460 million. The higher targets reflect greater confidence in volume growth and operating leverage, but they also increase the importance of successful partner ramps and continued expense discipline.The near-term outlook reinforces that higher expectations are not limited to the second quarter. Management expects third-quarter network volume of $3.425-$3.625 billion, revenue and other income of $370-$390 million, adjusted EBITDA of $120-$130 million and GAAP net income of $42-$52 million.Supported by management’s higher guidance for key metrics, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the company’s 2026 and 2027 earnings increased by 15.2% and 11%, respectively over the past 30 days. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research PGY currently carries a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.Its Zacks Style Scores are a Value Score of B, Growth Score of A, Momentum Score of B and VGM Score of A. The Growth Score supports the company’s improving earnings profile, while the Value and Momentum Scores provide additional context for the stock’s setup.The Zacks Style Scores are designed to complement the Zacks Rank by evaluating value, growth and momentum characteristics. The Style Score Education material notes that the individual scores measure different investment styles, while the VGM Score combines the weighted average of the three styles. For PGY, those signals support the stronger earnings setup, but they do not remove the execution risks associated with funding costs, credit performance and FRLPC pressure.The key event-driven takeaway is therefore mixed but constructive. The second-quarter beat and higher guidance provide stronger evidence that Pagaya’s growth and operating-leverage strategy is working. Sustaining that trajectory will depend on continued network-volume expansion, funding availability and disciplined execution as the company moves toward its higher 2026 targets. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) : Free Stock Analysis Report Enova International, Inc. (ENVA) : Free Stock Analysis Report Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-10

Earnings Estimates Rising for Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY): Will It Gain?

Zacks
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) appears an attractive pick given a noticeable improvement in the company's earnings outlook. The stock has been a strong performer lately, and the momentum might continue with analysts still raising their earnings estimates for the company. The upward trend in estimate revisions for this company reflects growing optimism of analysts on its earnings prospects, which should get reflected in its stock price. After all, empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements. Our stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- is principally built on this insight. The five-grade Zacks Rank system, which ranges from a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive externally-audited track record of outperformance, with Zacks #1 Ranked stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 2008. Consensus earnings estimates for the next quarter and full year have moved considerably higher for Pagaya Technologies Ltd., as there has been strong agreement among the covering analysts in raising estimates. The chart below shows the evolution of forward 12-month Zacks Consensus EPS estimate: The company is expected to earn $0.97 per share for the current quarter, which represents a year-over-year change of -4.9%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Pagaya Technologies Ltd. has increased 11.25% over the last 30 days, as one estimate has gone higher compared to no negative revisions. For the full year, the earnings estimate of $3.72 per share represents a change of +12.4% from the year-ago number. In terms of estimate revisions, the trend for the current year also appears quite encouraging for Pagaya Technologies Ltd.. Over the past month, one estimate has moved higher compared to no negative revisions, helping the consensus estimate increase 16.44%. The promising estimate revisions have helped Pagaya Technologies Ltd. earn a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). The Zacks Rank is a tried-and-tested rating tool that helps investors effectively harness the power of earnings estimate revisions and make the right investment decision.You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. Our research shows that stocks with Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and 2 (Buy) significantly outperform the S&P 500. Investors have been betting on Pagaya T…Read full document

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) appears an attractive pick given a noticeable improvement in the company's earnings outlook. The stock has been a strong performer lately, and the momentum might continue with analysts still raising their earnings estimates for the company. The upward trend in estimate revisions for this company reflects growing optimism of analysts on its earnings prospects, which should get reflected in its stock price. After all, empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements. Our stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- is principally built on this insight. The five-grade Zacks Rank system, which ranges from a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive externally-audited track record of outperformance, with Zacks #1 Ranked stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 2008. Consensus earnings estimates for the next quarter and full year have moved considerably higher for Pagaya Technologies Ltd., as there has been strong agreement among the covering analysts in raising estimates. The chart below shows the evolution of forward 12-month Zacks Consensus EPS estimate: The company is expected to earn $0.97 per share for the current quarter, which represents a year-over-year change of -4.9%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Pagaya Technologies Ltd. has increased 11.25% over the last 30 days, as one estimate has gone higher compared to no negative revisions. For the full year, the earnings estimate of $3.72 per share represents a change of +12.4% from the year-ago number. In terms of estimate revisions, the trend for the current year also appears quite encouraging for Pagaya Technologies Ltd.. Over the past month, one estimate has moved higher compared to no negative revisions, helping the consensus estimate increase 16.44%. The promising estimate revisions have helped Pagaya Technologies Ltd. earn a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). The Zacks Rank is a tried-and-tested rating tool that helps investors effectively harness the power of earnings estimate revisions and make the right investment decision.You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. Our research shows that stocks with Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and 2 (Buy) significantly outperform the S&P 500. Investors have been betting on Pagaya Technologies Ltd. because of its solid estimate revisions, as evident from the stock's 18.3% gain over the past four weeks. As its earnings growth prospects might push the stock higher, you may consider adding it to your portfolio right away. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-07

PGY Q2 Earnings Call Highlights Auto Growth & Higher Outlook

Zacks
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. PGY used its second-quarter 2026 earnings call to emphasize accelerating partner-led growth, especially in auto, while maintaining its underwriting posture. Management also raised its full-year GAAP net income guidance after record network volume and profitability. Non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.07 beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.71. Total revenues of $387 million surpassed the consensus estimate of $358.2 million. Pagaya Technologies Ltd. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Pagaya Technologies Ltd. Quote CEO Gal Krubiner said that Pagaya’s growth reflected its partner-focused strategy, with network volume reaching a record $3.5 billion, up 33% year over year. Auto accounted for more than three-quarters of the year-over-year increase. President Sanjiv Das said that dynamic offer optimization allows partners to adjust loan amount, APR, down payment and term in real time, helping lenders make more competitive offers at the dealer desk. A Jefferies analyst asked why auto was accelerating. President Sanjiv Das cited product optimization, closer alignment with market terms and access to application flow that partners previously kept for themselves. Das said that Pagaya is onboarding about seven partners across personal loans, auto and point of sale, with regional banks gaining importance in the personal-loan pipeline. Das added that the Affiliate Optimizer product generated more than $1 billion in personal-loan network volume in the second quarter. Pagaya also expects additional personal-loan partners to join Experian Activate and several new partners to go live in the second half. Krubiner said that the embedded platform is designed to scale products across existing partners with limited incremental investment, allowing new product capabilities to be replicated throughout the network. CFO Jonathan Dobres said that Pagaya raised its full-year GAAP net income guidance by about 25% at the mid-point. The new guidance is $155-$180 million. For the third quarter, CFO Jonathan Dobres guided network volume of $3.43-$3.63 billion, total revenues and other income to $370-$390 million, adjusted EBITDA to $120-$130 million, and GAAP net income to $42-$52 million. For 2026, management expects network volume of $12.5-$13.25 billion, revenues of $1.43-$1.53 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $460-$490 million. A Stephens analyst asked whether f…Read full document

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. PGY used its second-quarter 2026 earnings call to emphasize accelerating partner-led growth, especially in auto, while maintaining its underwriting posture. Management also raised its full-year GAAP net income guidance after record network volume and profitability. Non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.07 beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.71. Total revenues of $387 million surpassed the consensus estimate of $358.2 million. Pagaya Technologies Ltd. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Pagaya Technologies Ltd. Quote CEO Gal Krubiner said that Pagaya’s growth reflected its partner-focused strategy, with network volume reaching a record $3.5 billion, up 33% year over year. Auto accounted for more than three-quarters of the year-over-year increase. President Sanjiv Das said that dynamic offer optimization allows partners to adjust loan amount, APR, down payment and term in real time, helping lenders make more competitive offers at the dealer desk. A Jefferies analyst asked why auto was accelerating. President Sanjiv Das cited product optimization, closer alignment with market terms and access to application flow that partners previously kept for themselves. Das said that Pagaya is onboarding about seven partners across personal loans, auto and point of sale, with regional banks gaining importance in the personal-loan pipeline. Das added that the Affiliate Optimizer product generated more than $1 billion in personal-loan network volume in the second quarter. Pagaya also expects additional personal-loan partners to join Experian Activate and several new partners to go live in the second half. Krubiner said that the embedded platform is designed to scale products across existing partners with limited incremental investment, allowing new product capabilities to be replicated throughout the network. CFO Jonathan Dobres said that Pagaya raised its full-year GAAP net income guidance by about 25% at the mid-point. The new guidance is $155-$180 million. For the third quarter, CFO Jonathan Dobres guided network volume of $3.43-$3.63 billion, total revenues and other income to $370-$390 million, adjusted EBITDA to $120-$130 million, and GAAP net income to $42-$52 million. For 2026, management expects network volume of $12.5-$13.25 billion, revenues of $1.43-$1.53 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $460-$490 million. A Stephens analyst asked whether faster growth reflected looser underwriting. CEO Krubiner said that the company’s underwriting posture has not changed and attributed growth primarily to new products and deeper partner integration. President Das said that more than 45% of application flow now comes from non-decline channels as Pagaya moves further up partners’ lending funnels. Das said that the average personal-loan borrower has about $120,000 of income, a 680 FICO score and a 28% debt-to-income ratio. CFO Jonathan Dobres added that 2025 and 2026 vintages are performing in line with underwriting expectations. Das said that Pagaya completed a record $3.7 billion in ABS funding across six transactions, while its last three securitizations were upsized amid investor demand. CFO Jonathan Dobres said that about 40% of flow now comes from non-prefunded ABS products. The funding mix includes forward flow, committed revolving structures and traditional prefunded ABS. A Canaccord Genuity analyst asked about forward-flow conditions. CFO Jonathan Dobres said that funding channels are more diversified and committed than before, with forward flow remaining one part of a broader funding strategy. Krubiner kept the strategic focus on extending more products across more partners while preserving operating leverage. Core operating expenses declined 6% year over year even as network volume expanded. Dobres informed that core operating expenses are already sized for significant growth. Management’s posture coming out of the second quarter centers on scaling the existing platform, maintaining credit discipline and broadening committed funding sources. PGY currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), with Value and Growth Scores of A, a Momentum Score of D and a VGM Score of A. The profile combines strong value and growth characteristics with weaker momentum. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. Under the Zacks framework, A and B Style Scores are more favorable, while the strongest combinations generally pair those grades with a Zacks Rank #1 or #2 (Buy). PGY’s Zacks Rank can change as earnings estimates are revised after the just-reported results. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-03

Pagaya Delivers Stellar 1H 2026 Results: Here's What Drove it

Zacks
Pagaya Technologies PGY delivered a strong first half of 2026, driven by record lending activity, robust revenue growth and expanding profitability. In the six months ended June 30, 2026, network volume surged 22% year over year to a record $6.2 billion, while total revenues jumped 14.4% to $705 million.In the second quarter alone, adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.07, rising 67.2% from the year-ago quarter. In the six months ended June 30, 2026, the company generated GAAP net income of $70 million and adjusted EBITDA of $217.7 million, reflecting improving operating leverage.PGY’s robust performance was primarily fueled by sustained growth across its AI-powered lending network. The company continued to deepen relationships with existing lending partners while onboarding new ones, resulting in higher loan originations across auto lending, point-of-sale (POS) financing and personal loans.Another key contributor has been the company’s diversified funding platform. Pagaya completed multiple oversubscribed asset-backed securities (ABS) transactions during the first half, including its first RPM resecuritization and first AAA-rated PAID resecuritization, while issuing more than $2 billion of ABS in the first quarter alone. The continued ability to access institutional capital at scale enabled the company to fund record loan volumes while demonstrating investor confidence in the quality of its underlying assets.Management’s confidence in the business outlook was reflected in its raised full-year guidance following the first quarter and continued optimism after the second quarter. Following its impressive second-quarter results, management expects full-year GAAP net income of $155-180 million and adjusted EBITDA of $460-$490 million. With a growing pipeline of lending partners, increasing network adoption, disciplined underwriting and a highly scalable operating model, Pagaya expects to maintain profitable growth through the remainder of 2026. Let us see how PGY’s two key peers, LendingTree TREE and Upstart Holdings, Inc. UPST, performed this year.LendingTree’s first-half 2026 net income per share of $1.90 compared favorably with a loss of 26 cents in the prior-year period. The company reported total revenues of $640.7 million in the first six months of this year, up 30.8% year over year, driven by continued solid performance of the Insurance segment. Total…Read full document

Pagaya Technologies PGY delivered a strong first half of 2026, driven by record lending activity, robust revenue growth and expanding profitability. In the six months ended June 30, 2026, network volume surged 22% year over year to a record $6.2 billion, while total revenues jumped 14.4% to $705 million.In the second quarter alone, adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.07, rising 67.2% from the year-ago quarter. In the six months ended June 30, 2026, the company generated GAAP net income of $70 million and adjusted EBITDA of $217.7 million, reflecting improving operating leverage.PGY’s robust performance was primarily fueled by sustained growth across its AI-powered lending network. The company continued to deepen relationships with existing lending partners while onboarding new ones, resulting in higher loan originations across auto lending, point-of-sale (POS) financing and personal loans.Another key contributor has been the company’s diversified funding platform. Pagaya completed multiple oversubscribed asset-backed securities (ABS) transactions during the first half, including its first RPM resecuritization and first AAA-rated PAID resecuritization, while issuing more than $2 billion of ABS in the first quarter alone. The continued ability to access institutional capital at scale enabled the company to fund record loan volumes while demonstrating investor confidence in the quality of its underlying assets.Management’s confidence in the business outlook was reflected in its raised full-year guidance following the first quarter and continued optimism after the second quarter. Following its impressive second-quarter results, management expects full-year GAAP net income of $155-180 million and adjusted EBITDA of $460-$490 million. With a growing pipeline of lending partners, increasing network adoption, disciplined underwriting and a highly scalable operating model, Pagaya expects to maintain profitable growth through the remainder of 2026. Let us see how PGY’s two key peers, LendingTree TREE and Upstart Holdings, Inc. UPST, performed this year.LendingTree’s first-half 2026 net income per share of $1.90 compared favorably with a loss of 26 cents in the prior-year period. The company reported total revenues of $640.7 million in the first six months of this year, up 30.8% year over year, driven by continued solid performance of the Insurance segment. Total costs increased 23.5% year over year to $587.8 million.Now, LendingTree expects 2026 revenues of $1.30-$1.32 billion and variable marketing margin of $364-$374 million. TREE expects adjusted EBITDA of $145-$152 million in 2026.Upstart is scheduled to report second-quarter 2026 results on Aug. 4. In the first quarter of this year, UPST reported revenues of $308 million, up 44% year over year. Revenues from fees were $277 million, up 49% year over year, with platform/referral fees of $224.6 million and servicing/other fees of $52.4 million.In the first quarter, core personal loans held up against typical seasonality, while secured products scaled rapidly. Auto originations rose more than 300% year over year and grew sequentially on dealer network expansion and product improvements. However, Upstart’s GAAP net loss widened to $6.6 million from a net loss of $2.4 million in the year-ago period. Pagaya’s shares have gained 4% in the past six months compared with the industry’s 6% decline. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research The PGY stock is currently trading at a 12-month forward price-to-sales (P/S) of 1.01X, which is below the industry average of 2.78X. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Over the past 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for PGY’s 2026 and 2027 earnings has been unchanged at $3.23 and $3.72, respectively. The consensus estimate indicates a 2.4% decline for 2026 and 15.2% growth for 2027. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Currently, Pagaya carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) : Free Stock Analysis Report LendingTree, Inc. (TREE) : Free Stock Analysis Report Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-03

Pagaya (PGY) Stock Looks Undervalued Relative To Its Earnings Power

Simply Wall St.
Track your investments for FREE with Simply Wall St, the portfolio command center trusted by over 7 million individual investors worldwide. Pagaya Technologies stock is coming off a long period of weak returns, with the share price down 83.4% over the past 5 years. However, the latest valuation checks suggest the market may now be pricing it too low relative to its fundamentals. Pagaya Technologies has declined 83.4% over 5 years, which means long term holders have seen significant value erode and may now be focused on whether the current price better reflects the company’s fundamentals. The recent upsized US$900 million AAA rated personal loan ABS transaction can support confidence in Pagaya Technologies’ funding access. The business still faces the risk that any shift in investor demand for its loan structures could weigh on how the market values its earnings stream. On Simply Wall St’s broader checks, Pagaya Technologies screens as undervalued in 5 of 6 areas, which points to the stock looking cheap on several common valuation measures rather than expensive. The issue now is whether that apparent undervaluation offers enough compensation for the company’s track record of weak long term returns. Find out why Pagaya Technologies' -33.8% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers. The P/E ratio is a useful check for Pagaya Technologies because it ties the current share price directly to the earnings the business is already generating. Pagaya Technologies currently trades on a P/E of about 13.0x, which is less than half the wider software industry average of 29.0x and also sits below the peer group average of about 30.0x. On Simply Wall St’s fair multiple framework, which looks at factors such as growth, margins, size and risk, Pagaya Technologies screens on a fair P/E of about 44.6x. That is much higher than the present 13.0x, so the shares appear to trade on a material discount to what this model suggests might be warranted. Despite the recent US$900 million AAA rated personal loan ABS deal signalling strong funding access, the earnings multiple still prices Pagaya Technologies below both its sector and this tailored fair value marker. Overall, Pagaya Technologies stock appears undervalued on the current P/E multiple compared with both industry norms and the modelled fair ratio. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuatio…Read full document

Track your investments for FREE with Simply Wall St, the portfolio command center trusted by over 7 million individual investors worldwide. Pagaya Technologies stock is coming off a long period of weak returns, with the share price down 83.4% over the past 5 years. However, the latest valuation checks suggest the market may now be pricing it too low relative to its fundamentals. Pagaya Technologies has declined 83.4% over 5 years, which means long term holders have seen significant value erode and may now be focused on whether the current price better reflects the company’s fundamentals. The recent upsized US$900 million AAA rated personal loan ABS transaction can support confidence in Pagaya Technologies’ funding access. The business still faces the risk that any shift in investor demand for its loan structures could weigh on how the market values its earnings stream. On Simply Wall St’s broader checks, Pagaya Technologies screens as undervalued in 5 of 6 areas, which points to the stock looking cheap on several common valuation measures rather than expensive. The issue now is whether that apparent undervaluation offers enough compensation for the company’s track record of weak long term returns. Find out why Pagaya Technologies' -33.8% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers. The P/E ratio is a useful check for Pagaya Technologies because it ties the current share price directly to the earnings the business is already generating. Pagaya Technologies currently trades on a P/E of about 13.0x, which is less than half the wider software industry average of 29.0x and also sits below the peer group average of about 30.0x. On Simply Wall St’s fair multiple framework, which looks at factors such as growth, margins, size and risk, Pagaya Technologies screens on a fair P/E of about 44.6x. That is much higher than the present 13.0x, so the shares appear to trade on a material discount to what this model suggests might be warranted. Despite the recent US$900 million AAA rated personal loan ABS deal signalling strong funding access, the earnings multiple still prices Pagaya Technologies below both its sector and this tailored fair value marker. Overall, Pagaya Technologies stock appears undervalued on the current P/E multiple compared with both industry norms and the modelled fair ratio. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. Simply Wall St Narratives pick up where this Pagaya Technologies valuation puzzle leaves off and spell out what kind of future growth, margins and earnings would need to occur for the stock to be worth materially more or less than today’s price. Rather than relying on a single multiple or model output, each Narrative lays out the assumptions behind its view of fair value so you can compare those expectations with Pagaya Technologies' actual results over time. Pagaya Technologies attracts sharply different views, with some investors focusing on operating leverage while others worry about how the model holds up through a tougher credit cycle. Bull case: 70% undervalued Read the full Bull Case to see why Pagaya Technologies could be undervalued Bear case: 61% overvalued Read the full Bear Case to see why Pagaya Technologies could be overvalued Do you think there's more to the story for Pagaya Technologies? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! Pagaya Technologies currently screens as undervalued on common market multiples, with its P/E well below both peer and modelled fair value levels. That discount reflects investor concern about the company’s weaker long term return record and the durability of its funding and credit performance. For you as a shareholder or potential investor, the key question is whether Pagaya Technologies can maintain earnings quality and credit outcomes well enough for the market to re-rate the stock, or whether the current discount is an accurate reflection of ongoing risk. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Companies discussed in this article include PGY. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email [email protected]

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-03

PGY Gains as Q2 Earnings Beat on Record Revenues, 2026 View Raised

Zacks
Shares of Pagaya Technologies PGY have gained almost 19% since the release of its second-quarter 2026 results on July 30. Quarterly adjusted earnings per share of $1.07 comfortably surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 71 cents. The bottom line improved 67.2% from the prior-year quarter.Results were aided by record performance across key metrics. The company recorded an improvement in total revenues, which, along with growth in network volumes, primarily supported the results. An increase in expenses hurt the results to some extent.Net income attributable to Pagaya (GAAP basis) was a record $45.3 million, up significantly from $16.7 million in the prior-year quarter. Total revenues and other income were a record $387 million, up 18.6% year over year. The increase was driven by a rise in interest income and revenues from fees. A decline in net investment loss also supported the rise. The top line surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $358.2 million.Total costs and operating expenses increased 4.2% year over year to $281.2 million. The rise was due to higher production costs.In the second quarter, network volume was a record $3.54 billion, which grew 33.5% year over year, driven by growth in the company’s auto vertical, while maintaining focus on prudent underwriting.Revenue from fees less production costs (FRLPC) was a record $146.9 million, which increased 16.4% year over year.FRLPC as a percentage of network volume contracted by 60 basis points (bps) year over year to 4.2%, driven by asset class mix, new partner and product contributions, and tighter pricing on the asset-backed securities (ABS) transactions reflecting higher cost of capital in light of market conditions. As of June 30, 2026, total assets were $1.69 billion, up 9.5% from Dec. 31, 2025.Long-term debt was $471.9 million and shareholders’ equity was $594.2 million.In the second quarter, the company raised a record $3.7 billion in ABS funding across six transactions. Management expects network volume of $3.425-$3.625 billion.Total revenues are expected between $370 million and $390 million.The adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $120-$130 million and GAAP net income is anticipated to be $42-$52 million. The company raised its 2026 outlook.Network volume of $12.5-$13.25 billion is expected, changed from the previously mentioned $11.45-$13 billion.Total revenues are projected to be $1.425-$1…Read full document

Shares of Pagaya Technologies PGY have gained almost 19% since the release of its second-quarter 2026 results on July 30. Quarterly adjusted earnings per share of $1.07 comfortably surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 71 cents. The bottom line improved 67.2% from the prior-year quarter.Results were aided by record performance across key metrics. The company recorded an improvement in total revenues, which, along with growth in network volumes, primarily supported the results. An increase in expenses hurt the results to some extent.Net income attributable to Pagaya (GAAP basis) was a record $45.3 million, up significantly from $16.7 million in the prior-year quarter. Total revenues and other income were a record $387 million, up 18.6% year over year. The increase was driven by a rise in interest income and revenues from fees. A decline in net investment loss also supported the rise. The top line surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $358.2 million.Total costs and operating expenses increased 4.2% year over year to $281.2 million. The rise was due to higher production costs.In the second quarter, network volume was a record $3.54 billion, which grew 33.5% year over year, driven by growth in the company’s auto vertical, while maintaining focus on prudent underwriting.Revenue from fees less production costs (FRLPC) was a record $146.9 million, which increased 16.4% year over year.FRLPC as a percentage of network volume contracted by 60 basis points (bps) year over year to 4.2%, driven by asset class mix, new partner and product contributions, and tighter pricing on the asset-backed securities (ABS) transactions reflecting higher cost of capital in light of market conditions. As of June 30, 2026, total assets were $1.69 billion, up 9.5% from Dec. 31, 2025.Long-term debt was $471.9 million and shareholders’ equity was $594.2 million.In the second quarter, the company raised a record $3.7 billion in ABS funding across six transactions. Management expects network volume of $3.425-$3.625 billion.Total revenues are expected between $370 million and $390 million.The adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $120-$130 million and GAAP net income is anticipated to be $42-$52 million. The company raised its 2026 outlook.Network volume of $12.5-$13.25 billion is expected, changed from the previously mentioned $11.45-$13 billion.Total revenues are projected to be $1.425-$1.525 billion, changed from the previous $1.4-$1.575 billion.Management raised its full-year net income guidance as well. It expects GAAP net income of $155-180 million, up from the previously mentioned $110-$160 million. Similarly, adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $460-$490 million, up from the previously stated $420-$460 million. Secular growth in embedded credit, rising efficiency, diversified funding sources and broader multi-product adoption will likely continue to drive Pagaya’s scalable and profitable expansion in the near term. However, uncertainty around the single-family rental strategy might limit the company’s near-term volumes. Pagaya Technologies Ltd. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Pagaya Technologies Ltd. Quote Currently, PGY carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. LendingTree, Inc. TREE reported second-quarter 2026 adjusted net income per share of $1.27, which missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.46. The figure compares favorably with $1.13 in the prior-year quarter.TREE’s results were affected by a decline in Consumer segment revenues and higher total costs. However, growth in revenues and adjusted EBITDA, along with strong Insurance segment performance, supported the results to some extent.Upstart Holdings, Inc. UPST is scheduled to report quarterly results on Aug. 4.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for UPST’s quarterly earnings has been unchanged at 58 cents over the past week. The figure indicates 61.1% growth from the prior-year quarter’s actual. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) : Free Stock Analysis Report LendingTree, Inc. (TREE) : Free Stock Analysis Report Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-30

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) Beats Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Zacks
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.07 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.71 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.64 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +50.70%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $0.48 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.73, delivering a surprise of +52.08%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times. Pagaya Technologies Ltd., which belongs to the Zacks Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, posted revenues of $387.04 million for the quarter ended June 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 8.07%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $326.4 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates two times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. Pagaya Technologies Ltd. shares have lost about 22.5% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 6.9%. While Pagaya Technologies Ltd. has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Pagaya Technologies Ltd. was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near…Read full document

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.07 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.71 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.64 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +50.70%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $0.48 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.73, delivering a surprise of +52.08%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times. Pagaya Technologies Ltd., which belongs to the Zacks Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, posted revenues of $387.04 million for the quarter ended June 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 8.07%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $326.4 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates two times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. Pagaya Technologies Ltd. shares have lost about 22.5% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 6.9%. While Pagaya Technologies Ltd. has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Pagaya Technologies Ltd. was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $0.88 on $397.85 million in revenues for the coming quarter and $3.23 on $1.48 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year. Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Financial - Miscellaneous Services is currently in the bottom 28% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1. One other stock from the same industry, Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT), is yet to report results for the quarter ended June 2026. The results are expected to be released on August 5. This company is expected to post quarterly loss of $0.39 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -168.4%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 13.7% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. Riot Platforms, Inc.'s revenues are expected to be $150.47 million, down 1.7% from the year-ago quarter. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) : Free Stock Analysis Report Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-30

Pagaya Technologies Q2 Adjusted Earnings, Revenue Rise; Narrows 2026 Revenue Outlook

MT Newswires

Pagaya Technologies (PGY) reported Q2 adjusted earnings Thursday of $1.07 per diluted share, up from

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-30

Pagaya Technologies Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat
Interested in Pagaya Technologies Ltd.? Here are five stocks we like better. Pagaya posted record second-quarter results: Network volume rose 33% year over year to $3.5 billion, while revenue increased 19% to $387 million and GAAP net income nearly tripled to $45 million. Adjusted EBITDA climbed 43% to $124 million, with a 32% margin. Auto lending was the primary growth driver, contributing more than three-quarters of year-over-year network-volume growth. The company also expanded its dynamically optimized dealership offers and continued growing personal-loan partnerships. Management raised its 2026 GAAP net income outlook to $155 million–$180 million and expects full-year network volume of $12.5 billion–$13.25 billion. Pagaya also raised $3.7 billion during the quarter and completed six securitizations, strengthening its funding capacity. This AI Lender Has Big Upside Potential—And Big Risks Pagaya Technologies (NASDAQ:PGY) reported record second-quarter results, with growth in auto lending and personal loans helping drive higher network volume, revenue, profitability and earnings per share. Management raised its full-year GAAP net income outlook by about 25% at the midpoint, citing visibility into the remainder of 2026 and continued operating leverage. Chief Executive Officer Gal Krubiner said every major component of the company’s business model reached a record during the quarter, including network volume, fee revenue less production costs, adjusted EBITDA and earnings per share. He said Pagaya’s costs remained largely flat as volume grew, contributing to bottom-line gains. → Why SK hynix Could Be the Best AI Chip Stock to Buy Now The Next Market Leaders? 5 Growth Stocks to Watch in 2026 Network volume increased 33% year over year to a record $3.5 billion, according to Chief Financial Officer Jon Dobres. Total revenue rose 19% to $387 million, while fee revenue less production costs, or FRLPC, increased 16% to $147 million. Pagaya reported GAAP operating income of $106 million, up 87% from a year earlier. Adjusted EBITDA rose 43% to $124 million, producing a 32% margin, up five percentage points year over year. GAAP net income was $45 million, compared with $16 million a year earlier, and quarterly GAAP earnings per share reached a record $0.49. → 3 Value ETFs to Consider as Growth Stocks Lag Behind 5 Small-Cap Stocks With Impressive Growth and Upside Po…Read full document

Interested in Pagaya Technologies Ltd.? Here are five stocks we like better. Pagaya posted record second-quarter results: Network volume rose 33% year over year to $3.5 billion, while revenue increased 19% to $387 million and GAAP net income nearly tripled to $45 million. Adjusted EBITDA climbed 43% to $124 million, with a 32% margin. Auto lending was the primary growth driver, contributing more than three-quarters of year-over-year network-volume growth. The company also expanded its dynamically optimized dealership offers and continued growing personal-loan partnerships. Management raised its 2026 GAAP net income outlook to $155 million–$180 million and expects full-year network volume of $12.5 billion–$13.25 billion. Pagaya also raised $3.7 billion during the quarter and completed six securitizations, strengthening its funding capacity. This AI Lender Has Big Upside Potential—And Big Risks Pagaya Technologies (NASDAQ:PGY) reported record second-quarter results, with growth in auto lending and personal loans helping drive higher network volume, revenue, profitability and earnings per share. Management raised its full-year GAAP net income outlook by about 25% at the midpoint, citing visibility into the remainder of 2026 and continued operating leverage. Chief Executive Officer Gal Krubiner said every major component of the company’s business model reached a record during the quarter, including network volume, fee revenue less production costs, adjusted EBITDA and earnings per share. He said Pagaya’s costs remained largely flat as volume grew, contributing to bottom-line gains. → Why SK hynix Could Be the Best AI Chip Stock to Buy Now The Next Market Leaders? 5 Growth Stocks to Watch in 2026 Network volume increased 33% year over year to a record $3.5 billion, according to Chief Financial Officer Jon Dobres. Total revenue rose 19% to $387 million, while fee revenue less production costs, or FRLPC, increased 16% to $147 million. Pagaya reported GAAP operating income of $106 million, up 87% from a year earlier. Adjusted EBITDA rose 43% to $124 million, producing a 32% margin, up five percentage points year over year. GAAP net income was $45 million, compared with $16 million a year earlier, and quarterly GAAP earnings per share reached a record $0.49. → 3 Value ETFs to Consider as Growth Stocks Lag Behind 5 Small-Cap Stocks With Impressive Growth and Upside Potential Dobres said core operating expenses declined 6% year over year and were lower sequentially, despite the increase in volume. Core operating expenses represented 31% of FRLPC, an eight-point improvement from the prior year. FRLPC as a percentage of network volume declined about 60 basis points sequentially to 4.2%. Dobres attributed the change to product and partner mix, as newer products and partners enter at lower initial margins, as well as elevated benchmark rates that pressure funding-related margins. Management expects FRLPC as a percentage of volume to be between 4% and 5% for the rest of 2026. → 5 AI Stocks Are Pulling Back—Which Growth Catalysts Still Look Strongest? President Sanjiv Das said auto lending accounted for more than three-quarters of Pagaya’s year-over-year network-volume growth. Application volume increased 29% from a year earlier, while application-to-volume conversion remained at roughly 1%. Das said the company’s auto product has been expanded to provide dynamically optimized offers at the dealership. Rather than offering a single loan structure, Pagaya can adjust variables such as down payment, annual percentage rate, loan-to-value ratio and loan term to offer borrowers multiple potential structures. Management said the approach is intended to help lending partners remain competitive at dealerships, where Das said approximately 83% of auto loans close. Pagaya said it is connected to more than 40% of the U.S. auto market. Krubiner said growth also resulted from access to additional loan flow from partners, including applications that may previously have remained with lenders. He described the strategy as product-led growth, in which a product developed for one partner can be deployed more broadly across the network. Personal loans also remained a major business line. Das said Pagaya’s Affiliate Optimizer Engine contributed more than $1 billion in network volume during the quarter. The company expects to add more personal-loan partners to Experian Activate this year and said it expects several new partners, including regional banks, to go live in the second half. Management said point-of-sale volume is expected to decline later in the year because one POS partner is rolling off. Dobres said that partner had little effect on FRLPC margins, and the company expects volume to ramp again as it scales newer POS relationships. Das cited existing relationships with Sezzle, Flex Pay and Upgrade, along with discussions around areas such as home-improvement loans and purchase financing. On the funding side, Pagaya raised $3.7 billion during the quarter and completed six asset-backed securitization transactions, including its largest auto securitization, totaling $600 million. The company added 11 investors, bringing its investor network to 174, and said its last three securitizations were upsized. Dobres said approximately 40% of current flow comes from funding channels other than pre-funded ABS transactions. The company continues to use forward-flow arrangements, longer-term revolving structures and other committed capital sources to diversify its funding. As of June 30, Pagaya held $249 million in unrestricted cash and cash equivalents and $1.04 billion in investments in loans and securities. About 50% of its investments were in bond tranches, compared with less than 30% in 2025, according to Dobres. The investment portfolio was adjusted downward by $42 million during the quarter, while the company added $118 million of new investments net of prior-deal paydowns. For the third quarter, Pagaya expects network volume of $3.425 billion to $3.625 billion, total revenue and other income of $370 million to $390 million, adjusted EBITDA of $120 million to $130 million, and GAAP net income of $42 million to $52 million. For the full year, the company now expects: Network volume of $12.5 billion to $13.25 billion; Total revenue of $1.425 billion to $1.525 billion; Adjusted EBITDA of $460 million to $490 million; and GAAP net income of $155 million to $180 million. Management said underwriting standards have not changed. Krubiner said Pagaya continues to monitor credit conditions and adjust pricing and risk selection as needed. Das said the company had previously reduced exposure to its highest-risk tiers and characterized the current borrower profile in personal loans as having average income of about $120,000, an average FICO score of roughly 680, 37% homeownership and an average debt-to-income ratio of approximately 28%. Dobres said Pagaya does not anticipate significant acquisitions in its near-term outlook, though the company continues to assess opportunities and views bond purchases as an attractive use of capital. Pagaya Technologies is a financial technology company that applies artificial intelligence and machine learning to the credit and asset management industries. Through its proprietary data-driven platform, Pagaya analyzes vast datasets from consumer credit portfolios to build predictive risk models, enabling institutional investors to gain access to alternative credit products. The company’s solutions streamline underwriting, optimize portfolio construction and facilitate the efficient securitization of consumer loans, credit card receivables and other asset classes. Founded in 2016 and headquartered in New York, Pagaya has expanded its operations to serve financial institutions and asset managers primarily in the United States. This instant news alert was generated by narrative science technology and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest reporting and unbiased coverage. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected]. The article "Pagaya Technologies Q2 Earnings Call Highlights" was originally published by MarketBeat. View MarketBeat's top stocks for July 2026.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-30

Pagaya Technologies Ltd (PGY) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue and EPS Amid ...

GuruFocus.com
This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Network Volume: Record $3.5 billion, a 33% increase year-over-year. Total Revenue: Record $387 million, up 19% year-over-year. Fee Revenue Less Production Costs (FRLPC): Record $147 million, up 16% year-over-year. FRLPC as a Percentage of Network Volume: 4.2%, contracting about 60 basis points sequentially. GAAP Operating Income: $106 million, up 87% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA: $124 million, up 43% year-over-year, with a margin of 32%. GAAP Net Income: $45 million, up $29 million year-over-year. GAAP Earnings Per Share (EPS): Record $0.49. Net Income Margin: 12%, compared to 5% last year. Core Operating Expenses: Decreased 6% year-over-year and were lower sequentially. Core Operating Expenses as a Percentage of FRLPC: Record low of 31%, an 8-point improvement versus last year. Unrestricted Cash and Cash Equivalents: $249 million as of June 30. Investments in Loans and Securities: $1.04 billion as of June 30. Funding Volume: Largest funding quarter ever at $3.7 billion. Investor Network: Grew by 11 to a total of 174 investors. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 6 Warning Signs with PGY. Is PGY fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: July 30, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Record network volume of $3.5 billion, up 33% year-over-year, driven by strong growth in auto and personal loans. Record GAAP EPS of $0.49 and GAAP net income of $45 million, up significantly from $29 million in the prior year. Core operating expenses remained flat year-over-year despite 33% volume growth, demonstrating strong operating leverage. Auto segment achieved record volume due to dynamic offer optimization and expanded partner flow, with significant growth potential remaining. Funding diversification strengthened with $3.7 billion raised in Q2, 174 investors, and upsized securitizations, including a record $600 million auto ABS. FRLPC as a percentage of network volume contracted 60 basis points sequentially to 4.2% due to product mix and elevated benchmark rates. Point-of-sale volume expected to decrease in late Q3 and Q4 due to the roll-off of a partner, though with minimal FRLPC impact. Elevated benchmark rates continue to compress margins from the funding side of the network. Investment portfolio fair value adjusted downward by…Read full document

This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Network Volume: Record $3.5 billion, a 33% increase year-over-year. Total Revenue: Record $387 million, up 19% year-over-year. Fee Revenue Less Production Costs (FRLPC): Record $147 million, up 16% year-over-year. FRLPC as a Percentage of Network Volume: 4.2%, contracting about 60 basis points sequentially. GAAP Operating Income: $106 million, up 87% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA: $124 million, up 43% year-over-year, with a margin of 32%. GAAP Net Income: $45 million, up $29 million year-over-year. GAAP Earnings Per Share (EPS): Record $0.49. Net Income Margin: 12%, compared to 5% last year. Core Operating Expenses: Decreased 6% year-over-year and were lower sequentially. Core Operating Expenses as a Percentage of FRLPC: Record low of 31%, an 8-point improvement versus last year. Unrestricted Cash and Cash Equivalents: $249 million as of June 30. Investments in Loans and Securities: $1.04 billion as of June 30. Funding Volume: Largest funding quarter ever at $3.7 billion. Investor Network: Grew by 11 to a total of 174 investors. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 6 Warning Signs with PGY. Is PGY fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: July 30, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Record network volume of $3.5 billion, up 33% year-over-year, driven by strong growth in auto and personal loans. Record GAAP EPS of $0.49 and GAAP net income of $45 million, up significantly from $29 million in the prior year. Core operating expenses remained flat year-over-year despite 33% volume growth, demonstrating strong operating leverage. Auto segment achieved record volume due to dynamic offer optimization and expanded partner flow, with significant growth potential remaining. Funding diversification strengthened with $3.7 billion raised in Q2, 174 investors, and upsized securitizations, including a record $600 million auto ABS. FRLPC as a percentage of network volume contracted 60 basis points sequentially to 4.2% due to product mix and elevated benchmark rates. Point-of-sale volume expected to decrease in late Q3 and Q4 due to the roll-off of a partner, though with minimal FRLPC impact. Elevated benchmark rates continue to compress margins from the funding side of the network. Investment portfolio fair value adjusted downward by $42 million in the quarter, reflecting ongoing market conditions. Conversion rate remained steady at roughly 1%, indicating that despite higher application volume, the rate of turning applications into loans did not improve. Here are the key highlights from Pagaya Technologies Ltd (NASDAQ:PGY)'s Q2 2026 earnings call, focusing on the most significant Q&A exchanges. Q: What drove the significant acceleration in auto loan volume this quarter? A: **Sanjiv Das, President**, explained that the growth was driven by a "dynamic offer optimization" product. This allows Pagaya to present multiple, win-worthy offers at the dealer desk by adjusting loan amount, rate, and terms in real-time. A key driver was gaining access to "counter flow"applications where a partner lender would have offered a reduced amount, which Pagaya can now fulfill with a better offer, unlocking new volume from existing partners. Q: How should we think about the product mix for 2027 given the strong momentum in auto? A: **Sanjiv Das, President**, stated that the mix is expected to remain roughly similar, with Personal Loans as the flagship, Auto showing significant growth, and POS continuing to diversify. He noted a shift in the pipeline, with increasing traction from regional banks for personal loans and growing interest from OEMs and enterprise-grade dealers in the auto space. Q: Is the negative $23 million impact from the capital markets line item a new run rate, and are you seeing changes in demand from asset managers? A: **Jonathan Dobres, Chief Strategy Officer**, clarified that this is not a run rate, but pressure from elevated benchmark rates will persist. He guided that the FRLPC margin will remain in the 4% to 5% range for the remainder of the year, reflecting the self-funded business model. Demand from asset managers remains strong, with the company upsizing its last three securitizations. Q: Has your underwriting posture changed given the re-acceleration in growth? A: **Gal Krubiner, CEO**, confirmed that the underwriting posture has not changed. The growth is driven by deploying new products to existing partners, not by loosening credit. **Sanjiv Das, President**, added that a major misconception is that Pagaya is a "decline-only" lender. He noted that over 45% of their flow now comes from non-decline sources like pre-screens and counters, and the average borrower profile has shifted to a healthier "Middle America" with an average income of $120,000 and a FICO of 680. Q: With core OpEx flat for 18 months, should we expect this to continue, or is there another step function in investment spending ahead? A: **Jonathan Dobres, Chief Strategy Officer**, stated that core OpEx is "rightsized today for significant growth" in the three major asset classes, so investors should not model much growth there. **Gal Krubiner, CEO**, added that the platform is repeatable and scalable, requiring minimal investment to handle double or triple the current volume and partner count. Q: Can you provide an update on the forward flow market and your overall funding strategy? A: **Jonathan Dobres, Chief Strategy Officer**, explained that funding channels are more diversified than ever, with about 40% of flow coming from non-prefunded ABS products. While forward flow remains an important tool, the company is also executing longer-term, one-to-two-year committed revolving structures with large asset managers and banks, creating a more stable and committed funding suite. Q: With all the operating leverage emerging, are there areas of marketing spend that could have attractive ROIs to put capital back to work? A: **Gal Krubiner, CEO**, stated that the platform does not require additional marketing investment to drive growth. He highlighted that the company is leveraging the "agentic revolution" to increase productivity, allowing them to do more with the same headcount rather than increasing spending. Q: How are you able to make more competitive offers at the dealer desk by understanding what other lenders are offering? A: **Sanjiv Das, President**, explained that through their lender partners, Pagaya now has access to the interaction between the dealer and the consumer. Instead of a static, one-dimensional offer, they can now provide multiple choices (e.g., different down payments, APRs) by leveraging that dealer feedback as an input into their underwriting decisioning process. Q: What are your current capital allocation priorities and thoughts on M&A? A: **Jonathan Dobres, Chief Strategy Officer**, stated that they are always calculating the best use of the net incremental dollar, noting that bond purchases for the balance sheet are an attractive use of capital. On M&A, he said there is nothing significant planned right now, and no M&A is anticipated in the near term. For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

TranscriptFY2026 Q22026-07-30

FY2026 Q2 earnings call transcript

Earnings source - 89 paragraphs
Operator

Greetings. Welcome to the Pagaya second quarter 2026 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. Please note this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to Craig Smyth, Head of Investor Relations at Pagaya Technologies. Thank you, Craig. You may begin.

Craig Smyth

Thank you. Welcome to Pagaya's second quarter 2026 earnings conference call. Joining me today to talk about our business and results are Gal Krubiner, Chief Executive Officer of Pagaya, Sanjiv Das, President, and Jon Dobres, Chief Financial Officer. You can find the materials that accompany our prepared remarks in a replay of today's webcast on the investor relations section of our website at investor.pagaya.com. Our remarks today will include forward-looking statements that are based on our current expectations and forecasts with respect to, among other things, our operations and financial performance, including our financial outlook for the third quarter and the full year of 2026. Our actual results may differ materially from those contemplated by these forward-looking statements.

Craig Smyth

Factors that could cause these results to differ materially from our expectations include, but are not limited to, those risks described in our press release today in our filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements as a result of new information or future events. Please refer to the documents we file from time to time with the SEC, including our 10-K, 10-Q, and other reports, for more detailed discussion of these factors. Additionally, non-GAAP financial measures, including Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA margin, Adjusted net income, Fee Revenue Less Production Costs, or FRLPC as a percentage of network volume, core operating expenses and core operating expenses as a percentage of FRLPC will be discussed on the call and included in the accompanying materials. We also provide an outlook for the third quarter of full year 2026 on a non-GAAP basis.

Craig Smyth

Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are available to the extent available without unreasonable efforts in our earnings release and other materials, which are posted on our investor relations website. We encourage you to review the shareholder letter, which was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K today for more detailed commentary on our business and performance in conjunction with the accompanying earnings supplement and press release. With that, let me turn the call over to Gal.

Gal Krubiner

Hi everyone, thank you very much for joining. I'm really proud of our Q2 performance. The business had very strong growth. This growth was not by chance. It was the outcome of a partner-focused strategy that we have. From an EPS perspective, Q2 reached $0.49, which is a record for us. As a result, we are raising our net income guidance by almost 25%. Today, I want to drive home a few key messages. First, our unique profit engine. Second is that growth is accelerating, driven by repeatable products and partner expansion. Third, the Pagaya embedded B2B integration powers a unique consumer data moat at scale. Let me start with reminding ourselves of our business model. Our model is simple.

Gal Krubiner

Partners send us volume, which our proprietary technology turns a portion of that volume into loans. Our capital markets funds these loans with over 170 of the largest asset managers, insurance companies, and pension funds in the world. With each transaction, we earn high-margin cash fees. This quarter, every part of that engine set a record. Network volume, FRLPC, Adjusted EBITDA, and EPS. Personal loan reached an all-time high, and auto set a record by a wide margin. All of this while keeping costs flat, which means all of it went to the bottom line. Auto was the standout this quarter and showed a step function growth. The driver behind it is that our network calibrates now every aspect of the offer, the amount, the rate, the duration, and the document requested. Why this is so important?

Gal Krubiner

It pushes our lenders to win more deals with their crucial dealer networks. In turn, every offer strengthens our value proposition. This data drives the perpetual learning that improves our proprietary technology. This is the auto flywheel running. We are still in the early days. The bigger picture, though, that keeps me excited is that the total addressable market in consumer credit is almost $1 trillion of origination per year. Today, we are only at a run rate of $14 billion of origination per year. To take advantage of this opportunity, Pagaya continue to develop two distinct capabilities. The first, a B2B embedded platform, where our product enable our partners to be a full-spectrum lender. The second, a data moat engine for consumer lending, where every application sharpens the next decision.

Gal Krubiner

This combination, the data moat plus the embedded distribution, sets Pagaya on track for years of profitable growth. To summarize, costs are largely flat. Volume is growing. Operational leverage is high. That combines to compound EPS, it is just getting started. With that, I will turn it over to Sanjiv.

Sanjiv Das

Thanks, Gal. Big picture, this was another strong quarter of disciplined execution. We stayed focused on profitable volume growth and on diversifying across asset classes, partners, and channels. What's driving this is our product-led growth playbook, which we keep rolling out partner by partner to unlock growth. Let's start with the headline. This quarter, we achieved the highest network volume in Pagaya's history at $3.5 billion, which is a 33% increase year-over-year. We did it with no change to our credit posture, with a steady conversion at roughly 1% and almost no incremental OPEX. Auto alone was more than 3/4 of our year-on-year growth in network volume. In fact, this quarter, application volume grew 29% year-on-year. Our auto approach remained focused on the indirect auto industry and the relationship between the dealer and the lender.

Sanjiv Das

We believe that the dealer will continue to be where most of the auto transactions will eventually take place. About 83% of auto loans close at the dealer's desk, the dealer is the gateway to the loan, with Pagaya connected to more than 40% of the U.S. market. Let me break down what we are actually optimizing in auto to solve critical dealer needs, and thereby enabling our partners to become full-spectrum lenders. First, we optimize our lender's capabilities. When a partner can't make an offer or their terms just aren't going to convert, we step in with an approval or a counter, they stay relevant right there at the dealer's desk. This means that our lenders stay in deals they'd otherwise lose. Second, we optimize for the borrower.

Sanjiv Das

We adjust the down payment, the APR, the loan-to-value, the term, all in real time to find the structure that the borrower can actually close on, and that's the key. The goal isn't the offer that looks best on paper, it's the one that the borrower actually says yes to. Third, last, but certainly not the least, we optimize for the market because the dealer is seeing multiple offers at the same time. We look at what the other lenders are putting in front of them, and we make sure ours is the most compelling one in that lineup. Not just approvable, but win-worthy. You put those together and you get a self-reinforcing flywheel. We deliver a seamless dealer experience, we let our lenders make competitive offers, and that earns us more application referrals.

Sanjiv Das

We expand full-spectrum approvals and capture more flow, approval rates and application volumes both rise, which makes our partners the preferred lending provider for the dealers, pulls even more flow into the top of the funnel for them, and feeds the next turn of the cycle. Here's our real structural advantage. Our embeddedness in our partner's business is driving our unique customer data moat. That combination, the B2B integration on one side and the data on the other side, is what makes this so hard to replicate. Now on to PL, or personal loans. This quarter alone, the Affiliate Optimizer Engine, our flagship personal loans product, contributed more than 1 billion in network volume.

Sanjiv Das

Last quarter, we onboarded one of our leading personal loans partners into Experian Activate, and we are on track to add a few more personal loans partners to that platform this year with a line of sight to two more next year. In the second half of this year, we expect to go live with a few more new partners, including regional banks. The important part. Every new partner comes on through our pre-built product integration, which makes scaling additional products far more seamless and capital efficient. Finally, our point-of-sale business has the same story, a robust, diversified pipeline across verticals and ticket sizes. It runs from retail solutions like Sezzle to Upgrade's travel-focused BNPL product, Flex Pay, up to large ticket POS providers in onboarding right now. Part of the play here is enabling our existing personal loan partners to grow their POS business.

Sanjiv Das

Flex Pay is a great example. We have another large ticket partner in the pipeline. Beyond what's live today, we are building new solutions like pre-qual to keep pushing the POS offering forward. On the funding side, the institutional demand for Pagaya's assets stays strong, and we keep optimizing our cost of capital and our access to liquidity. This was our largest funding quarter ever, with $3.7 billion, and we closed six ABS transactions, including our largest auto securitization ever at $600 million. Demand was strong enough that we grew our investor network by 11 to a total of 174 investors, and we upsized our last three securitizations this quarter. Jon will talk more about it. To step back, this quarter reflects the repeatability and scalability of the model.

Sanjiv Das

By staying disciplined in underwriting, deepening our partner relationships, and executing methodically against the playbook, we are building a more diversified multi-product platform. With every turn, the flywheel gets stronger. Each new partner and each new product compounds the value of the last, which is exactly what makes this mix, prudent risk management plus relentless execution, so powerful. It sets us up to deliver profitable, sustainable growth and to keep creating value for our partners, our funding network, and you, our shareholders. With that, I'll hand this over to Jon.

Jon Dobres

Thank you, Sanjiv. I met Pagaya initially as an investor in 2020 before joining in 2021. I was drawn to its unique value proposition for lenders and data-driven competitive mode, as well as a highly scalable operating model. Our results since then, including our current net income run rate of over $180 million, substantiates that initial confidence. Let's get to the specifics on a highly successful quarter. Network volume grew 33% year-over-year to a record of $3.5 billion, driven by strength in auto and personal loans. Application to volume conversion remained at roughly 1%. Total revenue grew 19% year-over-year to a record $387 million. Interest in investment income doubled to $22 million, as we continue to orient our investment portfolio toward cash interest bonds. This now comprises approximately 50% of our overall investments versus less than 30% in 2025.

Jon Dobres

FRLPC grew 16% to $147 million, a record. FRLPC as a percent of network volume contracted about 60 basis points sequentially to 4.2%. Two drivers affected the FRLPC percentage this quarter. The first is product and partner mix. By design, new products and partners initially enter the portfolio at lower margins. Consistent with our existing legacy products, as volume grows, margin follows. The second is the rate environment. Benchmark rates remain elevated, which compresses the margin we earn from the funding side of our network, even with interest in our funding vehicles at an all-time high. Importantly, over the course of 2026, we've priced ABS transactions with more conservative loss assumptions. That trades lower day one revenue for more stable vintage performance with a larger loss buffer. Turning to GAAP profitability, this is where our business model really shows its strength.

Jon Dobres

Operating income reached $106 million, up 87% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA increased 43% to $124 million, with a margin of 32%, up five points over last year. Core operating expenses were actually lower sequentially and declined 6% year-over-year. As a percentage of FRLPC, core OPEX hit a record low of 31%, an eight-point improvement versus last year. This deserves a second mention. We increased volume 33% and increased profits nearly 200%, but core OPEX has not increased in a year and a half. That is unique and could only be accomplished by a software-like business model that requires virtually no marketing spend to generate volume. Quarterly GAAP EPS was a record $0.49, with overall GAAP net income increasing $29 million to $45 million. That was driven primarily by 19% growth in total revenue alongside lower operating expenses and interest expense from our more efficient balance sheet.

Jon Dobres

Net income margin reached 12% compared to 5% last year. On credit performance, all asset classes are performing in line with underwriting expectations. 2025 and 2026 vintages continue to reflect consistent performance with cost of capital down approximately 200-400 basis points versus 2024 and earlier, despite higher benchmark rates. Our funding diversification strategy, including more forms of longer-term committed capital, has received strong receptivity by our investor network. We combine pre-funded ABS, seasoned ABS with committed long-term revolving structures and forward flow. Turning to the balance sheet. As of June 30, we held $249 million in unrestricted cash and cash equivalents and $1.04 billion of investments in loans and securities. Our investments have consistently improved in quality and mix over the past 15 months, with now approximately 50% in bond tranches with highly attractive yields.

Jon Dobres

As we have discussed in the past, there is widely available funding against these bonds, and our ability to sell them as they season provides additional optionality. On fair value, the investment portfolio was adjusted downward by $42 million in the quarter, in line with expectations. We added $118 million of new investments net of paydowns from prior deals. Now turning to guidance. Based on a strong quarter and visibility on the remainder of 2026, we are raising our full year net income guidance by about 25% at the midpoint. We expect network volume growth to be driven by deeper engagement with existing partners, primarily in auto, contributions from new partners, and new product initiatives. This will be partially offset by lower point-of-sale volume.

Jon Dobres

FRLPC percent is expected to be between 4%-5% for the remainder of the year. We assume that benchmark rates remain elevated for the rest of the year. For the third quarter 2026, we expect network volume between $3.425 billion and $3.625 billion, total revenue and other income in the range of $370 million-$390 million, and Adjusted EBITDA between $120 million and $130 million. We expect GAAP net income for the quarter of $42 million-$52 million. For the full year 2026, we're expecting network volume between $12.5 billion and $13.25 billion, total revenue in the range of $1.425 billion-$1.525 billion, Adjusted EBITDA between $460 million and $490 million, and GAAP net income between $155 million-$180 million. Let me turn it over to the operator for Q&A.

Operator

Thank you. We will now be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment, please, while we poll for questions. Our first question is from John Hecht with Jefferies LLC. Please proceed with your question.

John Hecht

Morning, guys. Thanks for taking my questions, and congrats on a good quarter and good guide. It seems like there's a lot of strength in auto. You mentioned lower point-of-sale volumes. Maybe talk about your pipeline and the competitive situation and what's causing the auto to grow so fast relative to the other segments.

Sanjiv Das

Hi, John. This is Sanjiv. I'll take the call. I'll take the question, rather. Thank you for the compliment on the performance. I will say that a large part of our auto growth came in as a result of a lot of the hard work that had been going on for the last six to nine months on the auto product. We had spent a lot of time essentially working on what we call the dynamic offer optimization, which was essentially improving the conversion rate at the dealer level in order to make our offers more win-worthy. When a customer applies for a loan, we didn't give just one offer, we gave multiple offers and multiple choices. It was dynamically optimized at the point of sale for the dealer. This led to a significantly higher flow that came into our lenders because they were able to approve more loans.

Sanjiv Das

The other thing was a very strong effort that we had made in terms of product market alignment over the last few months. If you recall, in the last quarter, we had talked about updated terms and updated ticket sizes to meet market levels. There was a much greater product market alignment. Last, and certainly not the least, in fact, it's something that I would like to double-click on, was that we got access to substantially new flow from our partners, which was essentially driven by this new construct of what we call counters, where our underwriting models provide sometimes more optimized volumes of offers or loan approvals for the customer. The lenders often prefer to provide Pagaya's approval as opposed to their own because it's sort of more fuller in terms of the loan amount and the approvals.

Sanjiv Das

This is really important because our partners are now giving us new flow that they used to keep for themselves. There are three things. There's the product as a result of the optimization of the offer, there's greater alignment with the market in terms of the ticket size and the market levels, and of course, access to new flow. All of this effectively led to the growth in the auto business. Perhaps Gal can give some more color on that.

Gal Krubiner

Yeah. John, hi. Good to hear from you. I think the one sentence I would add on top of all what Sanjiv said, which was exactly the point, is the unique power that we have because we have many lenders and what we perceive to be our partner product growth engine is really that when we are unlocking some product, in this case, was understanding in one of our partners that actually the decline flow is less where it's interesting, but much more the what if we sell all the applications that are actually being sent back to the dealers with cutbacks and recognizing that the probability for them to convert is much lower and changing the full product of how Pagaya works to be able actually to receive it in an output and instead of that, sending our offer instead.

Gal Krubiner

That has driven a very major growth with that partner. More interesting than that, we took that concept of kind of like meeting more what are the needs of the customer in the dealership moment through activating the best offer that could show to the customer, in this case, through reducing the amount of counter, and we took it to another few lenders. What you see is really the product partner growth in action, specifically in auto, where one product solution is happening to one is actually pushing to be deployed and sold across the platform. Therefore, you see that meaningful change in rather short period of time to be able to drive meaningful growth. It should remain the same in the future.

John Hecht

Okay. If you think about the momentum of the different products and then the pipeline, how should we think about product mix on a volume perspective in 2027?

Sanjiv Das

Yeah. Basically, we are experiencing a very strong pipeline. In fact, in the last quarter, we had announced that in the last six months actually, there are about seven new partners that we are in the process of onboarding. Some of them are in the personal loan side, some of them are in auto, and a couple in POS. We expect that the mix will roughly remain the same because PL continues to be our flagship product. Auto is showing significant growth. At POS, we continue to grow and diversify. In terms of our pipeline, we are now seeing a shift in the mix, which is very interesting. In personal loans, we are seeing much more traction with the regional banks. In fact, there are a couple of banks that we've signed term sheets with, in the final contract stages with them.

Sanjiv Das

It's interesting to see that in the U.S., banks are now starting to look into personal loans and are looking at fee income as a major source of growth. Auto, we are also seeing a lot of interest from the banks, although we have started moving interest in the direction of OEMs and some of the enterprise-grade dealers. We will announce some of these in the forthcoming quarters. In POS, we continue to have very important discussions with our existing partners who are now starting to branch into different forms of POS, like purchase finance. Yeah. We expect the mix to remain pretty similar.

Sanjiv Das

I will remind you that we had exponential growth in our partner onboarding from the last couple of quarters, and we expect the momentum to continue over the next few quarters with a very substantial mix in the three asset classes that we operate in today.

John Hecht

Great. Thank you so much.

Operator

Our next question is from Sanjay Sakhrani with KBW. Please proceed with your question.

Sanjay Sakhrani

Is that -$23 million this quarter run right now, or can that become more severe as you bring on incrementally more volume in the back half of the year? Are you guys seeing any changes in demand from asset managers, or is there still some repricing there? Thank you.

Jon Dobres

I apologize. I think the first part of your question got cut off.

Sanjay Sakhrani

Sorry.

Jon Dobres

When it cut into the call, it was yeah.

Sanjay Sakhrani

Yeah. You guys were expecting some of that pressure on the capital markets line item. That negative $23 million that we saw this quarter, I guess, is that run rate now? Or can that potentially increase as you guys kind of lean into volume growth in the back half of the year?

Jon Dobres

Thanks for the question. This is Jon. We don't view that as a run rate. However, we still see, as we said, benchmark rates remaining elevated. You should think about our FRLPC margin as 4%-5%. It reflects our self-funded business model, and it's a range we remain very confident in. As benchmark rates remain elevated, as we expect, you will continue to see some pressure from the funding side of the FRLPC contribution. I wouldn't think of it as something that's going to necessarily increase much from where it is today.

Operator

Our next question is from Kyle Joseph with Stephens Inc. Please proceed with your question.

Kyle Joseph

Hey, good morning, guys. Yeah, let me echo John's congratulations on a good quarter. Just want to get your posture on underwriting. I know you guys tightened coming into the year, and obviously it looks like the growth is re-accelerating there, and I just want to kind of see if anything's changed on the underwriting front, or is that really just a function of new products and new partners?

Gal Krubiner

Hi there. It's Gal here. As you can tell, there are. Actually, we spoke about it many times, but we'll share again. There are two sides to it. Let me start with the bottom line. The bottom line is the posture in underwriting is not changed. The way we think about how do we bring together growth and at the same time the concept of being more prudent in risk measures as we have been, we are, and we will be, is really looking on the growth engine that is coming from new partners and from new products. A lot of the growth that you have seen in this specific quarter has came from new products that have been deployed in our major partners in the auto.

Gal Krubiner

You should continue to expect that as we bring new auto partners to see much more growth from that front through the embedness of these products into them. The concept of growing through embedding more product into more partners, which is the B2B concept of Pagaya, which we're taking the unique capabilities that we have on the consumer credit side and kind of allowing different lenders to become full spectrum through this, is really what drives more applications to come through to our way, and what is driving the ability at the end of the day to present a very impressive growth number as we saw this quarter.

Gal Krubiner

On the other side of it, you have the disciplined B2C side because we are talking about credit and we are taking credit risk. We are constantly looking for the areas and pockets that are actually slightly softer or areas that we feel that we are not pricing well, and constantly on a biweekly basis are changing and adapting to the different population into the different places.

Gal Krubiner

As I said in the beginning, for now, we don't see any shift. Therefore, the posture for us is unchanged as the U.S. economy is in a very good spot. There is a lot of investment coming in. Unemployment is low, and these are really the major driver for specifically our borrower, which is rather a healthy borrower, and Sanjiv will give few comments on that in a second. Allowing us to stay very much on course without any major changes to the credit posture. I don't know, Sanjiv, if you want to add anything to that?

Sanjiv Das

Sure. Actually, I do want to double down on what Gal just said. In the last quarter when we said we were anticipating that there were shifts going on in the market because of inflationary pressures and all the kinds of stuff that people were talking about, the economy at the time, I will repeat what we said last quarter, we took a prudent credit posture by cutting out the highest risks because we were anticipating that some consumers will be under pressure. Now, I must stress that when you show growth, you say, "Okay, I'm going to grow by basically shifting the mix that we have in the business flow that comes in through to Pagaya." There's one major misconception in the market, which is that we are a decline-only lender, which is not true.

Sanjiv Das

We have used decline as a mechanism to get into the loan origination system of about 36 odd partners, which is a very big deal. Once you do that, then you start moving upstream, up the funnel with our partners, which is what we have demonstrated we have done with pre-screen, with affiliate marketing, with counter flows, that is now starting to become a very large part of our flow. In fact, about I'd say greater than 45% of our flow comes from non-decline types of flow. I think that's a very important point for everybody to understand. Product-led growth, which is what we've been calling this, has been really important in shifting the positioning of Pagaya from a decline-only partner to using decline to leverage the embeddedness within our partner and grow up the funnel. That's really an important point.

Sanjiv Das

The second point is as a consequence of this is another misconception that we would like to straighten out, is that I don't think people understand that as a result of moving up the funnel, we've actually significantly shifted the profile of the borrower that comes into Pagaya. The average borrower income is now about $120,000. The average FICO is about 680. 37% of them are homeowners, and they have an average DTI of about 28%. To me, that looks like Middle America or Mass America. As you know, Middle America is not the bottom of the spectrum. Middle America manages its finances quite responsibly, and we've seen that across credit cards and other unsecured products through some of the other lenders. That's kind of how we are growing right now. We're growing through product.

Sanjiv Das

We're growing through top of the funnel, that is starting to be evidenced both in our auto business as well as in our personal loans business, and soon in our POS business.

Kyle Joseph

Great. Really helpful. Just one follow-up from me. In terms of point-of-sale, obviously some moving parts there in terms of your partners adding some, losing one. Just kind of talk about your expectations for volumes from point-of-sale specifically given what's going on there. Thank you.

Jon Dobres

Thanks. Yeah. When you think about point-of-sale through the rest of the year, you'll see some volume decrease there from the roll-off of one of our POS partners. That being said, that partner represents very little in terms of FRLPC margin. While it might have an effect on late Q3, Q4 volume, has really no effect on FRLPC. Obviously, as we get into next year, toward the end of this year and next year, as we scale new POS partners, you'll begin to see that volume ramp again.

Kyle Joseph

Very helpful. Thanks for taking my questions.

Sanjiv Das

Can I just add one little thing to what Jon just said? Jon rightly pointed out the rolling off of one of our partners and we continue to grow in partners like Sezzle, partners like Flex Pay, with existing partners like Upgrade. We are in pretty intense discussions with our existing partners who want to grow into areas like home improvement loans, purchase finance and so on. Loans that have structures very similar to our personal loans business, which we understand quite well. I know that in some of the earnings calls that you've had with some of our lending partners in the last few days, they're all talking about growth in other areas of the P&L. We are right alongside them in our growth across that particular asset class.

Operator

Our next question is from David Scharf with Citizens Capital Markets. Please go ahead with your question.

David Scharf

Hi, good morning, thanks for taking my questions. Hey, wanted to ask about a couple drivers of further operating leverage. One is on just the OpEx side. As you noted, remarkably it's been flat for about 18 months, despite the amount of growth you've seen. Just based on the portfolio of products that you've introduced now, should we pretty much for the next 18 months expect that core OpEx figure to be in a pretty tight range? I mean, is most of the heavy lifting of investment spending behind you, or is there another step function somewhere down the line that you foresee?

Jon Dobres

Thanks for the question. Obviously we don't guide into 2027. As we've said many times, our core OpEx, we believe, is right-sized today for significant growth in our three major asset classes. I don't think you should model much growth there at all.

David Scharf

Got it. Good clarification.

Gal Krubiner

I think maybe it's another point. I think there is another clarification there. As you think about the core business and the things we have right now, which is the POS, the auto, the P&L, the platform that we are operating and building that is repeatable, scalable, and actually at this point even predictable, about adding new partners. Just to put things in perspective of how much we think about ourself as an enterprise-grade type of organization, the average contribution margin of a customer to us is $8 million. To that core business and the platform that we have built and just now rolling out more of the products to more of our partners and to be able to bring more partners from the 35, 40 that we have now, hopefully to the 80 or the 100, there is very minimal investment that is needed.

Gal Krubiner

It might be that in the future, because of the very heavy operational leverage that we have and the earning power and the profits that we are starting to gain and to get, we will look for more avenues to accelerate even growth further or to invest in new initiatives of where the world work goes, maybe in other areas. The core business as it stands right now needs very limited, if any, investment to be able to handle twice the volume, three times the volume, twice or three times the partner, and rolling out all of our amazing products to the partners that we enjoy so much supporting.

David Scharf

Got it. No, that's great feedback, Gal. Notwithstanding all the margin expansion at the bottom line you've experienced so far, it sounds like there's even more operating leverage to come.

Gal Krubiner

That's how we think about the earning power of the business, that the margins are going to continue to go up and the scale is going to continue to go up. That's how you should think. Again, while we're not giving guidance for the next three years, but you can just illustrate the next three years with that trajectory and ability to drive all of that value through a rather stable OpEx to get to a very interesting number that are the enterprise capability.

David Scharf

Got it. Just a quick follow-up, more on the consumer and credit side. Notwithstanding all of the kind of quarter-to-quarter commentary, the conversion rate has been holding around 1% for really several years now. Is there anything, whether it's kind of inflation, unemployment. I mean, just trying to get a sense for if there's anything out there that you keep an eye on or are looking for that would notably change that? Or maybe what might also be helpful is to understand not so much the conversion rate, but your approval rate. Has that actually been holding steady as well?

Sanjiv Das

I mean, David, let me take this. Look, I think you're absolutely right. The environment keeps shifting. As I said before, we feel pretty good about the shift that we have made in the consumer to essentially the shift in our business model to the more top of the funnel. We think that we understand this consumer quite well. Having said that, for those of us that have gone through several cycles in the market, we are extremely humble about what it is that we don't know. Which is why in the last quarter, in anticipation of a potentially shifting market, we took out our highest risk tiers, and we have the ability to do that.

Sanjiv Das

When you get $1 trillion worth of flow coming in and you're only issuing 1% of that, you in some ways have a lot of the ability to be fairly discerning, which is what we constantly watch. Now, one other thing is that across 36 odd partners, you constantly watch credit performance of the flow that's coming in, and you can fine-tune your performance to optimize for best performance that comes into the system. That's kind of how we think about it. Obviously, we are very tuned into things like inflation and unemployment and what it does to the discretionary spending power of our consumers. We work very closely with our primary lenders to make sure that we are seeing what they are seeing. We work very closely with them.

Sanjiv Das

The good news in all of this is that the credit box of our primary lenders has stayed stable. We expect it to continue to remain stable. As you know, in situations like this, the flow increases because they spend more in marketing, and they keep their credit box stable. Our outlook for ourselves, in terms of the stability of the flow and the discretionary ability to manage underwriting carefully, continues to remain pretty good. We feel pretty good about where we are at right now. That's Gal or Jon will add something in.

Jon Dobres

Just keep in mind one interesting stat from this quarter. For the first time, we had over $300 billion of applications coming in. We have the ability to be selective and to keep that conversion rate that Sanjiv described while still growing the business quite nicely.

David Scharf

Right. Got it. Thank you very much.

Operator

Our next question is from Joseph Vafi with Canaccord Genuity. Please proceed with your question.

Joseph Vafi

Hey, guys. Good morning. Great results. Great operating leverage. Really nice to see. Maybe we start, can we get an update on the forward flow market? I know that there were some moving parts there, a couple of quarters ago. Wondering how you're viewing that market. Then a quick follow-up. Thanks.

Jon Dobres

Thanks, Joe. This is Jon. I'll take that one. The way I'll answer it is how we think about funding generally, and I think how you should think about it when it comes to Pagaya. Our funding channels are more committed and diversified than ever. Today, about 40% of our flow comes from the non-pre-funded ABS product. Funding diversification remains a core strategy and focus. This doesn't just mean ABS and forward flow, right? We think of it as different forms of long-term committed capital. The market demand for our securitizations, as you can see just from the last couple of weeks and the last quarter, is extremely high, even with elevated benchmark rates. Just throwing out some numbers, last quarter, Q2 rather, we have $3.7 billion raised with 12 new investors. Our full investor base right now is around 175.

Jon Dobres

The last three deals were upsized in both paid and RPM. Our pre-funded ABS, which is sort of our core and historical product, provides committed clarity for kind of going forward, looking a quarter. Forward flow, where we remain active, we've announced new forward flows this year, you'll continue to hear from us, provides additional clarity for a 6 to 12-month period. Importantly, beyond that, we've executed longer-term, one-to-two-year committed revolving structures and are in process with several other agreements with large asset managers as well as bank partners. All in all, we see Pagaya as an evolving, committed, funded sort of suite of funding solutions where forward flow remains an important one, but it's just one of several.

Joseph Vafi

Great. That's helpful. Thanks, Jon. Then, with all the operating leverage emerging, and I appreciate the kind of fixed transaction processing side of OpEx, just wondering if there are areas of say, marketing spend that you see at this point that could have attractive ROIs and put some of this emerging operating leverage back to work in the business. Thanks.

Gal Krubiner

Actually, I will take it. It's Gal here. Again, I want to just emphasize what I said before. The platform and the way it's been operating doesn't require any more investment from that perspective in the business models that we are. Directly to your question, no. There is no marketing dollar or other pieces that will need to be ramped up and therefore could erode the operational leverage in the future. We are looking in areas of ROI and places where you can bring specific knowledge that could help our ability to even sharpen further our product and value proposition and offering, but it's nothing in the magnitude that you will see as a major expense item.

Gal Krubiner

The last piece I would say, and we don't talk about it a lot because this is a little bit embedded in the way we operate, but the agentic world kind of like revolution and company like ours, that all of us are either computer science and data science engineers or on the other hand side, financial leaders. We are very much enjoying from that leap of growth.

Gal Krubiner

Get access and do many of the tasks that once in the past have needed to be relied upon many analysts now to be much more driven by the agentic world, by our ability to have the data that we have in a such organized manner. As we think about the future productivity for our business, we actually think about doing more with the same rather than the other way around.

Joseph Vafi

Great. Thanks for that color. Much appreciated. Thanks. Bye.

Operator

Our next question is from Hal Goetsch with B. Riley Securities. Please go ahead with your question.

Hal Goetsch

Hey, thanks guys, congratulations on a great quarter and start to the first half of the year. My question is back to the auto. You mentioned that 83% of loans close at the dealer desk and you're making more competitive offers at that point-of-sale, essentially at the dealer channel. I think you mentioned, Sanjiv, you might have mentioned that you're using information to find out what the other offers might be. I'm just trying to figure how you get access or how you triangulated the competition to make a better offer that's accepted by the car buyer. Can you elaborate on how you maybe formulated this information that gets a better offer to the car buyer?

Sanjiv Das

Hi, Hal. How are you? Thank you again. Good to hear your voice. Hal, a couple of things. One is I'll take it back a little bit. In the past, what used to happen was there's an app that comes, an application that comes in through the lender to us. We made essentially what I would call a static point in time, one-dimensional offer to the consumer. Now what happens is, we have access through our lenders to essentially the interaction that they have with the dealer, in terms of essentially what the dealer comments are, what the dealer is saying in terms of what will make the application work or not work. We leverage that information essentially to build in as input into our underwriting decisioning process. Instead of giving one static approval, we are now able to give multiple choices.

Sanjiv Das

What if you reduced your down payment, what if you increased your down payment? What if you got a higher backend approval? What if you got this? We offer across various dimensions and across various options. How do we do it? Which is the core question that you're asking, is we get it because we are now able to leverage the information between the dealer and the consumer through our lender much, much more than we ever did before.

Hal Goetsch

Okay. All right. Thank you very much.

Sanjiv Das

Sure.

Operator

Once again, if you would like to ask any question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. Our next question is from Rayna Kumar with Oppenheimer & Co Inc. Please go ahead with your question.

Guru Sidaarth

Hi. This is Guru on for Rayna, thanks a lot for taking our question. We were just wondering if you can comment on your current capital allocation priorities here, if there are any updated thoughts on your appetite for acquisitions going forward. Thanks.

Jon Dobres

Thanks for the question. We're always calculating sort of the best use of the net incremental dollar that we spend. We find, for example, our bond purchases that we've added to our balance sheet. Our balance sheet's now, I think, as you know, 50% bonds, extremely strong as an attractive use of capital. On the M&A topic, we have nothing significant planned right now, but we're always looking at opportunities and always considering things there. In terms of our guidance and looking over the near term, we have no anticipated M&A.

Gal Krubiner

Since we don't have any more questions, we really want to thank everyone for joining us today. We delivered a record quarter that I'm very and extremely proud of the team and the execution behind these results. Importantly, I want to leave investors with few clear messages. Pagaya is a materially different company today than it has been in the last few years. There are four fundamental small misperceptions about our business that I want to address directly before we close the call. First is that our product portfolio is broader than ever, and it is the effective growth engine that we are pushing towards and should expect in the future. Secondly, the Pagaya borrower that has $120,000 on the P&L product is materially stronger than market assumes and is rather resilient to any inflation pressure.

Gal Krubiner

The third one is that the earning power that you are seeing and that our network is actually building is very strong, mainly because of the operational power, because our platform is already ready to use and it's only the starting days of that earning power growth. Lastly, thanks to all of that, the acceleration of the strengthening of our balance sheet and funding engine is something that we are focusing on and did major changes in the last year. With all these factors, it makes me much more confident in the business as we think about our growth trajectory and as we think about how Pagaya's 10th next year looking for after having celebration the Pagaya's 10th year this year. Thank you very much everyone for joining, and we are looking forward to discuss with you more in the future.

Operator

This concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.

As of 2026-08-22 • Updated weeklySource: Earnings sourceIngestion runbook