B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$185.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
PG
Procter GambleANYSE / Household & Personal Products
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Durable brands, successful pricing and productivity drive above-consensus organic growth and margin expansion. EPS upside and buybacks support a modest multiple re-rating toward the high end of street targets within 12 months.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.9.
What can break
Commodity inflation or adverse FX moves that compress gross margins
Momentum
48
Value
47
Sentiment
83
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $168.38 · Bull $185.00 · Bear $148.00Analysis 2026-02-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $159.67
Why
Momentum48 · Δ7d +8.0
Value47 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment83 · Δ7d +0.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Commodity inflation or adverse FX moves that compress gross margins
- • Failure to realize planned productivity gains and buyback support
- • Prolonged volume weakness, renewed promotional investment, or persistent input/FX headwinds erode margins and EPS, prompting multiple contraction and valuation toward the low end of the analyst range.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-05
Fiscal-quarter earnings release and guidance update
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
48
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.0
Δ21d
+18.7
Value
47
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-1.8
Sentiment
83
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.9
Δ21d
-0.9
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 47.7 / Value 47.4 / Sentiment 82.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$168.38
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$148.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$332.67B
Beta
0.37
Shares Out
2.32B
P/E (TTM)
20.5
P/S (TTM)
3.86
P/FCF (TTM)
66.01
Rev YoY
+1.5%
EPS YoY
-14.7%
Gross Margin
+50.9%
Op Margin
+23.9%
Net Debt
$25.08B
Current Ratio
0.68
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data