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PG

Procter GambleB
NYSE / Household & Personal Products
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The revenue and EPS beat, 4% organic-sales growth and renewed volume contribution support a recovery from fiscal Q4's flat organic sales. Morgan Stanley reportedly raised its target to $185 from $166 after the print while retaining Overweight.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
5 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
What can break
Core gross margin fell 150 basis points year over year; commodity costs and product reinvestment outweighed productivity gains. P&G earnings release
Momentum
72
Value
45
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
5 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $165.00 · Bull $180.00 · Bear $145.00Analysis 2026-10-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $161.33
Why
Momentum72 · Δ7d -12.4
Value45 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment65 · Δ7d +10.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 5 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
  • • News driver: Spotify Rallies on Subscribers; Hermès falls on China Sales | Stock Movers.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Core gross margin fell 150 basis points year over year; commodity costs and product reinvestment outweighed productivity gains. P&G earnings release
  • • Health Care organic volume fell 2.9% in fiscal Q1, showing that the volume recovery is not uniform. P&G earnings release
  • • Core gross margin contracted 150 basis points and the fiscal-year commodity-cost headwind rose to approximately $1.4 billion after tax.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-06

Fiscal Q1 beat must survive the post-print reset

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
72
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-12.4
Δ21d
-5.6
Value
45
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.8
Sentiment
65
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.7
Δ21d
-9.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 72.1 / Value 45.3 / Sentiment 65.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$180.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$165.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$374B
Beta
0.37
Shares Out
2.32B
P/E (TTM)
20.5
P/S (TTM)
3.86
P/FCF (TTM)
66.01
Rev YoY
+1.5%
EPS YoY
-14.7%
Gross Margin
+50.9%
Op Margin
+23.9%
Net Debt
$25.08B
Current Ratio
0.68
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data