B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
PENN
PENN EntertainmentCNasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$15.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-09-30
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+0.3
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+62.2
Score
AI commentary
Company releases support a constructive operating tone, and the deterministic prior is positive, but the $14.61 price anchor is well below the August earnings-period price cited in secondary coverage. That does not establish the cause of the decline. No verified current options, short-interest, employee or social measures were supplied; the zero fields above indicate unavailable data, not neutral observations.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-09-30
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-12-31eventInteractive profitability and Alberta launch follow-throughHigh impact
Q2 Interactive revenue was $349.4 million, including a $185.5 million tax gross-up, with a $9.5 million adjusted EBITDA loss. PENN cited U.S. standalone iCasino growth and its July 13 Alberta app launches; subsequent customer growth and loss reduction will test those claims. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06] PENN Q2 release
2026-12-31catalystRecently opened casino propertiesHigh impact
PENN reported record Q2 2026 Retail revenue and encouraging early visitation at Hollywood Casino Aurora and the new Hollywood Columbus hotel tower. Sustained play and margins at those properties are the near-term operating test, not an assured continuation of the opening-quarter trend. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06] PENN Q2 release
2028-12-31catalystCouncil Bluffs replacement projectMedium impact
PENN announced a groundbreaking ceremony for a land-based Hollywood Casino Hotel Council Bluffs, expected to replace its adjacent riverboat casino in 2028, subject to customary regulatory approvals. Construction cost and eventual returns remain execution tests. [#PR-2026-09-10] PENN announcement
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-09-30 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology