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PENN

PENN EntertainmentC
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
PENN executes on sportsbook monetization and media partnerships, improving retention and revenue per user; margin expansion and modest multiple re-rating drive shares toward the bull scenario.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.3.
What can break
High leverage / rising interest expense
Momentum
14
Value
51
Sentiment
72
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $18.47 · Bull $26.00 · Bear $10.00Analysis 2026-02-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $24.75
Why
Momentum14 · Δ7d -4.9
Value51 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment72 · Δ7d +2.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • High leverage / rising interest expense
  • • Poor sportsbook hold / high promotional spend
  • • Promotional pressure, weaker hold or regulatory setbacks depress online margins and retail volumes; investor repricing toward the low analyst band drives the bear outcome.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-28

Share repurchase or portfolio optimization announcement

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
14
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.9
Δ21d
-14.9
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+11.8
Sentiment
72
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.3
Δ21d
+12.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 14.3 / Value 51.0 / Sentiment 71.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-27. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$26.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$18.47
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$10.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.5B
Beta
1.40
Shares Out
134.07M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-3.2
P/S (TTM)
0.29
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
27.07
Rev YoY
+5.2%
EPS YoY
-308.6%
Gross Margin
+28.7%
Op Margin
+6.0%
Net Debt
$10.56B
Current Ratio
0.89
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data