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Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-06Palladyne AI (PDYN) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript
Motley Fool
Palladyne AI (PDYN) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript
Image source: The Motley Fool. Tuesday, May 5, 2026 at 8 a.m. ET President & Chief Executive Officer — Benjamin Wolff Chief Financial Officer — Trevor Thatcher Investor Relations — Brian Siegel Operator: Greetings, and welcome to Palladyne AI First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Brian Siegel with Hayden IR. Thank you. Please go ahead. Brian Siegel: Good morning, and welcome to Palladyne AI's First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. Joining me on the call today are Ben Wolff, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Trevor Thatcher, Chief Financial Officer. Earlier this morning, Palladyne issued a press release announcing financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026, along with updated commentary regarding backlog and reiterated its 2026 revenue guidance. A copy of that release, along with the accompanying financial tables, is available on the IR section of Palladyne AI's website. Today's call will include prepared remarks from Ben and Trevor, followed by a question-and-answer session. During the call, management will make forward-looking statements within the meanings of the federal securities laws. These statements include, but are not limited to, statements regarding Palladyne's 2026 revenue guidance, expected backlog conversion, anticipated quarterly operating cash usage, product development milestones, commercialization timelines, defense program activity, potential customer adoption, market opportunities and future strategic positioning across aerospace, land and maritime domains. Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, assumptions and beliefs and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied. These risks and uncertainties include, among others, Palladyne AI's ability to execute on development programs, convert backlog into revenue, scale production, manage operating expenses, integrate acquired businesses, secure additional contracts, maintain liquidity and navigate evolving defense and commercial market conditions. These and other risk factors are described in detail in Palladyne AI's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including its annual report on Form 10-K and subsequent filings. Palladyne un...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-06Palladyne AI Corp. Q1 2026 Earnings Call Summary
Moby
Palladyne AI Corp. Q1 2026 Earnings Call Summary
Revenue growth of 107% year-over-year was aligned with internal expectations despite a federal government shutdown that delayed defense contract activity. Management reported adding approximately $7 million in new contract awards during the quarter, which they noted as a meaningful bookings number that provides visibility into the upcoming revenue ramp. The company is positioning its 'Decentralized Embodied Collaborative Autonomy' (DECA) as a biological-model alternative to centralized, cloud-based AI that fails in communication-denied environments. Strategic focus has shifted toward 'Oracle-Class Wolf Pack Swarming,' where drones anticipate events and allocate resources predictively rather than reactively. The manufacturing segment is currently operating at approximately 30% capacity, providing significant headroom for high-margin production without requiring major capital investment. Management successfully demonstrated heterogeneous swarming, proving that SwarmOS can coordinate diverse platforms from different manufacturers without a centralized controller. Reiterated full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $24 million to $27 million, assuming an accelerated growth rate in the second half as backlog converts. The 'Crawl' phase of 2026 focuses on proving the integrated model and converting the $17 million backlog into recognized revenue. For government and defense customers, software monetization is modeled as a value-based license fee, targeted at approximately 10% of the total UAV platform cost. Anticipated sequential quarterly revenue growth is supported by the transition from first-article testing to full-rate production in defense programs. Quarterly cash usage is expected to trend back toward the $8 million to $9 million range as inventory builds for BRAIN flight computers convert to revenue. The federal government shutdown caused a revenue timing issue by delaying first-article evaluations for critical missile system propulsion contracts. Operating cash usage of $10.2 million was modestly above guidance due to strategic inventory builds and accelerated hiring for new opportunities. A major defense prime contractor independently integrated SwarmOS into their own program submission, validating the platform's 'autonomy layer' adoption strategy. The company secured its first space-domain engagements, including a contract with Portal Space Systems for maneuve...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-06Palladyne AI Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
MarketBeat
Palladyne AI Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
Revenue rose to $3.5 million in Q1 (up 107% YoY) and management reiterated full-year 2026 guidance of $24–$27 million, exiting the quarter with about $17 million of backlog after adding roughly $7 million in new contract awards; a federal shutdown caused timing delays but not cancellations. Margins and profitability remain pressured—consolidated gross margin was ~30% and operating loss was $11.9 million (GAAP net loss $12.6 million)—while the company used ~$10.2 million of operating cash in the quarter, raised $6.5 million via its ATM, holds $43.7 million of liquidity, and expects 2026 cash burn of $32–$36 million. Operationally Palladyne demonstrated "true heterogeneous autonomous swarming," advanced its BRAIN flight computer (including a $500,000 first order), pursued space-related work (AFRL HANGTIME, Portal), and is positioning software monetization as a platform layer priced at roughly 10% of UAV cost (SwarmStrike targeted at Interested in Palladyne AI Corp.? Here are five stocks we like better. The Arms Race Has Gone Airborne: What Investors Need to Know Palladyne AI (NASDAQ:PDYN) reported first-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue of $3.5 million, up 107% year-over-year, and reiterated its full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $24 million to $27 million as management pointed to a growing contract backlog and increased defense program activity. President and CEO Ben Wolff said first-quarter revenue rose to $3.5 million and was “in line with our internal expectations,” while noting that a federal government shutdown temporarily delayed activity across several defense contracts. Wolff emphasized the disruption was “a revenue timing issue but not a demand issue,” adding that the affected work was not canceled and “remains in backlog.” → Roblox Stock Slides to New Low as Safety Changes Weigh on Outlook Can Palladyne AI Live Up to the Hype? Chief Financial Officer Trevor Thatcher said the year-over-year increase was driven by the inclusion of post-acquisition revenue from businesses acquired in November 2025, marking the first full quarter with those contributions. Thatcher broke out revenue into $1.7 million of product revenue (primarily from the company’s manufacturing business) and $1.8 million of engineering services revenue, which includes GuideTech. Thatcher added Palladyne “did not recognize meaningful product development contract revenue” in the quarter, but sa...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-05Palladyne AI Reports First Quarter 2026 Results
Business Wire
Palladyne AI Reports First Quarter 2026 Results
First full quarter as a vertically integrated defense and industrial AI company; revenue increased 107% year-over-year to $3.5 million Backlog of approximately $17 million as of March 31, 2026, net of revenue recognized, reflects approximately $7 million in new contract awards during the quarter Reiterates full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $24 million to $27 million (357% - 415% growth); expects sequential revenue growth each quarter with ramp accelerating in the second half of the year SALT LAKE CITY, May 05, 2026--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Palladyne AI Corp. (NASDAQ: PDYN and PDYNW) ("Palladyne AI" or "the Company"), a U.S.-based defense and industrial technology company delivering embodied AI-powered collaborative autonomy solutions, advanced avionics, precision-manufactured components, UAVs, and advanced aerospace engineering services, today announced financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. Ben Wolff, President and Chief Executive Officer of Palladyne AI, commented: "Q1 was our first full quarter as a vertically integrated defense and industrial AI company. Revenue increased 107% year-over-year to $3.5 million, and the quarter saw broad-based activity across defense programs, commercial deployment and intellectual property development. That activity is reflected in our backlog, which grew to approximately $17 million as of March 31, and we remain on track to achieve our 2026 revenue guidance of $24 million to $27 million. "The Department of War is committing historic resources to autonomous systems, collaborative swarming, counter-UAS, long-range precision fires and missile defense, and Palladyne AI is actively pursuing opportunities across those programs. We are executing on multiple fronts simultaneously with contracted backlog, deployed product and published intellectual property that together reflect the progress we are making and the category we are defining." First Quarter 2026 Strategic and Operational Highlights Defense, Space and Autonomy Demonstrated collaborative autonomous swarming among the Gremlin-X (formerly Project Banshee) platform utilizing IntelliSwarm and multiple Red Cat (NASDAQ: RCAT) platforms operating with SwarmOS; Progressed development of new BRAIN flight computer variants; received follow-on orders from an existing defense prime customer for the commercialized X2 variant for approximately $500,000; Expanded the D...
TranscriptFY2026 Q12026-05-05FY2026 Q1 earnings call transcript
Earnings source - 104 paragraphs
FY2026 Q1 earnings call transcript
Greetings, and welcome to Palladyne AI first quarter 2026 earnings conference call. At this time all participants are on a listen only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the form of presentation. If anyone requires operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Brian Siegel, with Hayden IR. Thank you. Please go ahead.
Good morning. Welcome to Palladyne AI's first quarter 2026 earnings conference call. Joining me on the call today are Ben Wolff, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Trevor Thatcher, Chief Financial Officer. Earlier this morning, Palladyne issued a press release announcing financial results for the first quarter ended March 31st, 2026, along with updated commentary regarding backlog and reiterated its 2026 revenue guidance. A copy of that release, along with the accompanying financial tables, is available on the IR section at Palladyne AI's website. Today's call will include prepared remarks from Ben and Trevor, followed by a question-and-answer session. During the call, management will make forward-looking statements within the meanings of the federal securities laws.
These statements include, but are not limited to, statements regarding Palladyne's 2026 revenue guidance, expected backlog conversion, anticipated quarterly operating cash usage, product development milestones, commercialization timelines, defense program activity, potential customer adoption, market opportunities, and future strategic positioning across airspace, land, and maritime domains. Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, assumptions and beliefs and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied. These risks and uncertainties include, among others, Palladyne AI's ability to execute on development programs, convert backlog into revenue, scale production, manage operating expenses, integrate acquired businesses, secure additional contracts, maintain liquidity, and navigate evolving defense and commercial market conditions. These and other risk factors are described in detail in Palladyne AI's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including its annual report on Form 10-K and subsequent filings.
Palladyne undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements except as required by law. During this call, management will reference certain non-GAAP financial measures. In general, management will adjust for acquisition and other transaction-related expenses, stock-based compensation expense, non-cash warrant income or expense that are marked to market quarterly based on changes in the company's stock price, expenses related to the change in contingent consideration liabilities associated with closed acquisitions, and any tax impact these items may cause. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures is included in this morning's press release. With that, I'll turn the call over to Ben.
Thank you, Brian, and good morning, everyone. I want to cover three things this morning. First, I'll walk you through the first quarter's results. Second, I'll discuss what we accomplished operationally across the business in Q1. Third, I'll talk about what's on deck because the opportunity in front of us is larger and more concrete than it has ever been. Our revenue for the first quarter increased 107% year-over-year to $3.5 million, which was in line with our internal expectations. Having said that, revenue for the quarter could have been even better were it not for the federal government shutdown, which temporarily delayed program activity across several of our defense contracts. That work was not canceled, the contracts remain in place. The work simply shifted in timing, it remains in backlog.
I want to be clear about this because I know it will come up when we get to questions. The shutdown created a revenue timing issue but not a demand issue. In short, the business performed as we internally expected. With respect to backlog, we entered Q1 with approximately $13.5 million, recognized $3.5 million in revenue during the quarter, and exited with approximately $17 million. We added approximately $7 million in new contract awards during the quarter, net of revenue recognized. That is a meaningful bookings number, and it gives you a sense of the activity level that doesn't show up in our reported revenues.
That backlog provides us with good visibility into the revenue ramp ahead, and we are reiterating our full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $24 million-$27 million, which implies approximately 357%-415% growth compared to 2025. We expect revenue to grow sequentially each quarter, with the growth rate accelerating in the second half of the year as backlog converts and new contracts are awarded. Our operating cash usage for the quarter came in modestly above our guided range of $8 million-$9 million on average per quarter. This was driven largely by three things. First, we began building inventory for BRAIN flight computer production for existing customers. That inventory build is not a cost issue. It is a working capital investment tied to near-term revenue, and we expect it to convert as we fulfill those orders.
Second, we accelerated some hiring based on the strength of new opportunities we saw in the first quarter. Finally, we incurred costs in our manufacturing business to develop and produce first articles for some of our more recent contracts but have not yet transitioned to full rate production in large part due to the government shutdown. Again, this is simply a timing issue. We expect quarterly cash usage to trend toward and remain within the previously guided range as revenue and margins ramp through the remainder of the year. Liquidity as of March 31st was $43.7 million, and we believe we remain well-positioned to execute our 2026 plan. Before I get into the operational highlights, I want to spend a few minutes on a topic that I think provides important context for everything else I'm going to say.
There remains a lot of confusion in our industry about what our technology actually does and how it is different from what other companies are offering. I published two white papers with my co-founder, Denis Garagić, during the quarter specifically to address that confusion, and I want to walk you through the core ideas. The first paper is about what we call Decentralized Embodied Collaborative Autonomy, or DECA for short. The central point of that paper is pretty straightforward. Most software platforms that people associate with modern artificial intelligence lives in massive centralized data centers. They are optimized for thinking, analyzing data, recognizing patterns, generating language, supporting human decision-making, and they are very good at that. The challenge is that machines operating dynamic real-world physical environments cannot rely on that kind of centralized cloud-based intelligence. A drone can't wait for a round-trip comms link to a data center.
A robot on a factory floor needs to react in fractions of a second. A missile system operating in a communications denied environment has to be self-sufficient. Nature actually solved this problem a long time ago. Think about how human intelligence works. At any moment, the human body is generating an enormous amount of sensory data from sight, sound, touch, and our other senses. Almost none of that ever reaches conscious thought. The vast majority of it is filtered, processed, and acted upon locally, automatically by fast systems that operate far below the level of conscious reasoning. You don't think about how to keep your balance when you walk. You do not reason through catching a falling object. Those things happen automatically, locally, in real-time. That architecture works because it has to work that way. There is no other way.
The physics, the physics does not allow for anything else in a world where reaction time and energy efficiency are constrained. Our technology is modeled on that same biological principle. Intelligence lives on the machine. Perception is filtered locally, not centrally. Decisions are made predictively rather than reactively. Machines collaborate through decentralized interactions rather than waiting for instructions from a centralized controller. That is the essence of DECA. That is what we have built into our products. The second paper applied to the SAE Automotive Autonomy Framework, developed by the auto industry for self-driving cars and applying that to drone autonomy and swarming. The reasons we did this is that there is enormous confusion in the market about what autonomy and swarming actually mean. We recognize that all software is not the same. It has different purposes, uses, capabilities, and compute requirements.
Similarly, not all autonomy is the same, and not all swarming is the same, but the same basic words are used to describe a myriad of different capabilities. We are changing that narrative. The paper walks through a clear taxonomy from basic remote control all the way up to what we call Oracle-Class Wolf Pack Swarming, which is decentralized, predictive, collaborative autonomy, where the swarm is not just reacting to what it observes in the moment, but anticipating what is likely to happen, positioning assets and allocating sensing resources in advance of events rather than in response to them. As far as I know, we are unique in having developed this capability, and we are actively working to bring it into the commercialized version of SwarmOS.
Our current SwarmOS product already operates at the Wolf Pack swarming level, which is genuinely different and more capable than what anyone else in this space is offering, regardless of how they describe their systems. Oracle Class is the next step, and we are further along toward it than any competitor we are aware of. I encourage investors to read both papers. They are on our website. They're not long, and I think they will give you a much clearer framework for understanding what we are building and why we believe it is different and highly valuable. Now, let me walk you through what actually happened in the business during the quarter. The most significant operational milestone of the quarter was a demonstration of true heterogeneous autonomous swarming.
We flew Gremlin-X, our reusable mini bomber UAV platform that was previously known as Project Banshee, running our IntelliSwarm product in a coordinated test swarm alongside multiple Red Cat platforms also running our SwarmOS autonomy software. I want to explain why this is different from what you typically hear described as drone swarming, because the distinction matters a great deal. A lot of what's called swarming in our industry is really pre-programmed flight coordination, where the only function that happens automatically is collision avoidance. This is akin to lane-changing sensors on a modern car. Otherwise, the drone follows a script. If you have seen drone light shows, that is a form of swarming, but every drone knows exactly where it is supposed to be at every moment because someone programmed it that way in advance. If something unexpected happens, the system does not know what to do.
What we demonstrated in Q1 is fundamentally different. Each drone running SwarmOS was perceiving its environment independently, reasoning independently about what to do, acting on its own judgment within the mission parameters, and collaborating with other platforms in real-time. There was no script. There was no centralized controller calling plays. It is the distributed adaptive intelligence that the Department of War says we need, but many thought was five to 10 years away at best. It is resilient in ways that pre-programmed systems simply are not, particularly in contested and communications-degraded environments. What makes that kind of distributed autonomous operation deployable at scale is the hardware underneath it. During the quarter, we progressed the development of our BRAIN flight computer variants, including a scaled-down version of the commercialized X2 variant called FC1.
BRAIN is the hardware that, when combined with SwarmOS, forms IntelliSwarm, a product deployable at scale across autonomous platforms. We recently received a $500,000 first order from a defense tech company for the BRAIN X2. We expanded the Draganfly partnership during the quarter by conducting a lab simulation of SwarmOS running on Draganfly's commercial defense platform. The next step is to integrate SwarmOS into their drones and run flight tests. Q1 was also the quarter we established a real presence in the space domain through two separate engagements. Through our HANGTIME award with the U.S. Air Force Research Lab, or AFRL, we will integrate SwarmOS with a space-based satellite sensor grid, enabling UAVs to develop even better situational awareness.
This is the first planned integration of our collaborative autonomy platform with space-based assets, demonstrating that our AI can leverage data from all domains, air, land, sea, and space, to improve mission effectiveness. Separately, we secured a contract with Portal Space Systems to support development of next-generation maneuverable spacecraft platforms, providing navigation, guidance, spacecraft modeling, embedded software, and avionics support. Portal is building spacecraft designed to reposition across orbits on compressed timelines with minimal ground intervention, a class of problem well-suited to our edge-native architecture. Looking ahead, we see opportunities to expand the partnership to include Palladyne's autonomy capabilities. Through Palladyne Aerospace and Defense, we secured a contract with a major U.S. defense prime contractor to deliver a mission-critical propulsion subsystem for an existing U.S. missile system program, and we expect that contract to contribute nearly $1 million in revenue this year.
This is a validation of our precision manufacturing capabilities and continues to expand our footprint in long-life cycle defense programs. This contract is an example of the government shutdown impacting our first quarter revenue as we are still waiting for the evaluation of our first article. On the industrial autonomy side of our business, we are in active deployment with our first IQ 2.0 customer, with the initial robot system integration currently underway. This is a non-contact surface treatment application, and it is a use case where IQ's combination of teleoperation and simplified path planning addresses a real industrial problem that no robot manufacturer or AI company currently solves with an off-the-shelf product. The customer's operations offer what I would describe as a potential land and expand opportunity. The initial deployment is one robot.
As the customer builds confidence in the system and experiences all that it can do, the natural progression is to add more robots and expand use cases. We think that is going to be the typical adoption pattern for IQ, and it is consistent with how enterprise automation technology tends to scale in industrial environments. Matt Muta transitioned from the board to an operating role during this past quarter, joining us as President of Commercial and Industrial. Matt has real experience building and scaling enterprise technology businesses, and his focus will be on converting the IQ pipeline into customers. We also received a new patent during the quarter supporting advanced swarming and decentralized autonomy architectures, and we filed two new patent applications related to our AI software products and technologies.
Our intellectual property portfolio is growing alongside our product portfolio, which is important for the long-term defensibility of what we are building. Next, I want to spend a few minutes on the broader context because the environment we are operating in has changed significantly, and I think it is worth being explicit about what that means for us. The Department of War is committing an unprecedented amount of resources to autonomous systems, collaborative swarming, counter-UAS, long-range precision fires, hypersonics, and missile defense. These are not abstract priorities. They are specific, trackable programs and budget lines that we are actively engaged with. The Defense Innovation Unit has seen its budget grow substantially and is funding programs specifically around multi-domain collaborative autonomy.
PAE Fires, the Army's portfolio acquisition executive responsible for artillery, missile defense, and sensor systems, oversees a set of programs spanning long-range precision weapons, hypersonic weapons, integrated air and missile defense, and counter-UAS, each of which represents a potential opportunity for our product and service lines. Golden Dome, the administration's flagship missile defense initiative, is one of the largest single defense investment priorities in a generation. We are pursuing opportunities across these and other programs and budget lines for SwarmOS, BRAIN, IntelliSwarm, Gremlin-X, SwarmStrike, and our engineering services and research and development groups, including the MACH-XL program. I want to be honest about this.
We are a relatively small company pursuing very large programs, not every pursuit is going to result in a win. The alignment between what the Department of War is prioritizing and what we have actually built has never been stronger, and this is the environment in which we are operating. One of the most meaningful near-term proof points for what I just described is our invitation to participate in Northern Strike 26-2. Northern Strike is a premier Department of War joint exercise hosted August 2nd-August 14th at the National All-Domain Warfighting Center at Camp Grayling, Michigan, which was designated as the Drone Dominance Range in the recently enacted National Defense Authorization Act. It is a joint national training capability accredited exercise involving more than 9,000 participants operating across contested multi-domain environments.
It serves as one of the most demanding operational validation environments available to emerging defense technology companies, as well as a recognized gateway to operational programs of record. We will be demonstrating SwarmOS on four distinct UAV platforms from four different OEMs, including our own Gremlin-X, with each drone collaborating autonomously and managed by a single operator by a single ATAK interface. The exercise will validate cross-platform swarm collaboration across multiple UAV classes and manufacturers, decentralized decision-making that is resilient to denied or degraded communications, real-time mission adaptation across dynamic conditions, and significantly reduced operator burden relative to conventional approaches. For us, Northern Strike is also a direct engagement with military end users and acquisition stakeholders who influence programs of record, which is exactly where we need to demonstrate this technology.
I also want to highlight something that happened just after quarter end, but that directly reflects the work we did throughout Q1 and before. GuideTech was selected as one of only 14 companies invited to participate in the AFRL Relentless Wolfpack Industry Day, hosted by the Air Force in collaboration with the Doolittle Institute on April 28 and 29. We were the only company in that group that most people would describe as a small cap. Our inclusion reflects the maturity of what we have actually built. GuideTech's submission combined SwarmStrike, our internally developed low-cost cruise missile, with SwarmOS to deliver a networked collaborative autonomous weapons solution.
We are targeting a cost of less than $150,000 per SwarmStrike, which means you can put 10 of them in the air for the price of a single conventional cruise missile, and then network them through SwarmOS to combine the effects on targets simultaneously. That cost per effect argument is precisely what the Department of War is focused on right now. SwarmStrike has completed its initial flight test, we are actively advancing the program through multiple government channels. Separately, I want to be clear, this is a distinct development, a different defense prime participating in the same Relentless Wolfpack cohort independently chose to incorporate SwarmOS into their own submission. They evaluated the platform on its merits and built it into their own hardware solution. We didn't arrange that.
That is the beginning of the platform adoption story we have been working toward, where SwarmOS becomes the autonomy layer that other companies build on, not just a product we sell directly. Taken together, Northern Strike and Relentless Wolfpack are not isolated events. They are evidence of something broader. The strategy is working. The products are being validated in real operational and acquisition contexts, and the market is beginning to recognize what we have built. That is what I want investors to take away from everything I have described today. Let me close by putting all of this in context of where we are in the progression. On our Q4 call, I described our strategy as crawl, walk, and run progression, not as separate strategies, but as stages of maturation.
I want to come back to that framework because I think it is the right lens for understanding Q1 and what comes after it. 2026 is the crawl year, as I said before. Crawl is about proving that the integrated model actually works at scale, converting backlog into revenue, executing live demos and trials, and advancing development stage assets towards defined milestones. Our wins in the first quarter achieved all of these objectives. $7 million in new contract awards, a successful swarm demonstration across multiple platforms from different manufacturers, two new space engagements, active deployment of our first commercial IQ customer, two white papers that established our intellectual framework on the public record, a Northern Strike invitation, a key patent issuance, and two new patent applications. That is a lot of activity that progresses us towards our objectives. In 2027, we will walk.
Walk is when proof becomes repeatable. We expect broader SwarmOS and IntelliSwarm integrations, more IQ wins, more BRAIN wins, and expanded defense programs with multiple product-based revenue streams running concurrently. That is when growth starts to become more systemic and less dependent on individual contract timing. We run. Run is where the full vision becomes operational across airspace and eventually land and sea, where IntelliSwarm enables larger and more complex distributed systems, where the autonomy and propulsion architectures we are developing today start to converge, and where the revenue is systemic rather than episodic. In conclusion, we know what we are building, we know why it is different, and we believe the work we are doing in 2026 is laying the foundation for everything that follows. With that, I will turn it over to Trevor.
Thanks, Ben. I'll focus on our first quarter results, liquidity position, and capital outlook. Revenue from the first quarter of 2026 increased 107% to $3.5 million compared to $1.7 million last year. The increase was due to the inclusion of post-acquisition revenues from the acquired companies. Within that $3.5 million product revenue, which today is mainly derived from our manufacturing business, was $1.7 million. Engineering services revenue, which includes GuideTech, was $1.8 million. We did not recognize meaningful product development contract revenue this quarter, but we expect this will pick up beginning in the second quarter as awarded business turns into signed contracts, as we execute on recently signed contracts, and as our existing contracts get extended through contract options.
This quarter represents the first full quarter of revenue flowing from the businesses acquired in November 2025. Cost of revenue for the quarter was $2.5 million compared to $0.4 million in the prior year period. Consolidated gross margin for the quarter was approximately 30%, which reflects the current revenue mix. Product margins in our manufacturing business were compressed by low capacity utilization and first article costs. As utilization improves and revenue ramps, we expect manufacturing product margins to improve accordingly. Our software products, when they begin generating meaningful revenue, are expected to carry the highest margins in the portfolio in line with typical software margin costs. The 30% consolidated figure is not representative of where we expect to be as revenue ramps and mix evolves.
Research and development expense was $3.9 million compared to $2.9 million last year, reflecting continued investment in autonomy software, avionics, and product development programs from both Palladyne and the acquired companies. As we've discussed in prior quarters, we are investing in Gremlin-X and SwarmStrike development, the former of which was a major focus during the quarter. We expect continued investment over the next couple of quarters to bring that platform closer to commercialization. General and administrative expense was $6.9 million compared to $4.2 million in the prior year period. This increase reflects the incremental scope of G&A and overhead functions from the acquired businesses, as well as select hiring to drive and support growth.
Sales and marketing expense was $1.9 million compared to $1.2 million last year, reflecting expanded marketing programs and business development efforts. Operating loss for the quarter was $11.9 million compared to $6.9 million in the prior year period. GAAP net loss for the first quarter was $12.6 million or $0.28 per share. On a non-GAAP basis, net loss for the first quarter was $10.2 million or $0.23 per share. The primary differences between GAAP and non-GAAP results were a $1 million non-cash loss related to change in fair value of warrant liabilities this quarter, driven largely by the change in the price of our common stock and public warrants.
In the year-ago quarter, we saw a $29.2 million non-cash gain for warrant liabilities, $1.2 million of stock-based compensation expense and a $150,000 loss related to change in our contingent consideration liability. We believe excluding these items provides a clearer view of our underlying operating performance and cash usage. Turning to liquidity, as of March 31st, we have $43.7 million in cash equivalents and marketable securities. During the quarter, we incurred minimal CapEx and used approximately $10.2 million in operating cash, partially offset by $6.5 million in net proceeds from our ATM program.
Backlog as of quarter end was $17 million, up from $13.5 million at the end of 2025, reflecting gross additions of $7 million, offset by this quarter's recognized revenue of $3.5 million. Ben has already announced that we are reiterating our full year 2026 revenue guidance of $24 million-$27 million. This outlook reflects the contribution of the businesses acquired in November, and we continue to expect organic growth across each part of the company on a full year comparable basis. We also continue to expect total CapEx and OpEx cash burn for the year to be in the range of $32 million-$36 million or approximately $8 million-$9 million per quarter on average for the remainder of the year.
The increase from our 2025 run rate reflects ongoing OpEx investments in SwarmOS and IQ, bringing acquired programs to operational readiness and the incremental headcount costs I mentioned earlier. This also includes CapEx for our manufacturing business and the acquisition of several third-party drones to validate SwarmOS's collaborative swarming capabilities on new platforms. Based on our liquidity position and expected backlog conversion, we believe we are well positioned to execute our 2026 plan. Operator, we're now ready to take questions.
Thank you. The floor is now open for questions. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad at this time. Our confirmation tone will indicate that your line is on the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment it may be necessary to pick up the handset before pressing the star keys. Again, that star one to register question at this time. Our first question is coming from Michael Latimore of Northland Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Great. Yeah. You're asking to start the year here. Ben, I think you mentioned, I just want to clarify, that a defense prime is integrated SwarmOS. I want to just clarify you said that. If so, can you elaborate a little bit? Are you exclusive? You know, is this related to UAVs or multi-domain? Any particular end programs you're dealing with?
They have not actually done the integration yet. What I said was, the key takeaway is that on a major defense program where they are trying to become the prime on a contract award, they have included our autonomy software as an important element of that submission. If they wind up winning that contract, we would wind up being a subcontractor to that prime. It does relate to machines that are flying as opposed to something that's in space or in, you know, on the sea or on land. It is an aeronautical type of application.
Great. Okay. Interesting. Okay. Then, maybe talk a little bit about just your manufacturing operations. You know, what is the capacity utilization now? Where might that go by year-end?
Right now, we think that we are roughly stated around 30% of our total utilization capability. We have a lot of excess capacity that is not going to, you know, be able to produce significant more revenues and increase our margins. As Trevor referenced, we don't have to do a lot more in terms of additional investment to be able to drive a lot more revenue through those production facilities.
Great. Just last time, gross margin. It sort of sound like you feel like gross margin probably improves by year-end, or is that the takeaway?
No question. When you know, when you have these new startup defense contracts where we're producing, you know, expecting to produce large volumes of particular components for aircraft and missile systems, one of the important milestones to unlock go forward revenue is to produce a first article that gets evaluated for tolerance and precision, et cetera. We have to get the government to approve that first article, then we can open up the gates on the high volume manufacturing. That has been delayed on some of our key contracts. When you look at our margins, as Trevor referenced, we have all of the cost incurred to develop that first article, but none of the revenue that associates with it.
When you look at our overall margins across manufacturing, it looks depressed this quarter because of that investment in getting to first article.
Yeah. Yeah. Okay. Very good. Thanks.
Thanks, Michael.
Thank you. The next question is coming from Greg Konrad of Jefferies. Please go ahead.
Good morning.
Morning, Greg.
Maybe just to go back to a couple of things that you talked about. Just on the SwarmOS, I mean, you talked about that being on, you know, four platforms and kind of laid out the crawl walk scenario for the next two years. Can you maybe talk about just kind of next steps? And if you can just remind us on when you think about, like, autonomy software, like what is the monetization? How do you get paid, and how we think about that kind of going forward?
Sure. I'm really delighted with the progress that we've had. When you and I have talked before, we've talked about the fact that our primary goal for 2026 is to get different customers within the Pentagon to be able to understand that this technology exists, that it works, that it's not just on PowerPoint, and how differentiated it is from everything else that people talk about in terms of swarming and autonomy. I think we're hitting all the marks on that, and frankly, we're doing it even earlier in the year than I had expected us to do. I think we're seeing great traction.
We're actually out on an exercise right now, where we are operating in a real battlefield environment, and soldiers are telling us that this should be the standard platform going forward for collaborative autonomy and swarming. We're getting great feedback. It's going really well. In terms of what our business model looks like, our expectation and what we've talked with government customers about is that our software will cost the government about 10% of the overall UAV platform cost. If we're talking about a $40,000 drone, our cost will be $4,000. If we're talking about a $1 million drone, the cost for our software will be $100,000. If you're talking about a $4,000 drone, the cost will be $400.
That makes sense to the government, and it makes sense to us because when you talk about these larger, more exquisite drones that cost more, they have more sensor capabilities on them. They have longer duration in the air. They are far more capable. The more capable the platform, the more value and utility our software brings to the battlefield. It is a really a value pricing proposition. It is a 1-time upfront license fee. Most drones aren't expected to survive in the battlefield for longer than a year. You know, this is almost like a razor blade business in that we're continually selling more software on more drones. They get used, they get expended, the government buys more of them.
Then just on the full year guidance, I mean, you called out some of the issues, including the government shutdown in Q1 and kind of how you expect that to ramp through the year. Yeah, thinking about like backlog and, you know, what's maybe not in backlog with expected awards, I mean, how do you think about visibility into year-end and some of the expected awards? How much is, you know, competitive versus just follow-ons and just kind of how you think about visibility for the rest of the year?
When you take a look at the $7 million of new contracts in the first quarter, obviously, if we just did that every quarter and if all of the revenue was coming in on kind of a very scheduled basis, four quarters times $7 million, you get $28 million. We believe that every quarter will increase and that, you know, consistent with our internal plan, we knew first quarter was going to be lower. We expect second quarter to be larger than first and so on and so forth throughout the rest of the year as we continue to build the business. We executed on all three aspects of the business, the software side, the manufacturing side, the engineering services side, the drone hardware side included in that.
We believe that with what we have in backlog and with the go-gets that we have that are in the pipeline, we are highly confident at this point, with where we with being able to hit that $24 million-$27 million guidance.
Maybe just last one for me. I mean, you called out the award with Portal. How do you think about the space opportunity in general? I mean, how is that emerging and just kind of how you're thinking about that going forward?
You know, I think volume in space is going to be far more limited than what we look at terrestrially, but there's obviously much larger dollars on individual discrete efforts going into it. I think it is a, it is a very potentially large opportunity set for us, potentially lucrative. But to be candid, it is an area that we see as a kind of a growth opportunity for us, but not something that we're putting anywhere near the kind of investment of effort and resources into the way we are on kind of terrestrial UAV efforts. You know, we are taking those opportunity sets and pursuing them on a more discreet basis.
I'd say that's more of a rifle shot approach, whereas what we're doing with trying to get our software anywhere and everywhere that it can be relevant on UAVs, that's more of a scattergun or a shotgun approach. In both cases, I think we're applying the appropriate amount of resources to realize the opportunity. I think space can be big. I think it will be longer duration to get to big than it is near term the way we are with terrestrial drones.
All right. Thank you.
Thank you.
Thank you. Our next question is coming from Max Michaelis of Lake Street Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my question. First one, just wanna go back to Draganfly. You guys finished up a few successful flight simulations in the quarter. I think you mentioned you're gonna be moving on to live flight test. Kind of help us out with sort of a timeline, what it looks like in 2026, when you guys are gonna start these flight tests and kind of when this becomes more of a, I guess not meaningful partnership, but when does this start to kind of turn into some revenue?
We're expecting to have some of our demonstrations on the Draganfly platform, I think starting in this current quarter, in the second quarter. Certainly, I know we've got some planned for the third quarter where we're actually out with the government customers. I mean, you know the drill with Defense contract. You have to show them that it works, that it exists. They then decide to go allocate dollars towards it. You negotiate a contract, and you get an award. You know, I can't give you a prediction on when that specific partnership results in revenue for us and Draganfly.
What I can tell you is our partnership with them is very important because they are one of the core platforms that we've identified has a unique capability set that, with our software on it, can show increased value to the government customer. It's an important partnership for us, and we expect to be getting that integration done in this quarter, the second quarter, and doing demonstrations for the government as soon as that integration is done.
Okay. Last one for me. I don't think anybody's touched on sort of the commercial side of the business with the IQ 2.0. When you talk about this customer that you're actively deploying with, I mean, I'm assuming this initial deployment that you have a few systems in there, but does this customer have sort of the capacity to bring on to become a meaningful customer sometime in the future?
The important thing about this customer is. Well, yes, to answer your question, they have the ability to scale to more machines with our software on it once they become, you know, delighted with what they see from the first installation. More importantly is this is the first time that we've had an active partnership with systems integrator, an indirect channel partner, if you will. I mentioned on our prior call last quarter that one of the things we needed to figure out was how we create an attractive economic value proposition, both for ourselves, for our end customer, but also for the systems integrator, because there are, you know, as you know, there are some 1,800 systems integrators and maybe even more at this point across the U.S.
Getting them to be out selling for us was kind of a holy grail moment for us, and that happened in the first quarter. We've got this partnership now with the first systems integrator. We've got several other discussions underway where we've been able to figure out how we talk about this product and the economic opportunity associated with it in a way that works for both the systems integrator and for us and the end customer. The reason that's important is systems integrators obviously deal with a lot of different customers, and they can be an indirect channel to get our message out there more broadly. That's what we're really excited about. Yes, the first deployment is going very well. I mentioned in my prepared remarks that it is about surface preparation.
Think about doing things like sandblasting, sanding, grinding, those kinds of applications, even paint application on surfaces. Those are all the kinds of jobs that have historically required a human to do the job because of the variability associated with that kind of task. We're showing the end user and the systems integrator how it can be done now with a robot on an automated basis using our IQ 2.0 software.
Awesome. Thanks, guys.
Thank you.
Thank you. The next question is coming from Brian Kinstlinger of Alliance Global Partners. Please go ahead.
Great. Thanks for taking my question. Can you quantify how much revenue was delayed due to the government shutdown? How would you characterize the procurement environment now? Can you quantify TCV or bids outstanding in pipeline?
I can't quantify what was the amount associated with the delay because it's frankly difficult, Brian, to know had we gotten first articles approved, how much would have actually been taken in the quarter based on when that approval had happened. I can't really quantify that. Again, I'll tell you, reiterate that even with the government shutdown, we actually achieved what our internal projections called for. I'd ask you to take that plus the guidance that we've given and assume we're going to ramp over the remaining three quarters to achieve what we expect to achieve. In terms of the pipeline, I can't quantify pipeline. I mean, we obviously have internal numbers, but I don't wanna throw that out there.
The thing that we feel very solid about is backlog, which means it's contractually committed. I don't wanna speculate beyond what's contractually committed.
Well, in one of the prior questions, you talked about needing something like $7 million of bookings per quarter. Maybe talk about what the sales cycle generally you're seeing right now. Is it months? Is it things you've been bidding on for a very long time? Just kinda help us understand.
Yeah.
What that sales cycle looks like.
Yeah, sure. You know, on the software side, we're seeing stuff that we had expected was a 12 to 18-month sales cycle, and we're seeing things now coming in in less than six weeks. That might be an anomaly. It might just be the particular circumstances of those handful of different engagements that we've had. We've landed some things that frankly surprised us with how quickly they came in. There's some other opportunities that we've been picking away at for, you know, 12 months now, and they still haven't come to fruition.
I think the thing that is encouraging to me, though, without kind of changing my own expectations about the sales cycle, is that we are definitely, particularly on the defense side, seeing money come in faster than or at least contracts come in faster than what we would have expected, you know, three, four months ago. I think it's very, very bullish. It doesn't have to take as long as it has historically taken. You know, stay tuned. We'll hopefully be announcing some additional contract wins that have come in faster than what we would have expected.
Great. Can you provide an update on the Red Cat partnership testing and integration? I think last quarter it sounded like you were very close to signing a production agreement, we didn't hear anything about that on this call. I think I didn't.
We have a solid partnership with them. We have, I think we inked the new expanded partnership agreement, and we are out doing demonstrations with their drones. In some instances, Brian, those demonstrations are being done jointly with the Red Cat team. In other cases, we take their drones out and, you know, we are demonstrating our software on their drones, and their team isn't necessarily needed to be there. The Red Cat drones are a kind of a cornerstone of the demonstrations that we're doing for government customers. Sometimes, as I said, it's in collaboration, and sometimes it's just we've been invited to something and we go do it.
Just to be clear, the economics are in place and the contracts in place for that [crosstalk].
Yes.
That determines your piece of the Red Cat sale, and you can go to market now?
That's correct.
Okay. Lastly, can you tell us how many shares did you sell in the ATM in the first quarter? Looks like you sold, you raised $6.5 million. What was the average price of that, or what were the shares?
Trevor, do you have that information?
Yeah. We sold just under 890,000 shares. If you do the math, it ends up being about $7.35 a share.
Great. Thanks so much, guys.
Thanks, Brian.
Thank you. Once again, that's star one if you have any questions at this time. We're showing no additional phone questions at this time.
We've got some questions from online. First one, there have been numerous expanded contracts with Air Force and other Department of War initiatives. These have been smaller scale thus far. How is the company positioning at this time to ramp production if a large purchase order is received?
Yeah, I think that the correct way to characterize the contracts that we're seeing with DoD, both directly and through primes is they start small, and then we do everything we can to try and expand them. The key is getting those first contracts inked and demonstrating what we can do and then having it grow from there. The question about ability to scale, I'll take that in two different parts. One is on the software side. Software is easy to scale. You know, we've got the code. The product is locked, and it's just about pushing the software onto whatever hardware platform is being used. And we can do that quickly. There's a lot of opportunity to scale the software side.
Responding to the manufacturing side of the business, I think in response to a question I was asked earlier, we're only at about 30% capacity on our manufacturing facilities, so there's a lot of room to scale there. We rely on a lot of automation and advanced technologies in that business, so it does not require a lot of ramp-up of human personnel to be able to leverage that capacity that we have that isn't being used at the moment. I think we've got a ton of capacity without additional cost that gets incurred to be able to ramp up revenues significantly. We feel like we're in very good shape on that front.
Next question, for IQ 2.0, can you help us understand what's behind the customer and the land and expand opportunity? In general, you know, how many qualified opportunities or kind of what is the pipeline sit at today for this product? You know, how are some of those conversations progressing?
The, I think I mentioned before that the surface prep use case is what this first customer and the systems integrator is focused on. There is a massive amount of market need for automating that kind of task, whether you're talking about stripping corrosion or paint off of a part, whether you're talking about applying new surface treatment to the part to be ready for delivery to an end customer, whether it's painting or other types of prep. This is historically an area that has been very labor-intensive. You know, what we're seeing is that that is a greenfield opportunity for automation and just a tremendous amount of interest and therefore, demand in what we're doing.
The pipeline, not backlog, but pipeline is filled with dozens of conversations that we are having. Again, we believe that on the IQ side of our house, historically it has been a 12-to-18-month sales process. When I say historically, that's what we've historically thought it would be. The one that we're deploying now, I think came together in about eight weeks, so that's on the short side. If our 12-to-18-month expectation is correct, and we just launched IQ 2.0 at the beginning of this year, we got some ground to cover. Our expectations are modest for 2026. That's part of the crawl, walk, run approach that we've talked about. We could be pleasantly surprised.
I hope we're pleasantly surprised. We'll see more like this first one that come in shorter than the 12-to-18-month timeframe.
Okay. Next question, this kind of relates more to some of the things you said in your white papers. Recently, there was a Bloomberg article stating that Google is dropping out of the $100 million Pentagon prize challenge to create tech for voice-controlled autonomous drone swarms. The article says OpenAI, Palantir, and xAI are still competing. There's no mention of Palladyne for SwarmOS. Does this mean others have equally as good swarming technology and don't have to use Palladyne, or should we be expecting some future growth as those companies need our SwarmOS?
I think it's the latter. Let's break this down. The ability to give voice commands to a drone, while that certainly is easier than using joysticks, it is still a one soldier to one drone operating environment, and there's nothing collaborative about it between drones, and there's nothing swarming about it. It certainly makes giving direction and manually managing multiple drones easier if you can just have a soldier say, "Do X, Y, or Z," without having to have your fingers and thumbs on joysticks and controllers. That's like a Band-Aid on the problem.
The great part about that program is the Pentagon is saying, "Hey, we wanna put money into and resources into trying to make this ease of operation a real focus of ours." They wanna lighten the cognitive load on the operator. That's all great tailwinds for us because we have the ultimate solution to that. It's not about I mean, whether you're typing in a command or giving a verbal command, there's certainly some efficiency there, but that's just like step one. We're at step five or 10 already, where we are able to very, very easily, with a very small amount of input, get a whole swarm of drones working collaboratively to achieve an objective or a mission.
I think that back to the question, we are the endpoint that that program ultimately wants to get to, and they're kind of looking at stopgap measures. That, that's very exciting to us.
That concludes the question-and-answer session from online. Operator, we can close out.
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this brings us to the end of today's teleconference. We would like to thank you for your participation and interest in Palladyne AI. You may disconnect your lines or log off the webcast at this time, and enjoy the rest of your day.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-04Palladyne AI Corp (PDYN) Q1 2026 Earnings Report Preview: What To Expect
GuruFocus.com
Palladyne AI Corp (PDYN) Q1 2026 Earnings Report Preview: What To Expect
This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Palladyne AI Corp (NASDAQ:PDYN) is set to release its Q1 2026 earnings on May 5, 2026. The consensus estimate for Q1 2026 revenue is $0.00 billion, and the earnings are expected to come in at -$0.17 per share. The full year 2026's revenue is expected to be $0.03 billion and the earnings are expected to be -$0.62 per share. More detailed estimate data can be found on the Forecast page. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 7 Warning Signs with PDYN. Is PDYN fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Revenue estimates for Palladyne AI Corp (NASDAQ:PDYN) have increased from $0.02 billion to $0.03 billion for the full year 2026 and increased from $0.03 billion to $0.04 billion for 2027 over the past 90 days. Earnings estimates for Palladyne AI Corp (NASDAQ:PDYN) have declined from -$0.41 per share to -$0.62 per share for the full year 2026 and declined from -$0.21 per share to -$0.52 per share for 2027 over the past 90 days. In the previous quarter of 2025-12-31, Palladyne AI Corp's (NASDAQ:PDYN) actual revenue was $0.00 billion, which beat analysts' revenue expectations of $0.00 billion by 105.32%. Palladyne AI Corp's (NASDAQ:PDYN) actual earnings were -$0.04 per share, which beat analysts' earnings expectations of -$0.09 per share by 55.56%. After releasing the results, Palladyne AI Corp (NASDAQ:PDYN) was up by 34.05% in one day. Based on the one-year price targets offered by 3 analysts, the average target price for Palladyne AI Corp (NASDAQ:PDYN) is $11.67 with a high estimate of $14.00 and a low estimate of $10.00. The average target implies an upside of 84.02% from the current price of $6.34. Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for Palladyne AI Corp (NASDAQ:PDYN) in one year is $0.63, suggesting a downside of -90.06% from the current price of $6.34. Based on the consensus recommendation from 4 brokerage firms, Palladyne AI Corp's (NASDAQ:PDYN) average brokerage recommendation is currently 2.3, indicating an "Outperform" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-23Palladyne AI Announces First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results Conference Call and Webcast
Business Wire
Palladyne AI Announces First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results Conference Call and Webcast
SALT LAKE CITY, April 22, 2026--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Palladyne AI Corp. (NASDAQ: PDYN and PDYNW) ("Palladyne AI"), a U.S.-based defense and industrial technology company delivering embodied AI-powered collaborative autonomy solutions, advanced avionics, precision-manufactured components, UAVs and advanced aerospace engineering services, today announced it will host a conference call on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time to discuss its financial and operational results for its first quarter ended March 31, 2025. About Palladyne AI Palladyne AI is a U.S.-based technology company developing patented embodied artificial intelligence, collaborative autonomy solutions, advanced avionics, autonomous systems, advanced UAV engineering services, and precision-manufactured components for defense and industrial markets. Palladyne AI delivers secure, American-developed and operated platforms designed to meet the stringent requirements of U.S. government and public-sector customers, including data sovereignty, security, and compliance. Palladyne AI’s embodied AI is designed to operate in complex, contested, and high-risk environments, enabling distributed tasking, human-on-the-loop decision-making, degraded-communications resilience, and multi-domain coordination. Its platform-agnostic autonomy stack combines real-time sensor fusion, adaptive AI models, and edge-native orchestration—without vendor lock-in—to support autonomous and collaborative systems across air, ground, maritime, and industrial domains where performance, resilience, and trust are paramount. For more information about Palladyne AI, including GuideTech and Palladyne Defense, please visit www.palladyneai.com. View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260422202926/en/ Contacts Palladyne AI Investor Contact: Brian S. Siegel, IRC®, M.B.A. Senior Managing Director Hayden IR - Chicago (346) 396-8696 (o) [email protected] [email protected] Palladyne AI Press Contact: Heath Meyer (858) 768-1527 [email protected]
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-03-10A Look At Palladyne AI (PDYN) Valuation After Q4 Results And Reaffirmed 2026 Growth Outlook
Simply Wall St.
A Look At Palladyne AI (PDYN) Valuation After Q4 Results And Reaffirmed 2026 Growth Outlook
Track your investments for FREE with Simply Wall St, the portfolio command center trusted by over 7 million individual investors worldwide. Palladyne AI Corp (PDYN) has drawn fresh attention after releasing its fourth quarter and full year 2025 results, along with a reiterated 2026 revenue outlook that points to a very large step up from its 2025 base. See our latest analysis for Palladyne AI. The latest earnings release and reiterated 2026 guidance arrived after a sharp run, with a 90 day share price return of 60.64% and year to date share price return of 80.72%. The 3 year total shareholder return of 188.60% highlights how momentum has been building over a longer stretch, despite a weaker 5 year total shareholder return. If Palladyne AI has you looking more closely at robotics and automation trends, it could be worth scanning our list of 29 robotics and automation stocks as potential next ideas to research. With the share price already up sharply and the last close sitting only around 6% below one analyst target, the key question now is whether Palladyne AI is still mispriced, or if the market is already baking in that 2026 growth. With Palladyne AI last closing at $8.53 against a most followed fair value of $9.00, the current price sits slightly below that narrative anchor. Read the complete narrative. To see what sits behind that earnings story and recurring software angle, including the expected revenue ramp and margin shift that support the $9.00 fair value, the full narrative lays out those building blocks in detail. Result: Fair Value of $9.00 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this hinges on timely defense program milestones and smoother commercialization of IQ, both of which could slip and challenge the 2026 and 2028 narrative assumptions. Find out about the key risks to this Palladyne AI narrative. While the most followed narrative points to a small 5.2% undervaluation, the current P/E of 39.5x looks steep compared with a fair ratio of 4.8x, the US Machinery average of 27x and the peer average of 32.5x, which suggests there may be less margin for error if expectations wobble. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. If the mix of enthusiasm and caution here feels familiar, now is a good time to check the numbers yourself and firm up your st...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-03-06Palladyne AI Corp (PDYN) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Surging Revenue and Strategic Growth ...
GuruFocus.com
Palladyne AI Corp (PDYN) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Surging Revenue and Strategic Growth ...
This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Revenue (Q4 2025): $1.7 million, up 118% from $0.8 million in Q4 2024. Cost of Revenue (Q4 2025): $1.4 million, compared to $0.6 million in Q4 2024. Research and Development Expense (Q4 2025): $3.8 million, up from $2.6 million in Q4 2024. General and Administrative Expense (Q4 2025): $4.7 million, compared to $3.5 million in Q4 2024. Sales and Marketing Expense (Q4 2025): $1 million, up from $0.6 million in Q4 2024. Operating Loss (Q4 2025): $9.3 million, compared to $6.5 million in Q4 2024. GAAP Net Loss (Q4 2025): $1.5 million or $0.04 per share. Non-GAAP Net Loss (Q4 2025): $6.9 million or $0.16 per share. Cash, Cash Equivalents, and Marketable Securities (End of 2025): Approximately $47 million. Backlog (End of 2025): $13.5 million, increased to nearly $18 million midway through Q1 2026. 2026 Revenue Guidance: $24 million to $27 million. Quarterly Operating Cash Usage (2026): Expected to be approximately $8 million to $9 million. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 2 Warning Signs with PDYN. Is PDYN fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: March 05, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Palladyne AI Corp (NASDAQ:PDYN) reiterated its 2026 revenue guidance of $24 million to $27 million, which is 4 to 5 times its 2025 revenue. The company's backlog increased from $13.5 million at the end of 2025 to nearly $18 million midway through the first quarter of 2026. Palladyne AI Corp successfully demonstrated a cross-platform coordinated swarm using IntelliSwarm on Gremlin-X and SwarmOS on Red Cat drones. The company secured a contract for a missile propulsion subsystem from a major defense prime customer, validating its propulsion, engineering, and manufacturing capabilities. Palladyne AI Corp expanded its AI-related patent portfolio and submitted applications for four new patents related to its AI products and technologies. Operating loss for the fourth quarter of 2025 was $9.3 million, compared to $6.5 million in the prior year period. The company reported a GAAP net loss for the fourth quarter of $1.5 million or $0.04 per share. Palladyne AI Corp's research and development expenses increased to $3.8 million from $2.6 million last year, reflecting continued investment in autonomy software and product development. General a...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-03-05Palladyne AI Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results and Reiterates 2026 Revenue Guidance of $24 to $27 Million
Business Wire
Palladyne AI Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results and Reiterates 2026 Revenue Guidance of $24 to $27 Million
2026 revenue guidance implies 357% to 415% year-over-year growth, with backlog increasing more than 30% since year-end to nearly $18 million midway through the first quarter 2025 culminated in structural repositioning following November acquisitions Launch of Palladyne Defense and commercialization of Palladyne IQ 2.0 position Company for execution in 2026 SALT LAKE CITY, March 05, 2026--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Palladyne AI Corp. (NASDAQ: PDYN and PDYNW) ("Palladyne AI"), a U.S.-based defense and industrial technology company delivering embodied AI-powered collaborative autonomy solutions, advanced avionics, precision-manufactured components, UAVs, and advanced aerospace engineering services, today announced financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025. Ben Wolff, President and Chief Executive Officer of Palladyne AI, commented: "2025 was a year of operational validation that culminated in structural transformation. In November, we completed the acquisitions of GuideTech, Warnke Precision Machining and MKR Fabricators and launched Palladyne Defense. That repositioning expanded our capabilities beyond autonomy software to include advanced avionics, engineering services, proprietary airframe and missile development and certified U.S.-based manufacturing. We exited 2025 as a fundamentally different company, with expanded backlog, deeper defense engagement and an integrated autonomy-to-manufacturing stack aligned with evolving Department of War priorities. "Over the past few months, we have moved decisively to execute across the defense and commercial parts of our business. We commercially released Palladyne IQ 2.0, integrating feedback from potential customers into its development, and recently signed our first customer for the product. We also introduced IntelliSwarm, integrating SwarmOS into the BRAIN X2 flight module, and demonstrated collaborative autonomy between our recently branded Gremlin-X™ (formerly Project Banshee) platform running IntelliSwarm and multiple Red Cat platforms operating with SwarmOS, validating distributed, multi-platform collaboration in real-world environments. "We also established our presence in the space domain. Through our satellite-related development work with the Air Force Research Laboratory, we are extending SwarmOS capabilities to integrate communications with space-based systems. Separately, our...
TranscriptFY2025 Q42026-03-05FY2025 Q4 earnings call transcript
Earnings source - 48 paragraphs
FY2025 Q4 earnings call transcript
Greetings, and welcome to the Palladyne AI Corp. Fourth Quarter and Year-End 2025 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to your host, Brian Siegel, Investor Relations. Thank you. You may begin.
Good morning, and welcome to Palladyne AI Corp.’s fourth quarter and full-year 2025 earnings conference call. Joining me on the call today are Benjamin Wolff, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Trevor Thatcher, Chief Financial Officer. Earlier this morning, Palladyne AI Corp. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended 12/31/2025, along with updated commentary regarding backlog and reiterated 2026 revenue guidance. A copy of that release, along with the accompanying financial tables, is available on the investor relations section on Palladyne AI Corp.’s website. Today’s call will include prepared remarks from Benjamin and Trevor, followed by a question-and-answer session. During today’s call, management will make forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. These statements include, but are not limited to, statements regarding Palladyne AI Corp.’s 2026 revenue guidance, expected backlog conversion, anticipated quarterly operating cash usage, product development milestones, commercialization timelines, defense program activity, potential customer adoption, market opportunities, and future strategic positioning across air, space, land, and maritime domains. Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, assumptions, and beliefs, and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied. These risks and uncertainties include, among others, Palladyne AI Corp.’s ability to execute on development programs, convert backlog into revenue, scale production, manage operating expenses, integrate acquired businesses, secure additional contracts, maintain liquidity, and navigate evolving defense and commercial market conditions. These and other risk factors are described in detail in Palladyne AI Corp.’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including its annual report on Form 10-Ks and subsequent filings. Palladyne AI Corp. undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements except as required by law. In addition, during this call, management will reference certain non-GAAP financial measures, which adjust for acquisition-related expenses, stock compensation, non-cash warrant income or expense that are marked to market quarterly based on changes in the company’s stock price, and a tax benefit related to an acquisition. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures is included in this morning’s press release. I will now turn the call over to Benjamin.
Thank you, Brian, and good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us. This is our first earnings call since I returned to the company two years ago, and only our second press earnings release. In mid-January, we provided formal revenue guidance for the first time. Today, we are reiterating 2026 revenue guidance of $24 million to $27 million. That is roughly four to five times our 2025 revenue. Additionally, backlog has already increased from approximately $13.5 million at the end of 2025 to nearly $18 million midway through the first quarter. We believe 2026 will be the first full year where the structural transformation we completed in November translates into measurable revenue growth. To understand why, it helps to step back and look at what we built in 2025. We think about 2025 in two phases. The first phase was validation. In the first three quarters, we were upgrading Palladyne IQ. We integrated feedback from the U.S. Air Force, potential Fortune 100 customers, and others who were using and gaining experience with our first IQ release. That work clarified where our commercial product needed improvement, and it directly shaped IQ 2.0, which we completed and started showing to customers in January. That resulted in our first signed commercial IQ customer contract a couple of weeks ago. At the same time, we advanced our collaborative autonomous drone product Palladyne Pilot, and created a swarming variant branded SwarmOS, for defense and national security. We signed MOUs with Red Cat and Draganfly, and expanded capabilities through military development contracts. We also strengthened the balance sheet, added senior military leadership to our board, and expanded our AI-related patent portfolio. Then in November, the second phase began: transformation. We acquired GuideTech, Warnkee Precision Machining, and MKR Fabricators. We launched Palladyne Defense. We added avionics design and engineering, proprietary UAV and missile systems, precision components, certified U.S.-based manufacturing, and backlog. We moved from being primarily a development-stage AI company to a vertically integrated embodied AI-centric industrial and defense platform company generating meaningful revenues. In short, we exited 2025 fundamentally different. 2026 will be the first full year of operations as a vertically integrated embodied AI-centric industrial and defense company. Now, before I talk about execution, I want to address something that underpins everything we are doing: how our AI is fundamentally different. This week, my cofounder, Doctor Garajic, and I published a white paper that makes a simple point about our biologically inspired AI architecture. Most AI platforms live in massive centralized data centers, taking up enormous real estate and consuming tremendous amounts of power. They are, in a nutshell, built to think. They analyze. They recommend. They identify patterns and connect dots that we humans could never do on our own. These AI platforms are basically Google search on steroids. But machines—think of robots and drones—operating in dynamic real-world environments cannot rely on centralized intelligence that lives in the cloud for minute-by-minute instruction. Machines in the real world need to react instantly, often in a split second, the way we humans do. They cannot deal with communications latency or worse, communication gaps or failures. Nor is it economical to have machines continuously connected to the cloud. So the answer is to put the intelligence on the machine itself, enabling these machines to function more similarly to the way we humans do. Nature got it right. The human nervous system does not ask permission for every movement. It reacts at the edge. It coordinates locally. It adapts in real time. It keeps functioning when communication is degraded. That biological model is the inspiration for the architecture we have built into our AI software products. Our autonomy lives at the edge. It operates on the machine. It collaborates across machines. It does not depend on instructions from a centralized set of algorithms that live in the cloud. Our white paper is now available on our website and on LinkedIn. I encourage you to spend a few minutes reading it, and feel free to drop me a note if you would like to discuss it further. SwarmOS enables decentralized, edge-based distributed collaboration. IntelliSwarm combines SwarmOS with our Brain avionics platform to deliver a fully integrated hardware-and-software collaborative AI stack for drones and missiles. This is not simply cloud-based AI layered onto hardware. In particular, for defense applications, that distinction is a critical differentiator in contested environments and multi-domain operations. And this capability is the reason we were able to execute across air today and soon space as well. Since closing the acquisitions, we have moved with focus. On the commercial side, Matt Muda joined us from our Board of Directors to lead our commercial and industrial business. We released IQ 2.0 and signed our first customer through a systems integration partner, deploying IQ for robotic surface preparation. While this deal is not financially material, it is strategically important. On the defense side, we introduced IntelliSwarm, integrating SwarmOS into BrainX2. We also branded Project Banshee as Gremlin X and advanced the development of this mini-bomber drone concept. We successfully demonstrated a cross-platform coordinated swarm using IntelliSwarm on Gremlin X and SwarmOS on Red Cat drones. This is not the kind of preprogrammed drone swarms everyone else talks about. Rather, this is true autonomous swarming, where each drone perceives, reasons, and acts, and most importantly, collaborates. I am often asked about the distinction between automation and autonomy, since many people think these words are interchangeable. They are not. Automation is preprogrammed, routinized action. With automation, all of the decisions were made in advance by the humans who programmed the machine. If the machine comes across something it was not programmed for, it is stuck, dead in the water, until a human gets it back on track. With autonomy, the machine makes decisions. Yes, humans can still make decisions too, but that is not the definition of autonomy. What we do is autonomy, not automation. There is similar confusion about use of the word “swarm” or “swarming” in the context of drones. Just like there are many different levels of autonomy for self-driving cars, the same is true for drones. Those cool drone light shows with thousands of drones creating pretty images in the sky are a form of swarming. But they are preprogrammed, automated swarms with no need or ability to deviate from the choreographed plan. Then there is the limited autonomy that many UAV companies tout today, which enables drones to automatically prevent collisions with one another when flying in close proximity. That is an important, albeit rudimentary, form of autonomy. Next, there is full autonomous swarming, which the U.S. military refers to as wolf pack swarming. Wolf pack swarming takes the capability up a notch. This is where an advanced, collaborative, and hierarchical swarm of drones operates as a cohesive unit with specialized distributed roles, mimicking the behavior of wolves to hunt, detect, and destroy targets while at the same time avoiding each other and obstacles. Finally, there is SwarmOS from Palladyne AI Corp. SwarmOS delivers wolf pack swarming, but significantly upgraded with the closest thing there is to artificial instinct and intuition. It adds game theory optimization to predict intent and adapt to friendly and hostile moves, maximizing target coverage for intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance, and mission effectiveness when action is required. These are significant, nontrivial distinctions. As you have probably noticed, there is a ton of confusion among OEMs, customers, and investors on this very important point. Not all swarming is the same. Not all AI is the same. Not all software is the same. Some is more capable than others. We believe SwarmOS is truly unique, and exactly what the Department of War needs. My life would be a lot easier if people in our industry would simply get the words right. So my goal today is to make sure the investment community can sift through the noise and truly understand the difference. As a company, our broader mission is to ensure that our differentiated capabilities are known and understood throughout the U.S. government and military, as well as with partners and defense contractors. We are also extending the same distributed autonomy model into the space domain. Through development work with the Air Force Research Lab, we are expanding SwarmOS to incorporate satellites as another source of sensor data—another node on our distributed information network, if you will—that can add to the knowledge used by our embodied AI to enhance mission effectiveness. Separately, we expanded our relationship with Portal Space Systems, advancing navigation, guidance, spacecraft modeling, embedded software, and avionics support for its next-generation space logistics platforms. Our expanded relationship with Portal strengthens our propulsion presence in space today. Over time, propulsion and autonomy architectures naturally intersect, which provides additional future opportunities. Together, these efforts position us across air and space with long-term potential into land- and sea-based unmanned systems as well. On the manufacturing side, we recently secured a contract for a missile propulsion subsystem from a major defense prime customer. That contract is another validation of our propulsion, engineering, and manufacturing capabilities and expands our footprint in advanced defense programs that will generate revenue this year. We also progressed development across Gremlin X and new Brain variants, and we strengthened our intellectual property portfolio with a new patent issuance supporting decentralized swarming architectures, while also submitting applications for four new patents related to our AI products and technologies. Let me frame the roadmap simply. We use the analogy of crawl, walk, and run—not as separate strategies, but as stages of maturation. In 2025, we built the path. In 2026, we crawl. Crawl is about proving that the integrated model works at scale—converting backlog into revenue, monetizing development programs, generating product revenue from acquired businesses, executing live demos and trials for SwarmOS, IntelliSwarm, IQ 2.0, and advancing Gremlin X, Swarmstrike, and Brain variants toward defined milestones. Then we walk in 2027. Walk is where we expect proof to become repeatability. We expect broader SwarmOS and IntelliSwarm integrations, repeat IQ 2.0 wins, increasing Brain deployments, expanding programs, and multiple product-based revenue streams. At that point, growth becomes more systematic and less episodic. And then we run. Run is where decentralized, embodied, collaborative autonomy operates seamlessly across air, space, and eventually land and sea; where IntelliSwarm enables larger and more complex distributed systems; where autonomy and propulsion architectures converge; and where UAV, missile, and avionics revenue scales across multiple defense programs. This is when today’s emerging and development-stage products become a scaled portfolio of core products driving meaningful revenue and bottom-line growth. 2026 is the first full year where our structural transformation is reflected in operations. We transformed the structure of this company in November. Now we are executing against a defined progression with intention and precision. And we believe 2026 marks the beginning of measurable translation of that transformation into growth. I will now turn the call over to Trevor for the financial results.
Thanks, Ben. I will focus on the fourth quarter results, liquidity position, and capital outlook. Before reviewing the numbers, I want to note that the 2025 fourth quarter and full-year results we reported this morning include approximately six weeks of contribution from the businesses acquired in mid-November. Revenue for the 2025 fourth quarter increased 118% to $1.7 million, compared to $800,000 last year. The increase was due to the inclusion of post-acquisition revenue from the acquired companies. Cost of revenue for the quarter was $1.4 million compared to $600,000 in the prior-year period. Research and development expense was $3.8 million compared to $2.6 million last year, reflecting continued investment in autonomy software, avionics, and product development programs from both Palladyne AI Corp. and the acquired company. General and administrative expense was $4.7 million compared to $3.5 million in the prior-year period. The increase reflects acquisition-related transaction costs, the incremental scope of G&A functions from the acquired businesses, and the normalization of compensation for certain employees of the acquired company who were not previously receiving market-based salaries. Sales and marketing expense was $1 million compared to $600,000 last year, reflecting expanded marketing programs and business development efforts. Operating loss for the quarter was $9.3 million compared to $6.5 million in the prior-year period. GAAP net loss for the fourth quarter was $1.5 million, or $0.04 per share. On a non-GAAP basis, net loss for the fourth quarter was $6.9 million, or $0.16 per share. The primary differences between GAAP and non-GAAP results were as follows: a $4.6 million non-cash gain related to the change in fair value of warrant liabilities, driven largely by the change in the price of our common stock and public warrants; $1.1 million of stock-based compensation expense; $600,000 of acquisition-related transaction expenses; and a $2.5 million income tax benefit linked to one of the November acquisitions related to the recognition of deferred tax liabilities associated with acquired intangible assets that were offset against fully valued deferred tax assets, creating a current non-cash tax benefit. We believe excluding these items provides a clearer view of our underlying operating performance and cash usage. Turning to liquidity, as of 12/31/2025, we had cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities of approximately $47 million. Our fourth-quarter net cash burn rate was approximately $10 million, which included $8.5 million in cash used in operations, $5.3 million in cash used for acquisitions, and $3.7 million to pay down real estate acquired from the acquisition, offset by proceeds from ATM sales of $7.3 million net of commissions. Backlog as of year-end was $13.5 million. As Ben mentioned earlier, backlog increased to nearly $18 million midway through the first quarter. That increase reflects new contract wins and is net of normal invoicing activity during the current year-to-date period. Looking ahead to 2026, Ben has already announced that we are reiterating the guidance we issued on 01/13/2026 for revenue of $24 million to $27 million. Our 2026 outlook reflects the contribution of the businesses acquired in November, and we expect organic growth across each part of the company on a full year-over-year basis. We currently expect 2026 consolidated quarterly operating cash usage of approximately $8 million to $9 million. The increase from our 2025 run rate reflects ongoing investment in SwarmOS and IQ, incremental investments to bring acquired programs to operational readiness, and incremental headcount costs from building out the new defense and commercial team structures. As you recall, in our previous commentary, we said that we plan to invest $5 million in Gremlin X and Swarmstrike alone over the next 12 to 18 months. We selectively added headcount to drive growth on the defense and commercial sides of the business and to bolster support services, consistent with our strategy to translate structural repositioning into operational execution. Based on our liquidity position and expected backlog conversion, we believe we are well positioned to execute our 2026 plan. Operator, we are now ready to take questions.
Thank you.
If you would like to ask a question, please press 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press 2 if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. Our first question comes from the line of Greg Conrad with Jefferies. Please proceed with your question.
Good morning. Appreciate all the color and the differentiation and kind of roadmap going forward. But just thinking about 2026, I think you mentioned you expect organic growth along with M&A contribution. Can you maybe just parse out expectations of some of the growth drivers in the M&A along with kind of Palladyne IQ and Palladyne Pilot?
We are not breaking out the categories of revenue from the $24 million to $27 million guidance. I think Trevor mentioned that we are expecting to see growth in all of those areas, and that is through new customer relationships, new contracts, etc., across all three parts of the business: manufacturing, the UAV side of the business, and the AI side of the business. We are expecting growth in all three of those areas, but we are not giving any specific guidance on the specific growth in those three categories.
And then you also laid out 2026 and some of the key items for 2027. How do you think about growth going forward? What are the big drivers? And how are you thinking about maybe some decisions or key contracts that we should expect or be watching for in 2026 for that transition?
On the defense side, which obviously is where there is an awful lot of action for a lot of reasons, we are aggressively pursuing participation in a number of different programs, both as a prime and as a sub. One of the great benefits that we have with the way we structured the business following the acquisitions is we have, as we think about it, multiple shots on goal and the ability to both be a prime and also to be a sub, and we have contracts that are today representative of that. We expect to get more of those. There are an awful lot of opportunities when you start talking about collaborative swarming, collaborative autonomy, at the Pentagon. And so we are aggressively engaged in that, and similarly on the hardware—both manufacturing side and the subsystem side and complete systems—as it relates to UAVs. Expect to see us aggressively pursue those opportunities. As you know, Greg, those programs can take a long time. Fortunately, we have an administration today that has accelerated that path. But it still can be a time-consuming process with a number of steps between first RFI to the point that you actually have money coming in the door. Our team understands that process extremely well. We have a number of folks on the team that are experienced with securing those kinds of contracts. We are very optimistic about where we are going to head over the next 12, 18, 24 months, and think we have a lot of tailwinds for us on that side of the business. I specifically just mentioned the AI side, but also on the IQ side of our AI business, we continue to have great traction with the Air Force on the trials they have been doing with IQ in the aircraft repair and maintenance venue, and we are hopeful that we will see some expansion in that. So do not just think about our work with the Pentagon as just on the swarming side. It is also on the industrial robotics AI side. In terms of the commercial side, we mentioned that we have our first IQ customer, which happened, frankly, in a relatively short time frame compared to some of the other engagements that we have had. I think that is a testament to the maturity level and the development efforts that we put into IQ 2.0. We expect to see some real growth on the commercial side. One of the things I should point out is that our acquired businesses have both defense and commercial businesses. On the manufacturing side, we do manufacturing for the commercial sector. On our UAV and aeronautical business, we do some stuff in space that we have talked about, and we do some stuff that is not directly Pentagon focused. We are excited about the fact that we have this dual path, dual approach of both defense and commercial activities. I think that will pay big dividends over the years as we see demand from both sides ebb and flow. I think we have hedged our bets pretty well.
And if you do not mind, I am going to ask a couple more. Hope that is okay. So you brought up a missile contract, which is obviously important, and I think you are also doing some stuff around loitering munitions and missiles, and production ramps have been a big focus of the administration. Can you talk a little bit more about what you are doing on the missile side, how much visibility you have into that contract and ramp, and maybe where you see some other future opportunities?
We have the benefit, Greg, of being involved in both new missile efforts—new program efforts—as well as being a supplier into existing long-standing, large missile programs. So we are seeing a lot of that whole landscape. There is a lot of interest in developing higher quantities of lower-cost, higher-precision missiles of all different sizes and capabilities, and we are playing in that space. The great thing about the way we have joined the business now is we can, soup to nuts, be participating in that missile process: everything from initiating design of a brand-new concept all the way through manufacturing of a complete system or subsystems. We are very active in that space. We like that space because it is an opportunity for a lot of innovation coupled with our AI to make a huge difference, and it is not, frankly, a space that is as crowded as some of the other drone and UAV marketplaces are.
And then just a clarification question. You said quarterly $8 million to $9 million usage. Was that free cash flow or cash flow from ops?
Trevor, you want to take that one?
Yes, that is our expected cash used in operations. There could be other cash flows coming in—whether those are from ATM sales or what—those are not considered in that number.
Historically, the business has been really CapEx light. Just thinking about the manufacturing element, and you mentioned some investments, how are you thinking about CapEx going forward?
We do have CapEx assumptions baked into that. There are some needs across the business. I would not say they are significant right now. As things progress within the development of our products, we will reevaluate that and make the investments where we need to. But as of right now, we do not see any real significant CapEx needs.
And then maybe last one for me. The business has evolved a lot. I think in the past you talked about the target business model from a profitability standpoint. Can you talk a little bit, with the new mix, how you are thinking about gross margins? Is there a particular revenue level for profitability? Just some of the changes that we should expect with the new business from a profitability standpoint.
We have given guidance on revenue. We are not at a point where we are going to be giving guidance on anything below that. It is still early on with these new acquired businesses, and we expect that as things develop, as we see progress made both on the customer front and on our product development milestones, we will start sharing more guidance around things below the revenue line. But right now, we are just going to stick to the revenue guidance that we have given.
I will give a little more color beyond that. There is no reason that we see that margins we have talked about historically for our AI business will be materially different than what we have talked about. We are still bullish on that in terms of software-like margins. And we have talked about the fact that on the hardware side, we are focused on higher-margin opportunities. We do not want to get into really low-margin businesses, and so far I think we are doing a good job at that. While Trevor is absolutely correct that we do not want to give you a specific number at this point, we are focusing on those higher-margin opportunities so that we keep our margins across the entire enterprise relatively robust.
I will leave it at that. Thank you.
Thanks, Greg.
Thanks, Greg.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Brian Kinstlinger with Alliance Global Partners. Please proceed with your question.
Great. Thanks so much for taking my questions. As it relates to your partnerships with Red Cat and Draganfly, what are the obstacles or tasks that remain to get the system into production and/or the OEMs given the ability to bid on procurements with your technology? Any updates would be great.
Sure. I will take them one at a time, Brian, and good morning. On Red Cat, we have been doing extensive testing with them over the last number of months. That has been going very well. We are going through the certification that they have established for their vendors. Our system is a little more complex and capable than many other software platforms that are out there for drones, and so it has been a lengthier process making sure that we can actually deliver on all of the things that our specifications say we can. I think we are at the end of that process now, so we expect to be certified on Red Cat drones virtually in time, and that has culminated in us then negotiating a broader, more in-depth, and detailed partnership agreement with them—an implementation agreement—and we expect that to be signed, I think, maybe even today, or certainly within the next few days. That is the next step in getting to the point that they can actually start offering our system to the government. We have been doing joint demonstrations for the government so far, and all of those have gone well. On Draganfly, we are still in the process of implementing and porting our code onto their platforms. That has not yet been completed. No real roadblocks other than everybody is busy, and all of us have a lot of things on our plate, but I expect that to happen this quarter. We are making progress on that one also, and we have a number of other discussions with other OEMs going. I am very bullish about where we are with drone OEMs.
You mentioned your first commercial IQ contract. Can you talk about timing of expectations for both IQ and Pilot for first production units?
The first sales of IQ 2.0 is a production deployment, and that is going to happen in the coming weeks. The contract has been signed; we are ready to start implementation on that. So that is up and ready to go. At this point, we have talked before that it is generally, in our view, a 12- to 18-month sales cycle. This one happened to come together much more quickly than that. So it is possible for it to come together more quickly. We are in the process now of exposing customers of all different shapes and sizes—in terms of size and number of locations, etc.—to the new, highly capable 2.0 version, and we will see how quickly we can make some sales come together. We are firing on all cylinders on IQ 2.0. On the drone swarming capability, that really is not a onesie-twosie kind of sale, as you can imagine. That is larger contracts, larger volumes, and those, by definition, take longer to come together. We have a task in front of us to get the customer base out there to understand that this is an incredibly capable and unique type of swarming autonomy that does not exist when other people talk about swarming. It is not this kind of swarming. Just like there are different layers of autonomy in self-driving cars, there are different layers of autonomy in things that fly, and we are at the most advanced edge of that. Our biggest mission right now is to get the marketplace to understand that the capability exists, that it is not science fiction, and it does not have to be on the roadmap for 2032. It could be on the roadmap for 2026. That is our mission in front of us.
My follow-up to that would be: how are you educating the end customer, which to me, given war, would be the federal government? How are you educating them, and how educated are they right now?
We are just at the beginning stages of the education process, and education involves a lot of meetings followed by demonstrations. You start with PowerPoint presentations, which, of course, people are tired of seeing. So you do the PowerPoint presentation to many, many different people, as many shots on goal as you can get, and then you promptly follow that up by saying, “But it is not just PowerPoint. Come out to the field. We will do a demonstration for you tomorrow if you are ready.”
Obviously, it has only been a week with the war, if you call it, in Iran. Two things. First of all, is that leading to delays in conversations because everyone now is focused on that? Does it lead to more urgency and more rapid conversations? Maybe talk about if, at all, in one week, it has changed the procurement process.
I have not seen any change other than additional inquiries and interest levels. Fortunately for us, the folks that are involved in defining requirements, learning about new technologies, and figuring out how to integrate those new technologies into the battlefield are not out in the field. They are very much focused on trying to get our country prepared for what happens tomorrow, the day after tomorrow, next week, next year, and for the years to come. We have not seen any impact in a negative sense, but certainly a lot more awareness of what modern warfare looks like, and that creates significant tailwinds for us.
My last question is, you have talked a lot about R&D, but maybe you could just rank your top R&D priorities for 2026.
At the top of our list is getting material advancement on our two UAV platforms—the Gremlin X and the Swarmstrike. That is a significant part of our R&D effort. Continuing to evolve and enhance the capabilities of both SwarmOS and IQ. I think those are the four R&D priorities. Fortunately for us, all of the contracts that we have that are development contracts with the U.S. government and the Department of War are all in line one way or another with the advancement of those capabilities and technologies. We are, from time to time, given the opportunity to participate in things that are outside of that main swim lane, and we decline to pursue those because we are very focused on those four primary objectives for 2026. Great. Thanks so much for answering my questions.
Thanks, Brian.
Thanks, Brian.
Thank you. Please press 1 on your telephone keypad. Our next question comes from the line of Mike Latimore with Northland Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.
Hi, great. Yes, thanks. Good morning. On the backlog topic, can you talk a little bit about which orders or types of products led to the increase in backlog from $10 million to $18 million, as a big change this quarter already? And then as you look to the go-gets for the rest of the year, what are some of your better prospects in terms of the types of agencies or products that you might be selling to get the rest of the backlog in here?
We are not going to get into a detailed breakdown of the backlog at this point, Mike. But I will tell you that, as both Trevor and I alluded to, we see significant opportunities across all three business units that we have. It is too early for me to predict which ones are going to come out on top, but there is a tremendous amount of momentum that we are seeing in the business, and we have a lot of confidence in being able to give you the guidance that we have and to watch that backlog continue to grow meaningfully over the course of the year.
As you go out and sell to new prospects, can you talk a little bit about the value of having these three segments? How does your sales pitch include all three? How do you make the pitch that these three bring a significant advantage to a prospect?
Let me give you a kind of a generic example, but it is based in fact on one project that we are currently trying to secure. This is a new development program for a weapon system, and we were able to present the ability to go from white paper concept all the way through to both component manufacturing and complete assembly, and include our intelligence to deliver a holistic platform system that achieves all of the stated objectives. That soup-to-nuts approach had engineers and business people involved from all three divisions collaborating. I have to tell you, from an M&A effort, this is one of the better integration efforts I have ever seen. The teams are working together as if they have been working together for years and years—seamless. That is an example of being able to respond to a government inquiry about a new weapon system where, before, we would have been a minor player or just one part of a bigger team. We were able to present a complete, unified proposal, and that is exciting. I think there is going to be a lot more of that in the future. The other thing that the acquisitions do for us, outside of just a single program or project, is we wind up with a much broader set of relationships across the whole defense sector. That allows us to go to the customers of one of those business units and present the opportunities that we have through our other two business units, and that has already paid dividends. The analogy of one plus one plus one equals a lot more than three has so far proven to be very much true.
On SwarmOS, can you talk a little bit about how you are going to price that? Is there a way to think about a license per, I do not know, 10 drones or something, or just a little bit more clarity on how you price this?
Our focus is licensing it on a per-drone basis, and we have said in the past that we expect it to be priced somewhere between 5%–10% of the total drone system cost. So far, the engagement that we are having with customers is right in line with that. Bigger, more expensive, more capable, more sensor-laden UAV platforms will carry a higher cost. Smaller, lower-cost, less capable drone systems—more single-purpose type things—will be a lower cost. So far, we are not getting any pushback on that general approach to pricing. Having said that, I will remind you that we still have to land our first major customer.
Would the prospects for SwarmOS be more likely to be with smaller, short-range drones or bigger, long-range drones, or is it too early to say?
I think it is everything in between. Our ultimate vision is that you have some larger, longer-duration fixed-wings that have our software on them, from one OEM, able to communicate and engage in swarming capability with shorter-duration, lower-cost, more tactical drones. You can imagine scenarios where a loitering ISR platform is in the air for five to ten hours. You have different sorties of quadcopters that come into theater to perform a specific mission set. Maybe they have not accomplished all of that mission; a second sortie comes in and instantaneously is downloaded with the latest and greatest information from the fixed-wing, loitering ISR platform. That kind of cohesive, real-time, autonomous swarming capability can expand across all of the different drone or UAV sizes, and that is where the real value comes in.
Yep. Yep. Okay, great. Thanks a lot.
Thank you, Mike. Thank you.
Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes our question-and-answer session and will conclude our call today. We thank you for your interest and participation. You may now disconnect your lines.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-03-04Palladyne AI Corp (PDYN) Q4 2025 Earnings Report Preview: What To Expect
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Palladyne AI Corp (PDYN) Q4 2025 Earnings Report Preview: What To Expect
This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Palladyne AI Corp (NASDAQ:PDYN) is set to release its Q4 2025 earnings on Mar 5, 2026. The consensus estimate for Q4 2025 revenue is $0.81 million, and the earnings are expected to come in at -$0.09 per share. The full-year 2025's revenue is expected to be $4.39 million, and the earnings are expected to be $0.18 per share. More detailed estimate data can be found on the Forecast page. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 2 Warning Signs with PDYN. Is PDYN fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Revenue estimates for Palladyne AI Corp (NASDAQ:PDYN) have remained stable at $4.39 million for the full year 2025 and at $15 million for 2026 over the past 90 days. Earnings estimates have also remained unchanged at $0.18 per share for the full year 2025 and at -$0.41 per share for 2026 over the same period. In the previous quarter ending on 2025-09-30, Palladyne AI Corp's (NASDAQ:PDYN) actual revenue was $0.86 million, which missed analysts' revenue expectations of $1.15 million by -25.48%. Palladyne AI Corp's (NASDAQ:PDYN) actual earnings were $0.55 per share, which beat analysts' earnings expectations of -$0.21 per share by 361.90%. After releasing the results, Palladyne AI Corp (NASDAQ:PDYN) was down by -0.59% in one day. Based on the one-year price targets offered by 1 analyst, the average target price for Palladyne AI Corp (NASDAQ:PDYN) is $11 with a high estimate of $11 and a low estimate of $11. The average target implies an upside of 52.35% from the current price of $7.22. Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for Palladyne AI Corp (NASDAQ:PDYN) in one year is $0.78, suggesting a downside of -89.20% from the current price of $7.22. Based on the consensus recommendation from 2 brokerage firms, Palladyne AI Corp's (NASDAQ:PDYN) average brokerage recommendation is currently 2.5, indicating an "Outperform" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.

