B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
PCAR
PACCARBNasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$125.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$98.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-09-18
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-0.1
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+74.2
Score
AI commentary
Company-specific coverage is thin. Secondary coverage reported PCAR down 6.7% after Q2 at $124.50 on September 8; the September 17 anchor of $117.36 indicates that weakness subsequently persisted, although the packet does not isolate the causes of the later decline. Analyst revisions, options data, short interest, employee sentiment and sufficient social coverage are unavailable; the zero placeholders above denote unavailable inputs, not neutral readings. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-09-08]
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-09-18
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-12-31eventSecond-half delivery and earnings validationHigh impact
The next operating update must confirm that stronger orders translate into deliveries and earnings rather than a temporary build-rate rebound. Q2 delivered 38,700 trucks, $7.55 billion of revenue and $752 million of net income, but first-half revenue remained below the prior-year period. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28]
2026-12-31catalystSecond-half truck build and fleet-replacement demandMedium impact
PACCAR said second-quarter build rates increased on strong orders, while improved freight rates, constrained freight capacity and an aging fleet supported replacement demand. Execution against the 2026 U.S./Canada Class 8 industry range of 230,000–270,000 trucks is the main near-term upside test. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28]
2027-06-30catalystParts and financial-services earnings resilienceMedium impact
Record quarterly PACCAR Parts revenue of $1.75 billion, Parts pre-tax income of $417 million and Financial Services pre-tax income of $124.1 million provide recurring earnings support if new-truck demand remains cyclical. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-09-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology