PCAR

PACCARB

Nasdaq / Capital Goods

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

The best post-print bull read is that Parts and Financial Services again carried margins and cash generation while management explicitly said backlog is increasing, which supports a recovery setup if truck demand bottoms rather than deteriorates further.

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.

What can break

Management cited fuel and operating-cost volatility around freight markets, which can delay customer replacement demand even if fleets are aging.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $124.00 · Bull $136.00 · Bear $104.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade B · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $129.82

Why

Momentum67 · Δ7d -8.2

Value59 · Δ7d -0.4

Sentiment43 · Δ7d -4.1

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-8.2

Δ21d

+11.2

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.4

Δ21d

-1.4

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-4.1

Δ21d

-5.4

Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 67.0 / Value 58.9 / Sentiment 42.8

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$66.42B

Beta

1.04

Shares Out

526.29M

P/E (TTM)

22.1

P/S (TTM)

2.01

P/FCF (TTM)

62.90

Rev YoY

-9.0%

EPS YoY

+19.7%

Gross Margin

+15.4%

Op Margin

+14.0%

Net Debt

$6.18B

Current Ratio

2.36

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology