B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$18.37
+1.0% vs current
PBR
Petroleo BrasileiroCNYSE / Energy
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$15.31
-15.8% vs current
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$12.55
-31.0% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-01-30
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+25.4
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+25.8
Positive
Pulse
-55.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+31.1
Score
AI commentary
Market sentiment is mixed-to-neutral: analyst medians cluster near the current price while coverage shows dispersion from ~$12.50 to ~$20.00, indicating split conviction [#SERP-1][#SERP-8]. Near-term focus is the FY2025 release; longer-term tone depends on oil cycles and execution on returns [#SERP-4].
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-01-30
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-03-05eventFY2025 earnings releaseHigh impact
FY2025 results and guidance (estimated report date 2026-03-05) should reprice earnings, dividend guidance and near-term estimates [#SERP-4][#SERP-1].
2026-04-30catalystAnalyst target revisionsMedium impact
Post-earnings target and rating updates from major brokers could shift consensus within the next quarter (current published range cited) [#SERP-1][#SERP-8].
2027-01-30catalystOil-market recoveryHigh impact
Sustained Brent/WTI strength and improved refining margins by early-2027 would materially lift NAV and cash flow; window conservatively set to 2027-01-30 [#SERP-7][#SERP-3].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-01-30 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology