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PBR

Petroleo BrasileiroB
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Durable commodity strength, higher refining margins, and clear capital-return actions (asset sales/dividends) drive sustained EPS beats and re-rating toward the upper analyst range.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
13 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
What can break
Brazilian political/regulatory intervention or tax changes
Momentum
96
Value
66
Sentiment
40
Setup hits (3d)
13 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $15.31 · Bull $18.37 · Bear $12.55Analysis 2026-01-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $23.77
Why
Momentum96 · Δ7d -2.1
Value66 · Δ7d +1.7
Sentiment40 · Δ7d +8.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 13 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Brazilian political/regulatory intervention or tax changes
  • • Execution risk on divestitures and capital returns
  • • A sharp oil-price decline, margin compression, or adverse Brazilian policy actions lead to earnings misses and multiple compression, pushing the stock toward the lower analyst band.

Catalyst clock

2026-03-05

FY2025 earnings release

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
96
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.1
Δ21d
+2.7
Value
66
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.7
Δ21d
+1.1
Sentiment
40
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.5
Δ21d
+1.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 96.0 / Value 66.2 / Sentiment 40.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$18.37
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$15.31
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$12.55
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$136.41B
Beta
0.73
Shares Out
3.72B
P/E (TTM)
5.0
P/S (TTM)
0.82
P/FCF (TTM)
16.70
Rev YoY
+59.6%
EPS YoY
+120.7%
Gross Margin
+47.5%
Op Margin
+34.8%
Net Debt
$60.85B
Current Ratio
0.85
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data