B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$8.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
PANL
Pangaea Logistics SolutionsDNasdaq / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
2Q26 showed strong rate capture and execution, with adjusted EBITDA up 125% year over year, TCE rates above benchmarks, booked days at attractive rates, higher cash, and lower net leverage [#SEC-8K-2026-08-10].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.3.
What can break
Dry-bulk rates and premium-cargo availability may normalize after the strong 2Q26 performance.
Momentum
91
Value
66
Sentiment
35
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.45 · Bull $8.50 · Bear $5.25Analysis 2026-08-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $10.85
Why
Momentum91 · Δ7d +13.9
Value66 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment35 · Δ7d +2.3
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Dry-bulk rates and premium-cargo availability may normalize after the strong 2Q26 performance.
- • Forward visibility is limited because formal guidance and a newer operating update are unavailable.
- • The deterministic prior is negative for 5-, 20-, 60-, and 120-day horizons.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-10
Strong 2Q26 operating print
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
91
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+13.9
Δ21d
+36.8
Value
66
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+3.6
Sentiment
35
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.3
Δ21d
-5.8
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 91.3 / Value 65.9 / Sentiment 34.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-13. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$6.45
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$5.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$502.18M
Beta
0.77
Shares Out
65.47M
P/E (TTM)
22.4
P/S (TTM)
0.73
P/FCF (TTM)
19.00
Rev YoY
+19.4%
EPS YoY
-466.6%
Gross Margin
+14.0%
Op Margin
+8.9%
Net Debt
$269.15M
Current Ratio
1.38
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data