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PACK

RanpakB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 print strengthened the constructive case: automation growth accelerated, consolidated revenue and adjusted EBITDA grew, PPS volumes remained positive, and full-year guidance was reaffirmed [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Automation growth and second-half capacity investment may not translate into sustained EBITDA and cash-flow improvement.
Momentum
4
Value
49
Sentiment
85
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.60 · Bull $8.25 · Bear $3.80Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $7.08
Why
Momentum4 · Δ7d -2.1
Value49 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment85 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Automation growth and second-half capacity investment may not translate into sustained EBITDA and cash-flow improvement.
  • • Coverage is thin, peers are loose, and no trustworthy post-print analyst revision or market-reaction attribution was confirmed.
  • • Ranpak remains loss-making, PPS system placements declined 2.3% year over year, and the automation investment and capacity build still require execution and margin proof [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30].

Catalyst clock

2026-07-30

Q2 earnings confirmed automation-led growth

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
4
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.1
Δ21d
-2.6
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+4.6
Sentiment
85
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+4.1
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 4.4 / Value 48.6 / Sentiment 84.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$8.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$6.60
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$449.37M
Beta
2.83
Shares Out
85.76M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-11.5
P/S (TTM)
1.23
P/FCF (TTM)
57.44
Rev YoY
+14.0%
EPS YoY
+3.6%
Gross Margin
+25.0%
Op Margin
-2.3%
Net Debt
$367M
Current Ratio
1.79
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data