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PACK

RanpakA
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 print strengthened the constructive case: automation growth accelerated, consolidated revenue and adjusted EBITDA grew, PPS volumes remained positive, and full-year guidance was reaffirmed [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
What can break
Automation growth and second-half capacity investment may not translate into sustained EBITDA and cash-flow improvement.
Momentum
7
Value
50
Sentiment
84
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.60 · Bull $8.25 · Bear $3.80Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $7.08
Why
Momentum7 · Δ7d +0.3
Value50 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment84 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Automation growth and second-half capacity investment may not translate into sustained EBITDA and cash-flow improvement.
  • • Coverage is thin, peers are loose, and no trustworthy post-print analyst revision or market-reaction attribution was confirmed.
  • • Ranpak remains loss-making, PPS system placements declined 2.3% year over year, and the automation investment and capacity build still require execution and margin proof [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30].

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · BMO

Q2 earnings confirmed automation-led growth

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
7
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+2.4
Value
50
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
+0.6
Sentiment
84
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 7.5 / Value 50.4 / Sentiment 83.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$8.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$6.60
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$315.59M
Beta
2.83
Shares Out
85.76M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-8.1
P/S (TTM)
1.23
P/FCF (TTM)
57.44
Rev YoY
+14.0%
EPS YoY
+3.6%
Gross Margin
+25.0%
Op Margin
-2.3%
Net Debt
$367M
Current Ratio
1.79
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data