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OSPN

OneSpanC
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Subscription revenue growth, 103% NRR, ARR expansion, and DigipassONE adoption could improve recurring growth and support a higher valuation multiple [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
What can break
A CFO reported an open-market sale of 20,000 shares on June 16, 2026; this is insider-activity context only and not evidence of operating performance [#SEC-FORM4-2026-06-16].
Momentum
78
Value
60
Sentiment
38
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $18.00 · Bull $20.00 · Bear $13.00Analysis 2026-08-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $18.00
Why
Momentum78 · Δ7d -8.6
Value60 · Δ7d -1.6
Sentiment38 · Δ7d -15.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A CFO reported an open-market sale of 20,000 shares on June 16, 2026; this is insider-activity context only and not evidence of operating performance [#SEC-FORM4-2026-06-16].
  • • Cash and cash equivalents fell to $43.3 million from $70.5 million at December 31, 2025 [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
  • • The investment case weakens if cybersecurity revenue remains in decline, total growth stays near 1%, profitability deteriorates, or cash continues to fall.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · AMC

Q2 results show subscription strength but mixed operating performance

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
78
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-8.6
Δ21d
-16.9
Value
60
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.6
Δ21d
-1.1
Sentiment
38
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-15.8
Δ21d
-18.7
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 77.9 / Value 59.9 / Sentiment 37.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-27. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$20.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$13.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$759.16M
Beta
1.53
Shares Out
36.85M
P/E (TTM)
8.6
P/S (TTM)
2.01
P/FCF (TTM)
12.98
Rev YoY
+1.0%
EPS YoY
-16.8%
Gross Margin
+70.3%
Op Margin
+18.6%
Net Debt
-$62.1M
Current Ratio
1.27
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data