B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$17.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
OOMA
OomaFNYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Primary sources support a real operating improvement: Q4 FY2026 revenue rose 15% year over year, subscription mix stayed at 92%, non-GAAP earnings expanded, and management guided to another sizable FY2027 revenue increase, with AirDial and acquired assets offering cross-sell upside.[#8-K-2026-03-04]
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
What can break
AirDial demand normalizing after a record quarter
Momentum
71
Value
56
Sentiment
14
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $13.00 · Bull $17.50 · Bear $10.50Analysis 2026-04-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $26.60
Why
Momentum71 · Δ7d +15.4
Value56 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment14 · Δ7d -0.3
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • AirDial demand normalizing after a record quarter
- • Channel dependence on retailers, resellers, and TSDs noted in the 10-K
- • This still looks like a monitoring story, not a clean breakout thesis.
Catalyst clock
2026-06-09
Q1 FY2027 filing must validate post-acquisition carry-through [#10-K-2026-04-03]
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
71
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+15.4
Δ21d
-13.2
Value
56
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+2.2
Sentiment
14
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-5.8
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 71.3 / Value 56.0 / Sentiment 13.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-15. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
0%
Probability
Target price
$13.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$551.93M
Beta
1.35
Shares Out
27.5M
P/E (TTM)
144.0
P/S (TTM)
1.20
P/FCF (TTM)
16.54
Rev YoY
+24.8%
EPS YoY
-1902.0%
Gross Margin
+61.3%
Op Margin
+3.9%
Net Debt
$53.02M
Current Ratio
0.80
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data